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Senmiao Technology (AIHS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.34 | Market Cap: $0.1 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Senmiao Technology (AIHS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.34
Market Cap: $0.1 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Trading Companies & Distributors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -2068%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -157%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -110%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -97%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.2%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 499%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9922%
3   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 942%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -2068%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -97%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 499%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -107%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -157%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -3.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -110%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -2.2%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9922%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 942%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AIHS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Senmiao Technology (AIHS) experienced a significant stock movement of -40.7% in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors: 1. Share Dilution from a Registered Direct Offering. The company announced and subsequently closed a registered direct offering in November 2025, raising approximately $2.8 million by issuing new common shares and pre-funded warrants. This offering was anticipated to cause significant dilution for existing shareholders, leading to a 22.8% collapse in the stock price on the day of the announcement, November 14, 2025.

2. Ongoing Concerns Regarding Financial Performance. Senmiao Technology has consistently demonstrated weak financial performance, including a reported net income loss of $164,397 in the first quarter of 2025. The company operates with thin and negative profit margins, coupled with high total liabilities, signaling underlying financial instability that contributed to investor unease.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AIHS Return60%-65%-76%-55%161%-87%-98%
Peers Return26%36%-10%40%9%6%148%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AIHS Win Rate42%33%42%42%58%10% 
Peers Win Rate43%50%28%50%48%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AIHS Max Drawdown-54%-66%-80%-77%0%-98% 
Peers Max Drawdown-28%-2%-25%-6%-8%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAIHSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-99.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven10042.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-74.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven293.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven148 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-96.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2885.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to WSO, UHAL, URI, FERG, FAST


In The Past

Senmiao Technology's stock fell -99.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/22/2021. A -99.0% loss requires a 10042.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Senmiao Technology (AIHS)

Better Bets than Senmiao Technology (AIHS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AIHS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Senmiao Technology

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AIHSWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameSenmiao .Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
Mkt Price1.40355.8653.89813.66252.8441.22153.37
Mkt Cap0.013.510.652.249.847.330.4
Rev LTM37,4145,97215,98630,7627,9987,706
Op Inc LTM-47347004,0092,6831,6161,175
FCF LTM0517-1,8204501,603965484
FCF 3Y Avg-1540-1,7174461,7951,069493
CFO LTM05491,6204,9821,9081,2101,415
CFO 3Y Avg05731,5334,8122,1681,2791,406

Growth & Margins

AIHSWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameSenmiao .Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
Rev Chg LTM-16.0%-0.7%5.9%6.7%3.8%6.9%4.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-16.9%1.0%0.5%13.2%2.5%5.5%1.7%
Rev Chg Q-2.2%-4.3%3.7%5.9%6.9%11.7%4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.6%-1.2%1.0%1.5%1.8%2.9%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM-109.9%9.9%11.7%25.1%8.7%20.2%10.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-96.6%10.2%16.6%26.5%9.0%20.4%13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM4.2%-0.1%-0.6%-0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM4.8%7.4%27.1%31.2%6.2%15.1%11.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg1.2%7.7%26.5%32.2%7.2%16.9%12.3%
FCF/Rev LTM4.8%7.0%-30.5%2.8%5.2%12.1%5.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-8.3%7.3%-29.6%2.9%6.0%14.2%4.5%

Valuation

AIHSWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameSenmiao .Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
Mkt Cap0.013.510.652.249.847.330.4
P/S0.02.11.93.81.47.02.0
P/EBIT-0.020.917.915.016.434.717.2
P/E-0.029.348.124.223.145.926.8
P/CFO0.227.96.912.322.546.517.4
Total Yield-9,917.7%6.4%2.4%4.9%4.3%3.9%4.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.0%0.3%0.7%0.0%1.7%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-96.4%3.4%-14.2%0.9%-2.7%0.9%
D/E6.10.00.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E-20.7-0.00.50.20.10.00.1

Returns

AIHSWSOUHALURIFERGFASTMedian
NameSenmiao .Watsco U-Haul United R.Ferguson.Fastenal  
1M Rtn-11.9%-1.5%1.6%-4.9%2.1%0.4%-0.5%
3M Rtn-63.8%-8.8%-5.7%-13.7%10.4%-16.3%-11.3%
6M Rtn-84.6%-18.9%-14.8%17.3%17.9%1.8%-6.5%
12M Rtn-84.1%-32.7%-25.5%-5.5%16.4%1.7%-15.5%
3Y Rtn-84.6%44.6%-19.4%135.6%-72.8%44.6%
1M Excs Rtn-11.9%-1.5%1.6%-4.9%2.2%0.5%-0.5%
3M Excs Rtn-60.9%-16.4%-12.9%-20.8%1.2%-22.9%-18.6%
6M Excs Rtn-99.3%-33.6%-29.6%2.6%3.1%-12.9%-21.2%
12M Excs Rtn-97.9%-47.3%-37.3%-18.8%5.6%-12.8%-28.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-157.2%-30.1%-82.5%68.9%-0.8%-30.1%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9,085
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-54.2%
Average Daily Volume46,394
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity108,280
Short % of Basic Shares8.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025819202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025710202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241114202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024814202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024627202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023209202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023713202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022715202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021214202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-Q 9/30/2021