What HD Holders Got Paid While The Stock Fell Behind

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HD: Home Depot logo
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Home Depot

Home Depot sent its owners a torrent of cash, yet the stock trailed the market. Here is the accounting of what that trade-off actually bought, and what it means now.

For an investor focused on cash returns, owning Home Depot (HD) presents a paradox. Over the last five years, the home improvement retailer has handed shareholders a huge $68 billion in cash. That figure, equal to about 19.3% of the company’s entire market value today, dwarfs the $5.8 billion returned by the median S&P 500 company. The checks were generous and consistent. And yet, the stock, trading around $354.48 as of 8/11/2026, has underperformed the S&P 500 over the last twelve months (HD -6.2% vs. the S&P 500’s +22.0%), forcing owners to weigh the value of large cash payouts against lagging share price appreciation.

Image by Steve Buissinne from Pixabay

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The cash machine printed a fortune for owners.

The source of this capital is the large, steady business of selling everything from paint to power tools to both do-it-yourself homeowners and professional contractors. Of the $68 billion returned to owners over five years, $42 billion arrived as direct dividend payments. The other $26 billion was used to repurchase company stock, shrinking the share count and increasing each remaining owner’s stake in the business. That buyback program has been paused since March 2024 as Home Depot works down debt from the SRS and GMS acquisitions: nearly all of the $26 billion came from FY2021–FY2023.

The stock itself delivered a different story.

Here is the paradox. While the cash payouts were exceptional, the total return for holding the stock was not. Over the same five-year period, Home Depot stock delivered a total return of +21%, dividends included. An investor holding a simple S&P 500 index fund would have seen a return of +86%. The cash returned to owners is cash that was not reinvested for growth, and the market seems to have priced the company for exactly that.

The business reason for this caution is clear in management’s own commentary: “larger discretionary projects remain under pressure” amid “greater consumer uncertainty and housing affordability pressure.” This is the honest catch. The torrent of cash might not be a sign of pure discipline, but of a business facing a slowdown in big-ticket spending, with fewer high-growth projects to fund. For investors who prefer the sector’s potential without concentrating on a single name, a consumer discretionary ETF like XLY offers broader exposure.

The Pro customer now carries the weight of the payout.

For the dividend checks to keep clearing, the core business must hold its ground against a difficult housing backdrop. Management’s strategy is to lean heavily into its professional customers. The company notes that its Pro segment “posted positive comps and outperformed DIY” in the most recent quarter, a sign that its investments in services and its acquisition of distributor SRS are resonating with contractors.

This is the engine the company is counting on to power through the consumer slowdown. Management is holding firm, reaffirming its full-year guidance for comparable sales growth in a range of 0.0% to 2.0%. The single thing to watch is whether its Pro customer can deliver the sales needed to hit that target.

Curious which companies write the biggest checks to their owners? Our Buybacks & Dividends ranking sorts every name we track by total cash returned.

One Generous Company Is Income. Thirty Is A Plan.

A record like this shows what disciplined capital return looks like. It is still one company’s discipline, one board’s choice, and one industry’s cash cycle, and any of the three can change.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio assembles about 30 businesses with exactly the traits that fund durable payouts: consistent cash generation, strong margins, sound balance sheets, and re-balances them by rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the three major indices – the S&P 500, S&P Mid-cap, and Russell 2000. Take the income lesson; apply it across a portfolio.