7 Red Days In A Row: Palantir Technologies Stock Is Down 14%

PLTRYTD-3.4%SPYYTD+13.0%QQQYTD+12.9%
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Palantir Technologies (PLTR) stock is on a 7-day losing streak, down 13.6% since the run began. That erased about $65.3 billion from the company’s market value, which now stands at about $413.1 billion. The stock closed at $171.70 on Wednesday, November 4, 17.9% below its 52-week high of $209.05 and 60.1% above its low of $107.27.

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How The Streak Stacks Up Against The S&P 500

Returns for PLTR and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Wednesday, November 4 and including dividends:
 

Return Period PLTR S&P 500
1 Day -2.1% 1.6%
7 Days (Current Streak) -13.6% 0.2%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) -10.6% -1.6%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) 10.1% 0.0%
Year To Date -3.4% 13.4%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) -17.1% 13.5%

How The Streak Compares With The Market

The market explains little of this: the S&P 500 gained 0.2% over the same 7 sessions, including dividends, against Palantir Technologies’ -13.6%. No other S&P 500 stock is currently on a losing streak of 7 days or longer. Over the past three months the stock is up 10.1%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 56 sessions of that window it was up 27.5%.

Is The Business As Weak As The Stock?

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 87.1% over the last twelve months, against a median of 17.9% for S&P 500 Information Technology stocks; its operating margin is 45.6%, versus a median of 21.5%; and the stock trades at 112.6 times trailing earnings against a median of 29.6. The read is mixed: revenue growth above the median and margins above the median on one side, a multiple well above the median on the other.

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Falling Prices Test Conviction. Rules Do Not Flinch

A losing streak forces a choice on every holder: sell into weakness, average down, or freeze. All three are emotional answers to what should be an analytical question, and decisions made that way tend to be expensive ones.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio takes the emotion out: about 30 quality businesses screened for the fundamentals that survive bad stretches, held and rebalanced by rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Let the rules decide, not the tape.