Flex Stock Slides 36% Over 10 Straight Down Days

FLEXYTD+26.7%SPYYTD+12.0%QQQYTD+14.9%
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Flex stock has fallen for 10 consecutive trading days, losing 36.1% over that stretch. That erased about $15.8 billion from the company’s market value, which now stands at about $28.0 billion. The stock closed at $76.55 on Friday, October 23, 52.8% below its 52-week high of $162.07 and 40.4% above its low of $54.51.

Image from Pixabay

 
How The Streak Stacks Up Against The S&P 500

Returns for FLEX and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Friday, October 23 and including dividends:
 

Return Period FLEX S&P 500
1 Day -0.2% -0.5%
10 Days (Current Streak) -36.1% -2.4%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) -31.9% -1.0%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) -34.0% 3.1%
Year To Date 26.7% 12.4%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) 24.8% 15.1%

A Stock-Specific Slide, Or A Market Move?

The market explains little of this: the S&P 500 lost 2.4% over the same 10 sessions, including dividends, against Flex’s -36.1%. 1 other S&P 500 stock is currently on losing streaks of 10 days or longer. Over the past three months the stock is down 34.0%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 53 sessions of that window it was up 3.2%.

What The Numbers Say About The Slide

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 12.2% over the last twelve months, against a median of 17.9% for S&P 500 Information Technology stocks; its operating margin is 5.2%, versus a median of 21.6%; and the stock trades at 28.8 times trailing earnings against a median of 34.1. On these numbers the business looks sturdier than the stock, with a multiple below the median.

If the drop has you weighing an entry, resist buying on price alone. Our Buy the Dip screen ranks the marked-down names where growth and cash generation still hold up.

Weakness In One Name Should Be Noise, Not News

For a diversified holder, a streak like this is a data point. For a concentrated one, it is a hole in the plan. The difference is never the stock; it is the portfolio built around it.

Building that portfolio is what the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio does: roughly 30 businesses with the cash generation and balance-sheet strength to absorb a bad month, selected and rebalanced by rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Make the next streak, in either direction, someone else’s drama.