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(1) Revenues expected to be slightly ahead of consensus estimates
Trefis estimates FB's Q3 2021 revenues to be $30.8 Bil, slightly ahead of the consensus estimate of $29.6 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q3(E)
Trefis Estimates for Facebook Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 43.3%
The chart to the right highlights trends in Facebook's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q3 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to comfortably beat consensus estimates
FB's Q3 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $3.47 per Trefis analysis, comfortably beating the consensus estimate of $3.19 by 8.8%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q3(E)
Trefis Estimates for Facebook EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): 26.2%
The chart to the right highlights trends in FB's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q3 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate 18% higher than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $402 for FB's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $341.
FB Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for Facebook stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in FB stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in FB's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating Facebook's Total Revenues:
Facebook's Revenues have seen a substantial increase of 54.0% from around $56 Bil in FY2018 to $86 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $131 Bil in FY2022
Total Revenue
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Facebook's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Deriving Facebook's Net Income:
Facebook's Net Income has increased from around $22 Bil in FY2018 to $29 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $45 Bil in FY2022
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Facebook's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Net Income [AxB]
Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Facebook's EPS:
Facebook's EPS has increased from $7.57 in FY2018 to $10.09 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $16.01 in FY2022
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
EPS [A÷B]
Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Facebook's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $402 For Facebook's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 25.1x P/E Multiple on expected FY2022 EPS of $16.01
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]