HCM IV Acquisition (HACQ)

Market Price (5/30/2026): $9.995 | Market Cap: $229.3 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings

HCM IV Acquisition (HACQ)

Market Price (5/30/2026): $9.995
Market Cap: $229.3 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 2.6%

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1%

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82%

0	Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 2.6%
1	Trading close to highs Dist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1%
2	Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -82%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

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Metric

No Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Updated on 5/1/2026
HCM IV Acquisition (HACQ) stock has remained largely at the same level since it went public on 4/6/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. HCM IV Acquisition Corp.'s status as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) and its trust account have anchored its stock price. As a blank check company, HACQ's primary asset is the capital raised in its Initial Public Offering (IPO), a substantial portion of which is held in a trust account. The company raised $287.5 million in its IPO on February 13, 2026, with units priced at $10.00 each. This trust serves as a floor for the stock price, as shareholders generally have the right to redeem their shares for a pro-rata portion of the trust's value, which was approximately $288.2 million as of March 19, 2026. This mechanism limits downside risk and keeps the share price close to its initial value. The stock has traded within a narrow 52-week range of $9.86 to $10.03.

2. The absence of a definitive business combination announcement limits speculative price movements. As of late May 2026, HCM IV Acquisition Corp. has not yet identified or announced a definitive merger or acquisition target. Until a de-SPAC transaction is proposed and approved, the stock's value is predominantly tied to the cash in its trust, rather than the speculative future performance of an acquired operating business. This pre-announcement phase is typically characterized by minimal stock price fluctuation, keeping it near the IPO price. The company's focus is on identifying an established business for a merger or similar business combination.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/29/2026

	Return	Correlation
HACQ
Market (SPY)	9.6%	6.2%
Sector (XLF)	-3.0%	-1.9%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/29/2026

	Return	Correlation
HACQ
Market (SPY)	11.5%	6.2%
Sector (XLF)	-0.7%	-1.9%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/29/2026

	Return	Correlation
HACQ
Market (SPY)	38.0%	6.2%
Sector (XLF)	7.4%	-1.9%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/29/2026

	Return	Correlation
HACQ
Market (SPY)	89.0%	6.2%
Sector (XLF)	63.2%	-1.9%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	Total [1]
Returns
HACQ Return	-	-	-	-	-	1%	1%
Peers Return	8%	-15%	15%	2%	-3%	7%	12%
S&P 500 Return	27%	-19%	24%	23%	16%	10%	101%
Monthly Win Rates [3]
HACQ Win Rate	-	-	-	-	-	50%
Peers Win Rate	58%	33%	67%	50%	50%	40%
S&P 500 Win Rate	75%	42%	67%	75%	67%	60%
Max Drawdowns [4]
HACQ Max Drawdown	-	-	-	-	-	-
Peers Max Drawdown	-10%	-30%	-19%	-22%	-27%	-13%
S&P 500 Max Drawdown	-5%	-25%	-10%	-8%	-19%	-9%

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FTV.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/29/2026 (YTD)

HACQ has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Event	XLF	S&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
% Loss	-15.5%	-18.8%
% Gain to Breakeven	18.4%	23.1%
Time to Breakeven	80 days	79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
% Loss	-10.7%	-9.5%
% Gain to Breakeven	12.0%	10.5%
Time to Breakeven	26 days	24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
% Loss	-16.1%	-6.7%
% Gain to Breakeven	19.1%	7.1%
Time to Breakeven	270 days	31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
% Loss	-22.3%	-24.5%
% Gain to Breakeven	28.6%	32.4%
Time to Breakeven	467 days	427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
% Loss	-42.8%	-33.7%
% Gain to Breakeven	74.8%	50.9%
Time to Breakeven	289 days	140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
% Loss	-19.7%	-19.2%
% Gain to Breakeven	24.5%	23.8%
Time to Breakeven	123 days	105 days

Compare to FTV

In The Past

State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

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HACQ has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.

Event	XLF	S&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
% Loss	-22.3%	-24.5%
% Gain to Breakeven	28.6%	32.4%
Time to Breakeven	467 days	427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
% Loss	-42.8%	-33.7%
% Gain to Breakeven	74.8%	50.9%
Time to Breakeven	289 days	140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
% Loss	-21.4%	-12.2%
% Gain to Breakeven	27.3%	13.9%
Time to Breakeven	272 days	62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
% Loss	-26.1%	-17.9%
% Gain to Breakeven	35.3%	21.8%
Time to Breakeven	162 days	123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
% Loss	-78.3%	-53.4%
% Gain to Breakeven	359.8%	114.4%
Time to Breakeven	2329 days	1085 days

Compare to FTV

In The Past

State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About HCM IV Acquisition (HACQ)

Business Description Analogies Products Customers Suppliers Management Key Risks Emerging Threats Market Size Revenue Drivers Capital Allocation

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Interactive Breakdown

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Latest Trefis Analyses

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Trade Ideas

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Unique Key	Date	Ticker	Company	Category	Trade Strategy	6M Fwd Rtn	12M Fwd Rtn	12M Max DD
EEFT_4302026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy	04302026	EEFT	Euronet Worldwide	Dip Buy	DB \| P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
HOMB_4242026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V2	04242026	HOMB	Home BancShares	Insider	Insider Buys \| Low D/EStrong Insider Buying Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap	1.5%	1.5%	0.0%
HBAN_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K	03312026	HBAN	Huntington Bancshares	Insider	Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days	7.1%	7.1%	0.0%
NP_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K	03312026	NP	Neptune Insurance	Insider	Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days	3.9%	3.9%	0.0%
JKHY_3272026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper	03272026	JKHY	Jack Henry & Associates	Monopoly	MY \| Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple	0.3%	0.3%	-4.0%

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DELL	Dell Technologies	277.8	32.8%	235.8%
OKTA	Okta	21.9	30.1%	42.6%
NTAP	NetApp	34.5	22.4%	64.4%
ASAN	Asana	1.8	15.6%	-43.8%
TEAM	Atlassian	28.4	15.3%	-33.6%
FPS	Forgent Power Solutions	12.6	14.9%	88.5%
QURE	uniQure	1.8	14.8%	19.2%
NOW	ServiceNow	128.7	14.4%	-18.8%
NXT	Nextpower	23.2	14.0%	79.5%

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AMBA	Ambarella	3.1	-21.4%	1.9%
GAP	Gap	7.9	-15.4%	-16.3%
ASTS	AST SpaceMobile	32.3	-14.8%	56.1%
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SNOW	Snowflake	87.5	54.4%	16.5%
ASPI	ASP Isotopes	0.8	50.5%	45.4%
ONDS	Ondas	5.0	44.0%	35.5%
PD	PagerDuty	0.9	41.1%	-24.1%
NTAP	NetApp	34.5	40.6%	64.4%
MOV	Movado	0.8	39.2%	88.3%

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VRRM	Verra Mobility	0.7	-66.3%	-79.9%
PLAB	Photronics	1.9	-36.6%	1.1%
GKOS	Glaukos	5.9	-25.7%	-8.5%
BTGO	BitGo	0.7	-22.6%	-67.5%
MOVE	Corvex	1.3	-22.3%	210.5%
GTN-A	Gray Media	0.7	-19.8%	-42.4%
GSHD	Goosehead Insurance	0.8	-19.1%	-53.3%
FBYD	Falcons Beyond Global	0.7	-18.8%	3.3%
ZS	Zscaler	22.3	-18.3%	-37.9%
FCEL	FuelCell Energy	1.0	-17.9%	196.3%

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RDW	Redwire	4.2	185.7%	223.3%
BAND	Bandwidth	2.0	168.5%	320.5%
INOD	Innodata	3.4	162.8%	106.0%
UMAC	Unusual Machines	1.2	131.3%	149.5%
WOLF	Wolfspeed	1.6	131.3%	240.5%
PSNL	Personalis	1.1	126.2%	43.2%
VPG	Vishay Precision	1.7	122.7%	225.5%
ENPH	Enphase Energy	9.0	119.2%	113.3%
TE	T1 Energy	2.3	116.0%	58.1%
XMTR	Xometry	4.9	110.4%	60.2%

Top Losers

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VRRM	Verra Mobility	0.7	-69.7%	-79.9%
EMBC	Embecta	0.2	-61.1%	-71.0%
OPTU	Optimum Communications	0.3	-57.3%	-60.1%
BRBR	BellRing Brands	1.0	-52.3%	-68.7%
FWRD	Forward Air	0.3	-50.8%	-57.7%
GTM	ZoomInfo Technologies	1.0	-45.7%	-67.3%
TRDA	Entrada Therapeutics	0.3	-44.4%	-31.2%
CABO	Cable One	0.3	-41.6%	-53.4%
PAHC	Phibro Animal Health	1.2	-41.4%	-17.4%
UI	Ubiquiti	35.3	-39.8%	5.8%

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

	HACQ	FTV	Median
Name	HCM IV A.	Fortive
Mkt Price	9.99	58.32	34.16
Mkt Cap	-	18.1	18.1
Rev LTM	-	4,738	4,738
Op Inc LTM	-	799	799
FCF LTM	-	1,028	1,028
FCF 3Y Avg	-	1,255	1,255
CFO LTM	-	1,076	1,076
CFO 3Y Avg	-	1,341	1,341

Growth & Margins

	HACQ	FTV	Median
Name	HCM IV A.	Fortive
Rev Chg LTM	-	2.5%	2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	-	-4.7%	-4.7%
Rev Chg Q	-	7.7%	7.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM	-	1.6%	1.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM	-	-6.1%	-6.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg	-	-0.7%	-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM	-	16.9%	16.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg	-	16.6%	16.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM	-	0.3%	0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM	-	22.7%	22.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg	-	30.5%	30.5%
FCF/Rev LTM	-	21.7%	21.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg	-	28.5%	28.5%

Valuation

	HACQ	FTV	Median
Name	HCM IV A.	Fortive
Mkt Cap	-	18.1	18.1
P/S	-	3.8	3.8
P/Op Inc	-	22.6	22.6
P/EBIT	-	22.4	22.4
P/E	-	33.2	33.2
P/CFO	-	16.8	16.8
Total Yield	-	3.5%	3.5%
Dividend Yield	-	0.5%	0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg	-	5.3%	5.3%
D/E	-	0.2	0.2
Net D/E	-	0.2	0.2

Returns

	HACQ	FTV	Median
Name	HCM IV A.	Fortive
1M Rtn	1.0%	-5.6%	-2.3%
3M Rtn	0.6%	-1.4%	-0.4%
6M Rtn	0.6%	9.2%	4.9%
12M Rtn	0.6%	7.6%	4.1%
3Y Rtn	0.6%	14.6%	7.6%
1M Excs Rtn	-5.2%	-11.8%	-8.5%
3M Excs Rtn	-9.6%	-11.6%	-10.6%
6M Excs Rtn	-11.4%	-2.3%	-6.9%
12M Excs Rtn	-28.1%	-21.8%	-25.0%
3Y Excs Rtn	-82.2%	-64.3%	-73.3%

FDIC Bank Data

Bank Capital

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Bank Deposits

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Bank Assets

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Bank Loans

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FDA Approved Drugs Data

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Financials

Annual
Quarterly

$ Mil \| FY: null/null	LTM
Period End	3/31/2026
Filing Date	5/14/2026
Key Financials
Total Revenue	-
Net Income	-
EPS	-
Growth Rates
Total Revenue Growth	-
Net Income Growth	-
Margins
Net Income Margin	-
Cash & Debt
Total Cash	1
Total Debt	0
Net Debt / (Cash)	-1
Cash Flows & CapEx
Net Cash from Operations	-
Total CapEx	0
Free Cash from Operations	-
Returns to Shareholders
Dividends	0
Share Repurchases	-0

$ Mil \| FY: null/null	2026Q1	2025Q4
Period End	3/31/2026	12/31/2025
Filing Date	5/14/2026	3/30/2026
Key Financials Quarterly
Total Revenue	0	0
Net Income	-3	-0
EPS	-0.13	-0.00
Key Financials TTM
Total Revenue TTM	-	-
Net Income TTM	-	-
Growth Rates Quarterly
Total Revenue Growth	-	-
Net Income Growth	-	-
Margins Quarterly
Net Income Margin	-	-
Cash & Debt
Total Cash	1	-
Total Debt	0	0
Net Debt / (Cash)	-1	-
Cash Flows Quarterly
FCF from Operations	-0	0
Cash Flows TTM
FCF from Operations TTM	-	-
Returns to Shareholders Quarterly
Dividends	0	0
Share Repurchases	-0	-0
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) Quarterly
ROIC	-5.5%	-
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) TTM
ROIC TTM	-	-

Segment Financials

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	1M	2M	3M	6M	1Y	3Y
Beta	-0.06	-0.01	0.06	0.04	-0.00	0.02
Up Beta	-0.12	0.05	-0.04	0.05	0.05	-0.04
Down Beta	-0.15	0.19	0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.13
Up Capture	-0%	-0%	-0%	-0%	-0%	-0%
Bmk +ve Days	16	23	32	67	142	429
Stock +ve Days	7	7	7	7	7	7
Down Capture	-0%	-0%	-0%	-0%	-0%	-0%
Bmk -ve Days	6	20	32	58	110	323
Stock -ve Days	4	4	4	4	4	4

	Annualized Return	Annualized Volatility	Sharpe Ratio	Correlation with HACQ
HACQ	0.5%	3.0%	0.65	-
Sector ETF (XLF)	3.5%	14.4%	0.02	-15.8%
Equity (SPY)	30.3%	11.8%	1.94	-8.1%
Gold (GLD)	37.5%	26.7%	1.17	-0.1%
Commodities (DBC)	39.6%	18.8%	1.63	9.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)	12.5%	13.1%	0.64	20.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)	-31.8%	41.6%	-0.81	-30.1%

	Annualized Return	Annualized Volatility	Sharpe Ratio	Correlation with HACQ
HACQ	0.1%	3.0%	0.65	-
Sector ETF (XLF)	8.4%	18.6%	0.34	-15.8%
Equity (SPY)	14.3%	17.0%	0.66	-8.1%
Gold (GLD)	18.8%	18.0%	0.85	-0.1%
Commodities (DBC)	10.2%	19.4%	0.41	9.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)	3.4%	18.8%	0.08	20.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)	14.6%	54.6%	0.46	-30.1%

	Annualized Return	Annualized Volatility	Sharpe Ratio	Correlation with HACQ
HACQ	0.1%	3.0%	0.65	-
Sector ETF (XLF)	12.8%	22.1%	0.53	-15.8%
Equity (SPY)	15.9%	17.9%	0.76	-8.1%
Gold (GLD)	13.3%	16.0%	0.69	-0.1%
Commodities (DBC)	7.3%	17.9%	0.33	9.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)	5.7%	20.7%	0.24	20.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)	67.0%	66.9%	1.06	-30.1%

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date	5152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity	0.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 4302026	1032.4%
Average Daily Volume	0.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest	1
Basic Shares Quantity	22.9 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares	0.0%

Returns Analyses

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Earnings Returns History

Updated 5/29/2026

Expand for More

	Forward Returns
Earnings Date	1D Returns	5D Returns	21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS
# Positive	0	0	0
# Negative	0	0	0
Median Positive
Median Negative
Max Positive
Max Negative

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report Date	Filing Date	Filing
03/31/2026	05/14/2026	10-Q
12/31/2025	03/30/2026	10-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 5/29/2026

Latest: null Earnings Reported N/A/N/A/N/A

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Insider Activity

Updated N/A/N/A/N/A

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HACQ Trade Sentinel

Stock Conviction

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CONVICTION RATIONALE

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STOCK ARCHETYPE

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Looking for high-conviction positions with a better risk/reward profile? See what's currently in the Trefis High Quality Portfolio.

INVESTMENT THESIS

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Mechanism: null

Supporting Evidence:

PRIMARY RISK

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Mechanism: null

Supporting Evidence:

Key KPI Watchlist

KPI	Threshold	Rationale

Core Investment Debate

BULL VIEW

CORE TENSION

PREVAILING SENTIMENT

BEAR VIEW

Next 6 months: Risks and Catalysts

Timeline	Event & Metric To Watch

Key Events in Last 6 Months

Date	Event	Stock Impact

Risk Management

Position Sizing

Diversification Alternatives

How Is The Market Pricing HACQ?

What will confirm the thesis

What will damage the thesis

Noise: Real but irrelevant to thesis

Repricing Catalyst

What HACQ Makes & Who Pays

TTM figures based on

HACQ Evolution: Price Return by Era

① Structure

② Volume / Momentum

③ Catalyst

Combined Score

0 / 12

1 Price Structure & Trend · ▾

2 Momentum ▾

3 Relative Strength vs. SPY ▾

4 Institutional Footprint & Volume ▾

5 Volatility ▾

6 Key Price Levels Range · Vol ▾

7 Earnings Reaction History ▾

8 How the Verdict Is Derived Three Pillars ▾

Pillar	Score
① Structure	0
② Vol / Mom	0
③ Catalyst	0

ℹ Bull Pillars: 0 · Bear Pillars: 0 · Combined Score: 0 →

Industry Resources

Financials Resources

Federal Reserve Economic Data

External Quote Links

0	Y Finance	Barrons
1	TradingView	Morningstar
2	SeekingAlpha	ValueLine
3	Motley Fool	Robinhood
4	CNBC	Etrade
5	MarketWatch	Unusual Whales
6	YCharts	Perplexity Finance
7	FinViz

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Core Cache Last Updated: 5/29/2026

HCM IV Acquisition (HACQ)

Market Price (5/30/2026): $9.995 | Market Cap: $229.3 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings

HCM IV Acquisition (HACQ)

Market Price (5/30/2026): $9.995Market Cap: $229.3 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Multi-Sector Holdings

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

Market Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

Market Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

Market Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

Market Drivers

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

How Low Can It Go

In The Past

Preserve Wealth

Asset Allocation

In The Past

Preserve Wealth

Asset Allocation

About HCM IV Acquisition (HACQ)

Interactive Breakdown

Better Bets vs. HCM IV Acquisition (HACQ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Market Price (5/30/2026): $9.995 | Market Cap: $229.3 Mil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings

Market Price (5/30/2026): $9.995
Market Cap: $229.3 Mil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings