S&P 500 Movers | Winners: MRNA, EL, MRK | Losers: STX, STLD, WDC

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A day of quiet averages hid some of the most extreme single-stock moves of the year.

Moderna (MRNA) gained +177.0% in a single session. On a day the S&P 500 itself barely moved, returning just +0.2%, that extreme divergence raises the most important question for any daily tape-watcher: what separates a stock from the market, and is that separation a sudden event or part of a larger story? The day’s full leaderboard of winners and losers follows.

Photo by ArtsyBee on Pixabay

Wednesday’s S&P 500 Winners

The 10 stocks with the highest returns on the last trading day:

# Ticker Company Name 1-D
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 MRNA Moderna 177.0% 491.3%
2 EL Estee Lauder Companies 16.3% -5.8%
3 MRK Merck 12.6% 46.7%
4 ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities 10.3% 6.3%
5 MRVL Marvell Technology 9.8% 179.6%
6 COIN Coinbase Global 9.6% -29.2%
7 CVNA Carvana 8.4% -16.5%
8 NEM Newmont 7.8% 25.8%
9 FICO Fair Isaac 7.7% -31.3%
10 CSGP CoStar 7.5% -49.8%

Wednesday’s S&P 500 Losers

And the 10 stocks with the lowest returns:

# Ticker Company Name 1-D
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 STX Seagate Technology -7.9% 203.1%
2 STLD Steel Dynamics -7.5% 37.1%
3 WDC Western Digital -6.9% 168.4%
4 DELL Dell Technologies -6.6% 250.8%
5 LRCX Lam Research -6.3% 79.8%
6 KEYS Keysight Technologies -6.3% 57.2%
7 COHR Coherent -6.2% 55.8%
8 TER Teradyne -6.1% 96.3%
9 FLEX Flex -6.0% 87.1%
10 NUE Nucor -5.8% 53.4%

Is today’s biggest move a new story or an old one?

Persistence is the key pattern. Moderna (MRNA) was today’s strongest name, a position reinforced by its appearance on the one-month winners list with a return of +192.3%. The source data notes its strength is not a one-day event. This performance contrasts with its fundamentals, as its revenue declined 27.7% over the last twelve months.

The same pattern appears in the day’s losers. Western Digital (WDC) is on both the one-day and one-month losers lists, with a one-month return of -15.7%. The data confirms its weakness has been building for weeks.

Movers Over The Last Week

Widening the window to five trading days, these are the strongest and weakest S&P 500 names:

# Ticker Company Name 1-W
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 MRNA Moderna 173.9% 491.3%
2 CPRT Copart 16.8% -13.5%
3 SNDK SanDisk 16.7% 560.9%
4 MRK Merck 14.5% 46.7%
5 WDAY Workday 13.2% -7.6%
6 EL Estee Lauder Companies 11.8% -5.8%
7 PSKY Paramount Skydance 11.6% -20.1%
8 FICO Fair Isaac 11.2% -31.3%
9 CSGP CoStar 10.6% -49.8%
10 TRGP Targa Resources 10.6% 63.4%

 

# Ticker Company Name 1-W
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 COHR Coherent -19.2% 55.8%
2 TPR Tapestry -14.3% 3.7%
3 AVGO Broadcom -12.9% 5.1%
4 STLD Steel Dynamics -12.2% 37.1%
5 JBL Jabil -11.8% 41.7%
6 ANET Arista Networks -11.4% 42.3%
7 Q Qnity Electronics -11.3% 54.5%
8 LITE Lumentum -11.2% 124.5%
9 CSCO Cisco Systems -10.8% 45.6%
10 KLAC KLA -10.0% 54.7%

Movers Over The Last Month

And over the last 21 trading days:

# Ticker Company Name 1-M
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 MRNA Moderna 192.3% 491.3%
2 SMCI Super Micro Computer 43.5% 25.0%
3 IT Gartner 43.1% -23.6%
4 WDAY Workday 40.6% -7.6%
5 CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions 40.5% -25.3%
6 LDOS Leidos 39.4% -18.4%
7 NEM Newmont 35.2% 25.8%
8 ZBRA Zebra Technologies 35.2% 46.1%
9 VEEV Veeva Systems 32.6% 12.4%
10 CRL Charles River Laboratories International 32.2% 45.4%

 

# Ticker Company Name 1-M
Returns
YTD
Returns
1 CHRW C.H. Robinson Worldwide -31.0% -9.5%
2 APP AppLovin -27.5% -53.9%
3 TTD Trade Desk -25.8% -64.3%
4 DVA DaVita -25.3% 56.0%
5 LII Lennox International -20.9% -13.2%
6 RDDT Reddit -18.4% -34.0%
7 NXPI NXP Semiconductors -17.3% 5.0%
8 ROL Rollins -16.9% -38.9%
9 ON ON Semiconductor -15.9% 41.4%
10 WDC Western Digital -15.7% 168.4%

So how should an investor use these lists?

A movers list is a map of attention, not a set of instructions. A large daily move is simply information that the market is rapidly repricing a company’s prospects and risks. The names on the one-day, one-week, and one-month lists shown earlier are starting points for research, not finishing lines.

The disciplined follow-up is always to look past the ticker to the business itself. For today’s biggest loser, Seagate Technology (STX), which returned -7.9%, that would mean understanding a company that trades at 58.8 times trailing earnings while its revenue grew 34.1% over the last twelve months.

Either side of these lists can be a lead worth following, with the same follow-up question: does the business back the move? For the winners, our Guidance Momentum screen tracks which companies raised their own forward numbers. For the losers, our Buy the Dip screen flags which marked-down names still have the fundamentals to recover.

The Tape Rewards Attention. It Punishes Reaction

Big daily moves pull hard at both greed and fear, and acting on either, day after day, is how most portfolios end up trailing the index they were trying to beat.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio is built for the opposite reflex: about 30 quality businesses screened for the fundamentals that survive volatile stretches, held with rules instead of reactions. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the three major indices – the S&P 500, S&P Mid-cap, and Russell 2000. Read the movers daily; trade them rarely.