Core AI (CHAI)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $1.13 | Market Cap: $22.5 MilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services
Core AI (CHAI)
Market Price (3/30/2026): $1.13Market Cap: $22.5 MilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Interactive Media & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence. Themes include AI Software Platforms. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149% | High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 124% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence. Themes include AI Software Platforms. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -108%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -149% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 124% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Earnings and Continued Unprofitability.
Core AI reported an earnings per share (EPS) of -$1.74 for Q3 2025, missing the analyst estimate of -$1.44 by 20.83%. Following the Q3 2025 earnings call on December 4, 2025, the stock initially declined by 1.5% and subsequently drifted 44.2% lower over the next 99 days. This performance underscored the company's persistent unprofitability, with reported losses of -$25.27 million in 2024 and -$15.86 million for the trailing 12 months ending September 30, 2025.
2. Increased Market Scrutiny and Broader AI Sector Concerns.
The AI investment landscape entered a "critical inflection point" by December 2025, with the market shifting from valuing potential to demanding concrete proof of monetization. Despite significant global investment in AI infrastructure, estimated at over $400 billion annually, a notable disconnect emerged with limited enterprise AI revenue generation, around $100 billion. An MIT study further revealed that 95% of Generative AI pilot programs failed to achieve business value, contributing to a broader skepticism and creating risks for equity markets in 2026 that likely impacted speculative AI-related stocks such as Core AI.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -58.3% change in CHAI stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3292026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.66 | 1.11 | -58.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | � | � | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | � | � | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | � | � | 0.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 20 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 0.0% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CHAI | -58.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | 37.5% |
| Sector (XLC) | -6.9% | 18.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CHAI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 44.8% |
| Sector (XLC) | -3.3% | 33.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CHAI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 44.8% |
| Sector (XLC) | 6.2% | 33.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| CHAI | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 44.8% |
| Sector (XLC) | 106.7% | 33.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CHAI Return | - | - | - | - | -81% | -31% | -87% |
| Peers Return | 24% | -48% | 81% | 82% | 53% | -17% | 168% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CHAI Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 0% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 30% | 67% | 57% | 57% | 20% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CHAI Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -81% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -14% | -53% | -6% | -13% | -18% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PLTR, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, SNOW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
CHAI has limited trading history. Below is the Communication Services sector ETF (XLC) in its place.
| Event | XLC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -47.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 602 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -30.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 326 days | 120 days |
Compare to PLTR, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, SNOW
In The Past
The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund's stock fell -47.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/1/2021. A -47.2% loss requires a 89.5% gain to breakeven.
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About Core AI (CHAI)
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The public company, which for the purpose of this request is defined by the provided background description of Siyata Mobile Inc., sells primarily to other companies (enterprise customers).
Its major customers are:
- Cellular network operators and their dealers.
- Commercial vehicle technology distributors for fleets.
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- Increased Integration of Communication & Fleet Management Systems by Vehicle OEMs: Vehicle manufacturers are increasingly embedding advanced telematics, fleet management, and communication solutions directly into commercial vehicles as standard features. This trend could reduce the aftermarket demand for Siyata Mobile's connected-vehicle devices, in-vehicle communicators, and data fleet management solutions as customers opt for factory-installed, deeply integrated systems.
- Advancement of Rugged Smartphones and Software-Defined Push-To-Talk (PTT) Solutions: The market for ruggedized general-purpose smartphones is maturing, offering high durability and powerful computing capabilities. Simultaneously, sophisticated Push-To-Talk over Cellular (PoC) applications are becoming more feature-rich and reliable. This combination could enable enterprises to use more versatile, standardized rugged smartphones with advanced software, potentially diminishing the need for Siyata Mobile's dedicated rugged PTT mobile devices and proprietary in-vehicle communication hardware.
- Rapid Global Transition to 5G Technology: While Siyata Mobile offers 4G LTE devices, the widespread rollout and adoption of 5G networks are underway. 5G offers superior speed, lower latency, and greater capacity, which is increasingly vital for mission-critical communications and advanced IoT/fleet management applications. A slower or less robust transition to competitive 5G solutions could make Siyata Mobile's current 4G LTE product portfolio less attractive or technically inferior compared to competitors offering native 5G-enabled devices and infrastructure.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for the main products and services of Core AI (symbol: CHAI), based on the provided company description for Siyata Mobile Inc., are as follows:
Connected-Vehicle Devices and 4G LTE In-Vehicle Communication Devices
The global connected vehicles market is a significant addressable market. This market was estimated to be valued at USD 84.68 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 194.46 billion by 2032, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 12.6% from 2025 to 2032. Another estimate places the connected vehicle market size at USD 77.13 billion in 2025, growing to USD 149.56 billion by 2031 at an 11.67% CAGR from 2026 to 2031. North America is a leading region in this market, expected to hold a 48.0% market share in 2025. The aftermarket segment, which focuses on optimizing commercial fleet management through connectivity solutions, is expected to contribute the highest market share of 53.6% in 2025.
More specifically for 4G vehicle-mounted intelligent terminals, the global market was valued at USD 809 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2,886 million by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 20.1% during the forecast period. The U.S. alone accounted for USD 215 million of this market in 2024. The broader global 4G (LTE) devices market is estimated to be valued at USD 59.54 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 88.94 billion in 2032, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.9% from 2025 to 2032. Asia Pacific dominated this market in 2025, accounting for over 42.8% of the total revenue.
Rugged Push-To-Talk (PTT) Mobile Devices and Mission Critical Push-To-Talk
The global Push-To-Talk (PTT) market is a substantial addressable market. It was valued at USD 37.25 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 96.85 billion by 2033, at a CAGR of 11.2% during the forecast period (2026–2033). Other estimates indicate the global PTT market is expected to reach between USD 30 billion and USD 40 billion by 2025, with a CAGR of approximately 8% to 13% through 2030. North America consistently holds a dominant position in the PTT market. The public safety and security segment alone held over 26.0% of the PTT market revenue share in 2022.
For mission-critical communication, which includes PTT solutions, the global market size was valued at USD 19.98 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow to USD 47.97 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 10.22% from 2025 to 2033. Specifically, the Push-to-Talk Over Cellular (PoC) market is projected to reach USD 8 billion globally by 2027.
Cellular Amplifiers and Booster Solutions
The global cell phone cellular amplifiers market size was recorded at USD 1029.1 million in 2021 and is projected to reach USD 1424.46 million by 2025. It is expected to further grow to USD 2729.17 million by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 8.467% between 2025 and 2033. North America holds a significant share, approximately 39.77% of the global market revenue in 2025.
Separately, the global mobile signal boosters market was valued at approximately USD 15.70 billion in 2024 and is predicted to grow to about USD 69.90 billion by 2034, with a robust CAGR of roughly 28.20% during 2025-2034. North America was the leading revenue generator for mobile signal boosters in 2024. The small cell power amplifier market, which is related to enhancing connectivity, reached USD 6.8 billion globally in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 25.1 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 15.21% from 2026 to 2034. North America represents the largest market for small cell power amplifiers, accounting for approximately 45% of the global market share.
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Select ideas related to CHAI.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02202026 | MSFT | Microsoft | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -1.1% | -1.1% | -3.2% |
| 02132026 | YELP | Yelp | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.7% |
| 02132026 | TRIP | Tripadvisor | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.2% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| 02062026 | OMC | Omnicom | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.1% | 22.1% | -3.7% |
| 02062026 | MGNI | Magnite | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 20.6% | 20.6% | -0.8% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 176.07 |
| Mkt Cap | 1,239.0 |
| Rev LTM | 305,453 |
| Op Inc LTM | 79,975 |
| FCF LTM | 7,695 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 24,263 |
| CFO LTM | 139,514 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 113,446 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 14.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 18.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 31.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 40.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 36.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 23.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 25.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1,239.0 |
| P/S | 8.7 |
| P/EBIT | 20.8 |
| P/E | 25.1 |
| P/CFO | 20.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -9.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -25.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -24.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 62.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -21.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 6.3% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| # Negative | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Median Positive | |||
| Median Negative | |||
| Max Positive | |||
| Max Negative | |||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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