S&P 500 Movers | Winners: EXPE, DLTR, CHD | Losers: STX, SNDK, CIEN

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A day of divergent indexes raises the question of which moves have staying power and which are just noise.

Gartner (IT) appears on both the one-day and one-month winners lists, a rare sign of persistence. This stands out on a day when the major indexes could not agree on a direction. The S&P 500 returned -0.3% and the Nasdaq-100 returned -1.0%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average returned +0.3%.

The day’s biggest individual moves, both positive and negative, are detailed in the tables that follow.

Photo by ArtsyBee on Pixabay

Monday’s S&P 500 Winners

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The 10 stocks with the highest returns on the last trading day:

# Ticker Company Name 1-D
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 EXPE Expedia 5.4% 20.2%
2 DLTR Dollar Tree 4.0% 11.2%
3 CHD Church & Dwight 3.8% 23.4%
4 MO Altria 3.6% 22.5%
5 GDDY GoDaddy 3.6% -19.0%
6 IT Gartner 3.5% -19.6%
7 CVNA Carvana 3.5% -14.3%
8 BXP 3.4% 6.2%
9 TSCO Tractor Supply 3.4% -26.8%
10 AWK American Water Works 3.3% 9.4%

Monday’s S&P 500 Losers

And the 10 stocks with the lowest returns:

# Ticker Company Name 1-D
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 STX Seagate Technology -6.5% 189.3%
2 SNDK SanDisk -6.5% 529.0%
3 CIEN Ciena -6.0% 59.0%
4 MU Micron Technology -5.8% 219.2%
5 JBHT JB Hunt Transport Services -5.7% 34.5%
6 SMCI Super Micro Computer -5.6% 20.2%
7 WDC Western Digital -5.2% 152.9%
8 COHR Coherent -4.8% 49.3%
9 AXON Axon Enterprise -4.8% 5.2%
10 FDXF FedEx Freight -4.4% n/a

Gartner’s strength is not a one-day event.

The data shows some gains have deeper roots. Gartner’s one-month return is +44.3%, and its strength is not a one-day event; excluding today, it still gained +39.4% over the other sessions. This kind of follow-through is what separates a durable trend from a fleeting reaction.

Movers Over The Last Week

Widening the window to five trading days, these are the strongest and weakest S&P 500 names:

# Ticker Company Name 1-W
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 MRNA Moderna 115.5% 371.0%
2 EL Estee Lauder Companies 23.5% 0.1%
3 COIN Coinbase Global 19.2% -20.6%
4 ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities 15.1% 13.6%
5 FCX Freeport-McMoRan 13.8% 54.3%
6 JKHY Jack Henry & Associates 13.8% -5.8%
7 IT Gartner 13.2% -19.6%
8 MOS Mosaic 13.0% 1.5%
9 CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill 12.6% 2.8%
10 TGT Target 12.5% 78.6%

 

# Ticker Company Name 1-W
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 COHR Coherent -21.6% 49.3%
2 STX Seagate Technology -20.1% 189.3%
3 WDC Western Digital -18.8% 152.9%
4 FLEX -18.0% 76.5%
5 TER Teradyne -17.7% 88.7%
6 JBL Jabil -17.6% 33.8%
7 CIEN Ciena -16.4% 59.0%
8 SNDK SanDisk -16.4% 529.0%
9 GLW Corning -16.0% 66.8%
10 INTC Intel -15.7% 136.5%

Movers Over The Last Month

And over the last 21 trading days:

# Ticker Company Name 1-M
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 MRNA Moderna 156.9% 371.0%
2 WDAY Workday 47.1% -7.3%
3 IT Gartner 44.3% -19.6%
4 PLTR Palantir Technologies 43.1% -1.0%
5 NEM Newmont 41.5% 32.6%
6 ZBRA Zebra Technologies 39.8% 49.6%
7 CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions 37.7% -23.7%
8 ABNB Airbnb 34.8% 40.1%
9 VEEV Veeva Systems 33.4% 11.3%
10 DASH DoorDash 32.5% 1.1%

 

# Ticker Company Name 1-M
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 LII Lennox International -26.2% -17.4%
2 DVA DaVita -25.0% 55.4%
3 APP AppLovin -23.8% -55.7%
4 CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide -23.4% -10.5%
5 TTD Trade Desk -23.3% -65.0%
6 HONA Honeywell Aerospace -21.0% n/a
7 NRG NRG Energy -20.5% -29.1%
8 NXPI NXP Semiconductors -17.4% 3.4%
9 ON ON Semiconductor -17.1% 32.8%
10 VST Vistra -17.0% -15.7%

Discipline starts after the leaderboard.

The tables earlier in this report are a map of market attention, not a set of instructions. A large daily move, like the -6.5% return for Seagate Technology (STX) or the +5.4% for Expedia (EXPE), is simply a signal to do more work.

A disciplined investor uses that signal to check the fundamentals. For Seagate, that might mean looking at its $178.8 billion market value and its 34.1% revenue growth over the last twelve months. For Expedia, it could be its 12.0% revenue growth or its valuation of 20.0 times trailing earnings (on trailing earnings that include at least one loss quarter, so the multiple is not comparable to a clean-year multiple). The move gets your attention; the business context determines your next step.

Either side of these lists can be a lead worth following, with the same follow-up question: does the business back the move? For the winners, our Guidance Momentum screen tracks which companies raised their own forward numbers. For the losers, our Buy the Dip screen flags which marked-down names still have the fundamentals to recover.

The Tape Rewards Attention. It Punishes Reaction

Big daily moves pull hard at both greed and fear, and acting on either, day after day, is how most portfolios end up trailing the index they were trying to beat.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio is built for the opposite reflex: about 30 quality businesses screened for the fundamentals that survive volatile stretches, held with rules instead of reactions. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the three major indices – the S&P 500, S&P Mid-cap, and Russell 2000. Read the movers daily; trade them rarely.