Tearsheet

Nauticus Robotics (KITT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.4 | Market Cap: $4.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Nauticus Robotics (KITT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.4
Market Cap: $4.5 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Ocean Robotics. Themes include Autonomous Underwater Vehicles.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -150%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -772%
1   Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 108%
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.5x
3   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -33%
4   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -751%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -758%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -315%
6   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 234%
7   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 32%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Ocean Robotics. Themes include Autonomous Underwater Vehicles.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -150%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -173%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -772%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 108%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 8.5x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -15%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -33%
6 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -751%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -758%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -315%
8 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 234%
9 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 32%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KITT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Substantial Net Loss in Q3 2025.

Nauticus Robotics announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 14, 2025, reporting a significant net loss of $6.6 million. This was a substantial downturn compared to a net income of $17.9 million in the same period of 2024.

2. Operating Loss and Missed Market Expectations.

In addition to the net loss, the company recorded an operating loss of $5.88 million for Q3 2025. Its earnings per share (EPS) of -$2.6 missed market expectations, and although revenue saw a year-over-year increase, it experienced a slight sequential decline and did not meet broader market forecasts, partly attributed to strategic deferrals.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KITT Return---62%-82%-94%-95%-100%
Peers Return-11%-2%-3%14%-2%47%40%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KITT Win Rate-75%58%33%25%30% 
Peers Win Rate8%8%10%12%5%31% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KITT Max Drawdown---68%-82%-96%-94% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-5%-7%-0%-2%-0% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKITTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-93.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1465.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW


In The Past

Nauticus Robotics's stock fell -93.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/2/2022. A -93.6% loss requires a 1465.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Nauticus Robotics (KITT)

Better Bets than Nauticus Robotics (KITT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KITT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Nauticus Robotics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KITTFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameNauticus.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Price1.5618.5551.7229.503.543.5611.05
Mkt Cap0.0-1.8---0.9
Rev LTM3101831-4-52
Op Inc LTM-24-21150--9--16
FCF LTM-23-19951--9--16
FCF 3Y Avg-37-8--11--11
CFO LTM-23-16574--9--16
CFO 3Y Avg-29-22--10--10

Growth & Margins

KITTFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameNauticus.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Rev Chg LTM-14.9%-6.2%-166.4%-6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-32.8%-19.5%-94.3%-19.5%
Rev Chg Q313.7%-3.8%-330.2%-313.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM104.3%-0.9%-35.8%-35.8%
Op Mgn LTM-771.8%-209.3%6.0%--209.1%--209.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-591.7%-2.2%--699.5%--591.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM781.5%-1.7%-86.7%-86.7%
CFO/Rev LTM-751.3%-164.1%8.9%--212.3%--188.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-601.2%-2.5%--716.7%--601.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-757.7%-197.5%6.1%--216.3%--206.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-714.1%-0.8%--777.8%--714.1%

Valuation

KITTFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameNauticus.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Cap0.0-1.8---0.9
P/S8.5-1.9---5.2
P/EBIT-0.3-32.3---16.0
P/E-0.3--523.2----261.8
P/CFO-1.1-22.0---10.4
Total Yield-311.1%--0.2%----155.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.0%---0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-156.2%--0.5%----78.3%
D/E1.2-0.2---0.7
Net D/E1.1-0.2---0.7

Returns

KITTFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameNauticus.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
1M Rtn5.4%-22.0%6.1%--10.6%-20.0%-10.6%
3M Rtn-66.9%-58.2%40.5%-19.6%-33.0%-33.0%
6M Rtn-83.3%-61.1%----11.1%
12M Rtn-84.9%-215.2%---65.1%
3Y Rtn-99.9%-466.5%---183.3%
1M Excs Rtn5.4%-22.0%6.1%--10.6%-20.0%-10.6%
3M Excs Rtn-72.8%-62.0%27.1%-13.0%-42.0%-42.0%
6M Excs Rtn-98.1%-46.4%----25.9%
12M Excs Rtn-99.2%-206.7%---53.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-172.7%-493.7%---160.5%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,017,041
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-16.1%
Average Daily Volume679,286
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.50
Basic Shares Quantity3,223,003
Short % of Basic Shares31.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025811202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025514202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024415202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024514202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023410202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022328202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
123120218152022424B3 12/31/2021
9302021308202310-Q/A 9/30/2021