What Is The Market Saying About Nvidia?

by Trefis Team
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Nvidia’s (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock has been steadily climbing. The company’s market value recently reached a record high, with more Wall Street analysts becoming increasingly bullish on the stock. Almost all of this sentiment is hinged on the expectation that Nvidia will become a dominant player in the Artificial Intelligence chip market, which is forecast to reach $30 billion by Bank of America Merrill Lynch. So what does the current market price indicate? We ran scenarios on our base Nvidia model using our interactive technology, and estimate that in order to justify the current market price, Nvidia’s GPU margins will have to hit 50% and its data center revenue will have to breach $10 billion in revenue in the next five to seven years. See our interactive model for Nvidia and run your own scenarios to see the impact they have on the company’s EPS, revenue and valuation.

So why investors are going crazy over AI? With the recent advancements in neural networks and machine learning, companies are increasingly automating tasks or using artificial intelligence to identify patterns and behavior. This data-intensive computation is being supported by the expansion of data centers by cloud service providers, and these data centers need microprocessors. Intel has generally dominated this market, but lately Nvidia has been making inroads. Its GPUs have an advantage over CPUs when it comes to parallel processing to speed up computations.

Nvidia has seen strong demand from cloud service providers and enterprises building training clusters for web services. A lot of purchases are coming from high-performance computing, GRID graphics virtualization, and the DGX-1 AI super-computer. Tesla GPUs are gaining traction among supercomputing centers globally. The possibility that Nvidia could make a significant dent in what has been traditionally Intel’s stronghold is an exciting prospect for Nvidia’s investors, and one that has partly fueled its recent stock rally.

See our complete analysis for Nvidia

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