Tearsheet

Concentra Parent (CON)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.84 | Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Services

Concentra Parent (CON)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $19.84
Market Cap: $2.5 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 6.5%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 78%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Health Data Analytics, and AI in Healthcare Management.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 6.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Telehealth Platforms, Health Data Analytics, and AI in Healthcare Management.
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 78%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CON Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Concentra Parent (NYSE: CON) experienced a stock movement of approximately -17.7% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. Despite reporting strong financial results and raising guidance, several factors likely contributed to this decline.

1. Elevated Leverage and Deleveraging Efforts: Concentra's high leverage, with a net debt of 3.6x as of Q2 2025, remained a significant concern for investors. The company aimed to reduce this to 3.5x by the end of 2025 and below 3.0x by the end of 2026. The market may have reacted negatively to the perceived risk associated with this debt level.

2. Impact of Higher Financing Costs on Free Cash Flow: Although operational growth was strong, free cash flow declined by 21% year-over-year. This decline was primarily attributed to higher financing costs stemming from recent recapitalization efforts and acquisition expenses. This put pressure on the company's ability to convert its robust revenue and EBITDA growth into substantial free cash flow.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CON Return-----5%5%
Peers Return10%30%3%-8%0%23%67%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CON Win Rate----40%30% 
Peers Win Rate53%60%52%40%52%64% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CON Max Drawdown------5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-9%-21%-23%-17%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ADUS, CVS, CI, LH, DGX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

CON has limited trading history. Below is the Health Care sector ETF (XLV) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-16.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven599 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven116 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-40.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1100 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -16.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -16.1% loss requires a 19.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Concentra Parent (CON)

Better Bets than Concentra Parent (CON)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CON. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Concentra Parent

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CONADUSCVSCILHDGXMedian
NameConcentr.Addus Ho.CVS Heal.Cigna Labcorp Quest Di. 
Mkt Price19.52117.8975.00268.81265.76182.61150.25
Mkt Cap2.52.195.271.622.120.521.3
Rev LTM2,0891,347394,084261,22013,76510,85012,308
Op Inc LTM32312310,751-1,3651,5311,365
FCF LTM176966,2933,9441,3811,3931,387
FCF 3Y Avg-1076,4277,7731,0801,0041,080
CFO LTM2541039,1095,2921,8041,8851,844
CFO 3Y Avg-1159,2779,1971,5311,4541,531

Growth & Margins

CONADUSCVSCILHDGXMedian
NameConcentr.Addus Ho.CVS Heal.Cigna Labcorp Quest Di. 
Rev Chg LTM11.4%18.8%6.8%20.9%8.3%13.7%12.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-13.3%7.7%13.6%8.6%2.2%8.6%
Rev Chg Q17.0%25.0%7.8%11.2%8.6%13.2%12.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.1%5.7%1.9%2.7%2.1%3.1%2.9%
Op Mgn LTM15.5%9.2%2.7%-9.9%14.1%9.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-8.8%3.3%-9.6%13.1%9.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.0%0.1%-0.8%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM12.2%7.7%2.3%2.0%13.1%17.4%9.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-10.0%2.5%4.4%11.9%14.5%10.0%
FCF/Rev LTM8.4%7.2%1.6%1.5%10.0%12.8%7.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-9.2%1.8%3.8%8.4%10.0%8.4%

Valuation

CONADUSCVSCILHDGXMedian
NameConcentr.Addus Ho.CVS Heal.Cigna Labcorp Quest Di. 
Mkt Cap2.52.195.271.622.120.521.3
P/S1.31.60.20.31.72.01.4
P/EBIT8.316.816.09.217.913.614.8
P/E17.524.9204.015.327.922.023.5
P/CFO10.520.710.514.513.211.312.3
Total Yield6.3%4.0%4.0%8.6%4.6%6.2%5.4%
Dividend Yield0.6%0.0%3.5%2.1%1.0%1.6%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.6%7.1%9.0%5.4%5.6%5.6%
D/E0.80.10.90.40.30.30.4
Net D/E0.80.00.70.30.20.30.3

Returns

CONADUSCVSCILHDGXMedian
NameConcentr.Addus Ho.CVS Heal.Cigna Labcorp Quest Di. 
1M Rtn-0.5%-0.9%-4.4%3.9%3.3%2.1%0.8%
3M Rtn-17.3%4.2%3.1%-10.5%-2.7%2.2%-0.3%
6M Rtn-9.0%5.2%20.2%-12.9%5.0%6.0%5.1%
12M Rtn-7.9%-3.5%32.1%-18.2%11.7%14.9%4.1%
3Y Rtn-4.7%-18.0%-13.4%12.3%28.9%4.7%
1M Excs Rtn-0.5%-0.9%-4.4%4.0%3.4%2.1%0.8%
3M Excs Rtn-22.2%0.1%-2.7%-16.9%-8.5%-3.5%-6.0%
6M Excs Rtn-23.7%-9.5%5.5%-27.6%-9.7%-8.7%-9.6%
12M Excs Rtn-23.1%-17.6%17.1%-32.5%-2.1%0.8%-9.9%
3Y Excs Rtn--63.8%-89.0%-84.1%-59.0%-42.7%-63.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,251,706
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-21.4%
Average Daily Volume1,520,721
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.14
Basic Shares Quantity128,170,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024303202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024827202410-Q 6/30/2024
123120237262024424B4 12/31/2023