AirSculpt Technologies (AIRS)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $2.52 | Market Cap: $157.3 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Facilities
AirSculpt Technologies (AIRS)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $2.52Market Cap: $157.3 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Health Care Facilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Aesthetic & Elective Procedures, and Premium Aesthetic Services. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.7% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 60x | ||
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -18% | ||
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 300% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 110% | ||
| Key risksAIRS key risks include [1] significant allegations concerning patient safety, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Aesthetic & Elective Procedures, and Premium Aesthetic Services. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -109%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -98% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -7.4 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -4.7% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 60x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -18% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 300% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 110% |
| Key risksAIRS key risks include [1] significant allegations concerning patient safety, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
AIRS Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the period from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, AirSculpt Technologies (AIRS) experienced a significant stock decline, primarily driven by several key factors:
1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Financial Results and Lowered Guidance. On November 7, 2025, AirSculpt Technologies reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 results that significantly missed analyst expectations. The company's revenue for Q3 2025 was $35.0 million, representing a 17.8% decrease from the same period in 2024, and it fell approximately 13% short of analyst estimates. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) was -$0.04, missing estimates by 100%. Following these results, management revised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance downward to approximately $153 million (from a previous range of $160-$170 million) and lowered its adjusted EBITDA outlook to around $16 million. This news led to an immediate stock plummet of 42.76%.
2. Significant Decline in Case Volume. The reported revenue decrease in Q3 2025 was largely attributed to a substantial reduction in case volume. The company saw a 15.2% decline in procedures, dropping to 2,780 cases from 3,277 in the third quarter of the prior year. More critically, same-center case volume experienced an even steeper decline of 20.5%, indicating a weakening demand within its established locations.
3.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| AIRS Return | � | � | -78% | 102% | -31% | -50% | � |
| Peers Return | -36% | 36% | -80% | -12% | -36% | 25% | -88% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| AIRS Win Rate | � | 50% | 42% | 50% | 33% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 44% | 53% | 33% | 42% | 36% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| AIRS Max Drawdown | � | � | -84% | 0% | -55% | -69% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -62% | -12% | -88% | -42% | -57% | -61% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APYX, BHC, VERO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | AIRS | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -85.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 566.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
Compare to ACHC, SRTA, HCA, THC, UHS
In The Past
AirSculpt Technologies's stock fell -85.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/30/2021. A -85.0% loss requires a 566.3% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to AIRS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for AirSculpt Technologies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 2.95 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 108 |
| Op Inc LTM | -8 |
| FCF LTM | -4 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -3 |
| CFO LTM | -0 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -6.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -12.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -17.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -6.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -9.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -9.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | -4.5 |
| P/E | -3.1 |
| P/CFO | 0.7 |
| Total Yield | -10.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -0.9% |
| D/E | 4.8 |
| Net D/E | 4.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -11.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -7.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -29.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | -16.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -43.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -88.5% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct medical procedure services | 196 | 169 | 133 | 63 |
| Total | 196 | 169 | 133 | 63 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct medical procedure services | 9 | |||
| Total | 9 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct medical procedure services | -4 | |||
| Total | -4 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct medical procedure services | 204 | |||
| Total | 204 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/7/2025 | -41.7% | -45.5% | -71.7% |
| 8/1/2025 | -10.5% | -6.2% | -2.4% |
| 5/2/2025 | 33.6% | 25.2% | 97.3% |
| 1/13/2025 | -19.9% | -10.9% | -9.7% |
| 10/24/2024 | 5.3% | 10.5% | 27.4% |
| 8/9/2024 | 1.0% | -1.3% | -5.8% |
| 5/10/2024 | -12.1% | -19.9% | -23.0% |
| 2/27/2024 | -2.1% | -5.5% | -4.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 7.7% | 15.8% | 27.4% |
| Median Negative | -12.1% | -10.9% | -11.9% |
| Max Positive | 33.6% | 28.2% | 97.3% |
| Max Negative | -41.7% | -45.5% | -71.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8092024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5102024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11132023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3102023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11142022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5132022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3112022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |