Tearsheet

Key Takeaways

  • FBTC has returned -27.0% YTD vs +11.0% for SPY; -43.8% over the past 12 months (SPY +21.7%). details →
  • Over the past month, FBTC has seen net outflows of −$291M (−2.6% of assets). details →
  • FBTC trades 49% below its 52-week high. details →
  • Risk-adjusted returns trail SPY: 3-year Sharpe ratio of 0.4 vs 1.0. details →
Last updated: 7/10/2026.

Price Chart

Asset Allocation with FBTC

Risk Tolerance:
ConservativeModerateAggressive
Moderate — 55% equity / 25% bonds / 20% alternatives
10Y Return (ann.)
+11.9%
Volatility
10.8%
Sharpe
0.84
YTD
+6.7%
Modeled with monthly rebalancing to target weights; 10-year figures are annualized from monthly returns. Illustrative only — past performance is not indicative of future results.

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Tailored Asset Allocation
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Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
FBTC Return---100%-7%-28%34%
Peers Return   67%-8%-26%13%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FBTC Win Rate---58%50%43% 
Peers Win Rate   50%42%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FBTC Max Drawdown-----33%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown    -42%-43% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: IBIT, GBTC, ETHA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/10/2026 (YTD)

Sharpe Ratios Compared

One measure of reward vs. risk is a Sharpe ratio. A higher ratio indicates better risk-adjusted returns. Most funds have Sharpe ratios < 1.0.

Ticker1Y3Y5Y
FBTC-1.230.350.35
Cryptocurrency Top Results (3Y)   
GBTC-0.630.600.60
IBIT-1.220.350.35
FBTC-1.230.350.35
ETHA-0.34-0.26-0.26

Results as of 6302026.

How Low Can It Go

EventFBTCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-20.2%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven23 days79 days

Compare to IBIT, GBTC, ETHA

In The Past

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund's stock fell -20.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 25.3% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventFBTCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-20.2%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven23 days79 days

Compare to IBIT, GBTC, ETHA

In The Past

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund's stock fell -20.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 25.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

FBTC Dip Buy History


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Current Dip Buy Opportunities Across ETFs

ETFs currently down 5% or more from trailing 6M peaks.

TickerNameDip %Mkt PricePrice DatePeak PricePeak Date# Days
AKREAkre Focus ETF-16.4%55.14710202665.921112026180
SCHCSchwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF-6.3%48.30710202651.543012026131
IEMGiShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF-5.4%81.32710202686.00622202618
EEMiShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF-6.1%66.90710202671.21622202618
ASHRXtrackers Harvest CSI 300 China A-Shares ETF-5.1%35.38710202637.30622202618
EWYiShares MSCI South Korea ETF-16.3%183.527102026219.20621202619
EWZiShares MSCI Brazil ETF-13.9%35.93710202641.73414202687
FXIiShares China Large-Cap ETF-17.9%33.48710202640.781292026162
ILFiShares Latin America 40 ETF-9.4%34.51710202638.10414202687
KWEBKraneShares CSI China Internet ETF-30.0%26.38710202637.661122026179
MTUMiShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF-6.8%321.777102026345.22622202618
URAGlobal X Uranium ETF-30.5%42.97710202661.811282026163
BOTZGlobal X Funds Global X Robotics & Artificial Intelligence ETF-11.3%36.91710202641.63513202658
ROBOROBO Global Robotics & Automation Index ETF-8.2%82.96710202690.34602202638
LITGlobal X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF-21.1%72.32710202691.62511202660
ICLNiShares Global Clean Energy ETF-18.9%19.25710202623.75602202638
ARKQARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF-13.8%123.997102026143.82528202643
ARKXARK Space & Defense Innovation ETF-15.1%32.05710202637.74528202643
NASATema Space Innovators ETF-37.5%26.18710202641.89527202644
AGIXKraneShares Artificial Intelligence ETF-8.0%45.44710202649.40601202639
GDEWisdomTree Efficient Gold Plus Equity Strategy Fund-10.6%62.91710202670.39511202660
RAAXVanEck Real Assets ETF-7.6%39.47710202642.70511202660
VGTVanguard Information Technology ETF-6.0%118.087102026125.62602202638
XLKState Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF-6.3%185.787102026198.21602202638
XLEState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF-12.0%55.08710202662.563292026103
XLCState Street Communication Services Select Sector SPDR ETF-6.7%111.647102026119.702012026159
XLYState Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF-5.7%117.247102026124.271122026179
XLPState Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF-6.0%84.12710202689.513012026131
IYMiShares U.S. Basic Materials ETF-5.7%178.247102026189.083022026130
FXNFirst Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund-11.0%20.62710202623.183292026103
SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF-8.7%611.037102026668.91622202618
SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF-11.2%581.347102026655.01622202618
XOPState Street SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF-15.7%158.577102026188.183292026103
IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF-14.2%92.417102026107.70601202639
MISLFirst Trust Indxx Aerospace & Defense ETF-12.6%44.53710202650.981192026172
RINGiShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF-34.7%64.89710202699.423012026131
SOXQInvesco PHLX Semiconductor ETF-11.3%102.067102026115.11622202618
BWXState Street SPDR Bloomberg International Treasury Bond ETF-5.7%21.59710202622.902162026144
IGOViShares International Treasury Bond ETF-5.0%40.84710202642.993012026131
TLTiShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF-5.6%84.47710202689.483012026131
SPTLState Street SPDR Portfolio Long Term Treasury ETF-5.2%25.69710202627.093012026131
EDVVanguard World Funds Extended Duration ETF-7.7%62.25710202667.423012026131
PDBCInvesco Optimum Yield Diversified Commodity Strategy No K-1 ETF-13.1%16.44710202618.91512202659
DBCInvesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund-13.2%27.52710202631.69512202659
COMTiShares GSCI Commodity Dynamic Roll Strategy ETF-14.1%31.37710202636.53519202652
GSGiShares GSCI Commodity-5.8%30.01710202631.853182026114
BCIabrdn Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF-11.3%22.99710202625.91512202659
FTGCFirst Trust Global Tactical Commodity Strategy Fund-8.2%28.02710202630.53512202659
HGERHarbor Commodity All-Weather Strategy ETF-8.7%30.57710202633.47512202659
GLDSPDR Gold Trust-24.0%377.017102026495.901292026162
IAUiShares Gold Trust-23.9%77.267102026101.571292026162
GLDMSPDR Gold MiniShares Trust-23.9%81.297102026106.771292026162
SGOLETFS Physical Swiss Gold Shares-13.1%44.66710202651.411292026162
BARDirexion Daily Gold Bull 3X Shares-16.6%44.34710202653.161292026162
SLViShares Silver Trust-48.9%53.957102026105.601282026163
SIVRETFS Physical Silver Shares Trust ETF-24.8%83.397102026110.871282026163
PPLTETFS Physical Platinum Shares-41.4%14.77710202625.231252026166
CPERUnited States Copper Index Fund ETV-13.9%33.33710202638.711292026162
PALLETFS Physical Palladium Shares-38.0%23.07710202637.181282026163
USOUnited States Oil Fund LP-28.9%108.707102026152.96519202652
UNGUnited States Natural Gas Fund LP-37.3%10.60710202616.902012026159
BNOUnited States Brent Oil Fund LP ETV-7.1%55.85710202660.13504202667
IBITiShares Bitcoin Trust ETF-34.7%36.23710202655.441142026177
FBTCFidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund-34.7%55.62710202685.121142026177
GBTCGrayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF-19.0%61.84710202676.311142026177
ETHAiShares Ethereum Trust ETF-47.1%13.53710202625.591142026177

ETF Fund Flows

Largest fund inflows and outflows across ETFs, with the asset-allocation rotation they imply.

Net fund flows · as of 2026-07-09

Asset allocation rotation · Past month

  • Equity ETFs drew the largest net inflows (+$66.4B), followed by Bond (+$29.3B), while Commodity (−$3.5B) and Crypto (−$3.0B) saw the largest outflows.
  • Within the mix, money rotated into US Large Cap Core (+$12.6B) and out of Gold (−$3.7B).
  • Relative to fund size, ARKQ drew the largest inflow (+57.3% of AUM) and FXN the largest outflow (−68.9%).
Largest inflows
#TickerNameTypeNet flow% of AUM
1IVViShares Core S&P 500 ETFEquity US Large Cap Core+$56.47B+6.5%
2SPYMState Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETFEquity US Large Cap Core+$15.25B+10.1%
3DRAMRoundhill Memory ETFOther+$8.81B+38.2%
4LQDiShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETFBond Intermediate Corporate+$6.73B+20.8%
5SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETFEquity Industry Subsector+$6.26B+14.3%
6AVLVAvantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETFOther+$3.75B+22.7%
7VTIVanguard Total Stock Market ETFEquity US Total Market+$3.63B+0.5%
8QQQMInvesco NASDAQ 100 ETFEquity US Nasdaq Growth+$3.61B+3.7%
9VXUSVanguard Total International Stock ETFEquity International Broad+$3.56B+2.3%
10RSPInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETFEquity Factor Smart Beta+$3.25B+3.5%
Largest outflows
#TickerNameTypeNet flow% of AUM
1VOOVanguard S&P 500 ETFEquity US Large Cap Core-$53.22B-5.4%
2SPYState Street SPDR S&P 500 ETFEquity US Large Cap Core-$6.26B-0.8%
3VLUEiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETFEquity Factor Smart Beta-$4.5B-40.9%
4IAUiShares Gold TrustCommodity Gold-$2.03B-3.3%
5IBITiShares Bitcoin Trust ETFCrypto-$2.0B-4.3%
6GLDSPDR Gold SharesCommodity Gold-$1.38B-1.0%
7VOVanguard Mid-Cap ETFEquity US Mid Cap Core-$1.06B-1.0%
8NASATema Space Innovators ETFEquity Thematic-$872M-53.8%
9FXIiShares China Large-Cap ETFEquity Emerging Markets-$846M-18.2%
10BILState Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-3 Month T-Bill ETFCash-$842M-1.8%

Largest ETF fund flows across ~2562 funds (min AUM $100M). Net creations/redemptions; leveraged & inverse ETFs excluded. A ⚠ marks a day excluded as a suspected data error.

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About FBTC

0Holdings Count: 0
Expense Ratio: 0.25%
Inception Date: 2024-01-10
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund
The index is constructed using bitcoin price feeds from eligible bitcoin spot markets and a volume-weighted median price (“VWMP”) methodology, calculated every 15 seconds based on VWMP spot market data over rolling sixty-minute increments. In seeking to achieve its investment objective, the trust will hold bitcoin and will value its shares daily as of 4:00 p.m. EST using the same methodology used to calculate the index. All of the trust’s bitcoin will be held by the custodian.
Asset Class: Equity | ETF Website

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Profile

FBTCIBITGBTCETHAMedian
NameFidelity W.iShares Bi.Grayscale .iShares Et. 
Asset ClassCryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyCryptocurrency-
AUM ($ Bil)13.444.98.44.610.9
Expense Ratio0.25%0.25%1.50%0.25%0.25%
10-D Avg Volume (Mil)4.2253.292.1528.7316.48
Latest Day Volume (Mil)-51.401.8627.7727.77
Holdings Count01010
Inception Date1/10/20241/5/20241/11/20246/24/2024-

Fundamentals

FBTCIBITGBTCETHAMedian
NameFidelity W.iShares Bi.Grayscale .iShares Et. 
Net Asset Value52.3334.8547.6312.82-
Premium/Discount6.3%4.0%-5.5%5.5%
Distribution Yield0.0%0.0%-0.0%0.0%
Sales Yield-----
Earnings Yield-----

Valuation

FBTCIBITGBTCETHAMedian
NameFidelity W.iShares Bi.Grayscale .iShares Et. 
P/S (TTM)-----
P/E (TTM)-----
P/FCF (TTM)-----
Forward P/E-----
Forward P/S-----

Risk

FBTCIBITGBTCETHAMedian
NameFidelity W.iShares Bi.Grayscale .iShares Et. 
Volatility (1Y)44.4%44.5%45.0%68.7%44.7%
Volatility (3Y)49.9%49.9%51.3%72.3%50.6%
Volatility (5Y)49.9%49.9%51.3%72.3%50.6%
Beta (1Y)1.791.801.892.961.85
Beta (3Y)1.321.331.362.221.34
Beta (5Y)1.321.331.362.221.34
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)-1.05-1.04-0.71-0.30-0.87
Sharpe Ratio (3Y)0.500.500.71-0.110.50
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)0.500.500.71-0.110.50
Max Drawdown (1Y)-53.4%-53.3%-49.5%-67.9%-53.3%
Max Drawdown (3Y)-53.4%-53.3%-49.5%-67.9%-53.3%
Max Drawdown (5Y)-53.4%-53.3%-49.5%-67.9%-53.3%

Returns

FBTCIBITGBTCETHAMedian
NameFidelity W.iShares Bi.Grayscale .iShares Et. 
1M Return3.0%3.1%-8.4%3.1%
3M Return-11.5%-11.4%--19.3%-11.5%
6M Return-29.8%-29.7%--42.9%-29.8%
YTD Return-27.0%-27.0%--39.7%-27.0%
1Y Return-43.0%-43.0%--35.5%-43.0%
2Y Return12.5%12.5%--12.5%
3Y Return-----

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 5312026-69.5%
Average Daily Volume5.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1