Fortive Stock: 7 Straight Green Days, Up 12%

FTVYTD+19.6%SPYYTD+13.4%XLIYTD+10.3%
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Fortive (FTV) stock has risen for 7 consecutive trading days, gaining 11.5% over that stretch. That added about $2.0 billion to the company’s market value, which now stands at about $19.5 billion. The stock closed at $64.11 on Wednesday, October 28, its highest close of the past year.

Image from Pixabay

 
FTV Versus The S&P 500

Returns for FTV and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Wednesday, October 28 and including dividends:
 

Return Period FTV S&P 500
1 Day 4.0% 0.3%
7 Days (Current Streak) 11.5% 0.7%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) 15.7% 1.0%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) 9.8% 4.4%
Year To Date 16.5% 14.2%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) 30.2% 14.0%

Is This Move About Fortive Or The Market?

Over the same 7 trading days, the S&P 500 returned +0.7% including dividends, so the run is mostly Fortive’s own story rather than the market’s. 2 other S&P 500 stocks are currently on winning streaks of 7 days or longer. Over the past three months the stock is up 9.8%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 56 sessions of that window it was essentially flat (-1.6%).

Is The Business Keeping Up With The Stock?

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 5.6% over the last twelve months, against a median of 7.9% for S&P 500 Industrials stocks; its operating margin is 18.2%, versus a median of 17.6%; and the stock trades at 36.5 times trailing earnings against a median of 26.1. The read is mixed: margins above the median on one side, revenue growth below the median on the other.

If you are looking for strength with more behind it than a hot tape, our Guidance Momentum screen surfaces the names where management raised its own outlook.

Streaks End. Discipline Compounds

A run like this is genuinely useful information: something about this business has the market’s full attention. But streaks are where discipline gets tested, because the urge to chase strength is strongest right before it pauses.

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio channels that urge into a system: roughly 30 businesses selected for consistent cash generation, strong margins, and resilient balance sheets, sized and rebalanced with rules rather than excitement. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Enjoy the streak; own the process.