Chenghe Acquisition III (CHEC)
Market Price (1/17/2026): $9.99 | Market Cap: $56.1 MilSector: Financials | Industry: Multi-Sector Holdings
Chenghe Acquisition III (CHEC)
Market Price (1/17/2026): $9.99Market Cap: $56.1 MilSector: FinancialsIndustry: Multi-Sector Holdings
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1.6% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1% | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.2 Mil | |
| Key risksCHEC key risks include [1] the failure to complete a business combination, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 1.6% |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.1%, Dist 3Y High is -0.1% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -45%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -75% |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -0.2 Mil |
| Key risksCHEC key risks include [1] the failure to complete a business combination, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Separate Trading of Class A Ordinary Shares and Warrants Commenced.
Chenghe Acquisition III Co. announced on November 10, 2025, that, effective November 11, 2025, holders of its units could elect to separately trade the company's Class A ordinary shares (CHEC) and warrants (CHECW) on the Nasdaq Global Market. Units that were not separated continued to trade under the symbol CHECU.
2. Continued Status as a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) Actively Seeking a Business Combination.
Chenghe Acquisition III completed its initial public offering in September 2025, raising $126.5 million with the explicit purpose of engaging in a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, or similar business combination. The company consistently stated its intention to focus on growing companies in Asian markets or global companies with a presence or focus in Asia.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 1/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CHEC | ||
| Market (SPY) | 1.4% | -15.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.0% | -10.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 1/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CHEC | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.7% | -15.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 4.3% | -10.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2025 to 1/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CHEC | ||
| Market (SPY) | 15.9% | -15.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 6.9% | -10.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2023 to 1/16/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CHEC | ||
| Market (SPY) | 76.5% | -15.9% |
| Sector (XLF) | 55.7% | -10.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CHEC Return | - | - | - | - | -0% | 0% | 0% |
| Peers Return | � | � | � | � | 0% | 0% | � |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 1% | 85% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CHEC Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 50% | 100% | |
| Peers Win Rate | � | � | � | � | 50% | 100% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 100% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CHEC Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -0% | -0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | � | � | � | � | -0% | 0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | 0% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ALIS, LAFA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 1/16/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
CHEC has limited trading history. Below is the Financials sector ETF (XLF) in its place.
| Event | XLF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 525 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -83.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 515.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4,470 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ALIS, LAFA
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -26.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/12/2022. A -26.9% loss requires a 36.7% gain to breakeven.
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- E-commerce Platform Services: Operates an online marketplace enabling consumers to purchase agricultural products, food, and various general merchandise.
- Supply Chain Management: Provides integrated services for sourcing, logistics, and distribution, primarily focused on fresh produce and other agricultural products.
- Community Group Buying: Facilitates collective purchasing programs for groups of consumers to obtain discounts on groceries and daily necessities.
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Chenghe Acquisition III (symbol: CHEC) is a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC).
As a SPAC, its primary business involves raising capital through an initial public offering (IPO) with the sole purpose of identifying and acquiring an existing private operating company. It does not engage in traditional business operations, manufacture products, or provide services to customers.
Therefore, Chenghe Acquisition III does not have "major customers" in the conventional sense of companies or individuals purchasing goods or services. Its primary stakeholders are its shareholders and institutional investors who provide the capital for its acquisition activities, and the target company it seeks to merge with.
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Chenghe Acquisition III (CHEC) has a management team with extensive experience in finance, investment, and SPACs, with several members having backgrounds with the Chenghe Group, an investment holding company.Shibin Wang
Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
Dr. Shibin Wang has served as the Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of Chenghe Acquisition III Co. since January 2025. He is also the Chairman of the Board at Chenghe Acquisition I Co. since October 2023. He is a co-founder and CEO of Hong Kong Digital Asset Ex Ltd.. His prior experience includes being an Executive Director and Head of China structure solution at Deutsche Bank, and he also has experience at FICC Goldman Sachs and China Development Bank. He has served as CEO and Director for other Chenghe Acquisition SPACs.Lyle Wang
Chief Financial Officer & Director
Lyle Wang serves as the Chief Financial Officer and Director of Chenghe Acquisition III Co.. He is also a member of Chenghe Group's investment team. Mr. Wang previously worked as a client manager of the retail finance department at China Merchants Bank and possesses in-depth knowledge of financial products and market analysis. He played a critical role in the formation, IPOs, and business combinations of prior SPACs sponsored by Chenghe Group.Houston Li
Chief Operating Officer
Houston Li is the Chief Operating Officer of Chenghe Acquisition III Co.. He is also a member of Chenghe Group's investment team and has played a crucial role in the formation, initial public offerings, and business combinations of prior SPACs sponsored by Chenghe Group.Richard Li
Chairman of the Advisory Board
Richard Li is the founder of Chenghe Group, an investment holding company with an advisory practice and a repeat SPAC sponsor. He serves as the Chairman of the Advisory Board for Chenghe Acquisition III Co.. He previously served as CEO of HH&L Acquisition Co. and Chairman of Chenghe Acquisition Co., and currently chairs the Advisory Board for Chenghe Acquisition I Co.. Mr. Li has over two decades of experience in the financial services industry, including roles as CIO and COO of China Great Wall AMC (International) Holdings Company Limited and CEO of Great Wall Pan Asia Asset Management Ltd.. He also held positions as Managing Director and Head of China Securities at Goldman Sachs Asia and Managing Director and Head of North Asia Capital Markets and Treasury Solutions at Deutsche Bank Hong Kong, and worked at the World Bank and Merrill Lynch.Kwan Sun
Independent Director
Kwan Sun serves as an Independent Director on the board of Chenghe Acquisition III Co.. He is also the Founder and Managing Partner of Millburn Advisory. Mr. Sun has extensive experience in financial advisory and entrepreneurship, with a broad investment banking network. His past roles include Vice Chairman at Nan Fung Real Estate USA, Managing Director at Morgan Stanley and Deutsche Bank, and Vice President at Merrill Lynch.AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to the business of Chenghe Acquisition III (symbol: CHEC), a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC), are primarily associated with its operational model.
- Failure to Complete a Business Combination: As a blank-check company, Chenghe Acquisition III's sole purpose is to identify and complete a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, or similar business combination within a specified timeframe. The company has not yet identified a specific acquisition target. The failure to consummate a business combination within the allotted time would likely lead to the company's liquidation and the return of capital to investors, posing the most significant risk to the business.
- Potential for Shareholder Dilution from Warrants: Chenghe Acquisition III’s IPO units include redeemable warrants that will become exercisable 30 days after the completion of an initial business combination at a price of $11.50 per share. The exercise of these warrants would increase the number of outstanding shares and could result in dilution for existing shareholders.
- Geographical Concentration Risk in Asian Markets: The company intends to focus its search for acquisition targets on growing companies in Asian markets or global companies with a presence or focus in Asia. This geographical focus introduces a concentration risk, as adverse economic, regulatory, or political conditions in Asian markets could limit suitable acquisition opportunities or negatively impact the prospects of a future acquired business.
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Chenghe Acquisition III (CHEC) is a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC) that completed its initial public offering in September 2025. As a blank check company, its future revenue growth is entirely contingent upon the successful identification and consummation of a business combination with one or more operating businesses. Currently, CHEC itself does not have ongoing revenue-generating operations or provide traditional forward guidance on revenue drivers. However, based on its stated objectives, the expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years will stem from:
- Successful Business Combination: The primary driver of future revenue will be the successful completion of a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, or similar business combination with a target company. The nature and scale of the acquired business will directly dictate CHEC's revenue generation.
- Growth of the Acquired Operating Business: Following a business combination, revenue growth will be driven by the operational performance of the acquired entity. This could include factors such as organic growth within the acquired company's existing markets, expansion into new geographical regions, or the introduction of new products and services by the acquired business.
- Focus on Asian Markets and New Economic Industries: CHEC intends to focus its search for an acquisition target on growing companies in Asian markets or global companies with a significant presence in Asia. Specifically, it aims to target "cutting-edge new economic industries, including but not limited to TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), green energy, biotechnology, and optoelectronics." Therefore, the growth potential inherent in these targeted high-growth sectors within Asia will be a significant driver of future revenue for the combined entity.
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Share Issuance
- Chenghe Acquisition III Co. priced its initial public offering of 11,000,000 units at $10.00 per unit, raising $110 million on September 15, 2025.
- The company closed its initial public offering, including the full exercise of the underwriter's overallotment option, with 12,650,000 units at $10.00 each, generating gross proceeds of $126,500,000.
- A simultaneous private placement of 408,000 units at $10.00 per unit resulted in an additional $4,080,000 in gross proceeds.
Inbound Investments
- The private placement units, generating $4,080,000, were sold to Chenghe Investment III Limited, Chenghe Investment III LLC, and the underwriter, BTIG, LLC.
- On November 28, 2025, PICTON MAHONEY ASSET MANAGEMENT acquired 1,000,000 shares of Chenghe Acquisition III Co. at $9.96 per share, marking a new holding in the firm's portfolio.
Outbound Investments
- As a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC), Chenghe Acquisition III Co. focuses on effecting a merger, share exchange, asset acquisition, or similar business combination.
- The company intends to focus its search on growing companies in Asian markets or global companies with a presence or focus in Asia.
- As of December 2025, Chenghe Acquisition III Co. has not yet completed a business combination.
Capital Expenditures
- The average capital expenditure for Chenghe Acquisition III Co. over the past 5 years is calculated as $0.
- As a blank check company, it had not commenced any operations as of December 31, 2023, and would not generate operating revenues until after completing its initial business combination.
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Chenghe Acquisition III
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 9.97 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.1 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -0 |
| FCF LTM | -0 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | - |
| CFO LTM | -0 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | - |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | - |
| Rev Chg Q | - |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | - |
| Op Mgn LTM | - |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | - |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev LTM | - |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
| FCF/Rev LTM | - |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | - |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2025 | 11/14/2025 | 10-Q (09/30/2025) |
| 06/30/2025 | 09/17/2025 | 424B4 (06/30/2025) |
| 03/31/2025 | 07/03/2025 | S-1 (03/31/2025) |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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