com.insightguru.giraffe.server.utils.PresentationUtil$PresentationTitle@54f69ff8
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(1) Revenues expected to be well ahead of consensus estimates
Trefis estimates MA's FQ1 2021 revenues to be $4.67 Bil, well ahead of the consensus estimate of $3.98 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for Mastercard Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 16.6%
The chart to the right highlights trends in Mastercard's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ1 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to marginally beat consensus estimates
MA's FQ1 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $1.61 per Trefis analysis, marginally beating the consensus estimate of $1.57 by 2.5%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for Mastercard EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): -3.9%
The chart to the right highlights trends in MA's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ1 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate largely around current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $400 for MA's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $393.
MA Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for Mastercard stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in MA stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in MA's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating Mastercard's Total Revenues:
Mastercard's Revenues have seen a slight increase of 2.3% from around $15 Bil in FY2018 to $15 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $18 Bil in FY2021
Total Revenue
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Mastercard's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Deriving Mastercard's Adjusted Net Income:
Mastercard's Adjusted Net Income has increased from around $5.9 Bil in FY2018 to $6.4 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $7.8 Bil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Mastercard's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Mastercard's Adjusted EPS:
Mastercard's Adjusted EPS has increased from $5.6 in FY2018 to $6.37 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $7.84 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in adjusted net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
Adjusted Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Mastercard's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $400 For Mastercard's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 51.0x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 Adjusted EPS of $7.84
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
Adjusted EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]