Crocs Stock Climbs 29% On A 6-Day Winning Streak

CROXYTD+79.6%SPYYTD+11.2%XLYYTD-1.3%
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Crocs (CROX) stock is on a 6-day winning streak, up 29.2% since the run began. That added about $1.6 billion to the company’s market value, which now stands at about $7.3 billion. The stock closed at $153.61 on Tuesday, November 3, its highest close of the past year.

Image from Pixabay

 
How The Streak Stacks Up Against The S&P 500

Returns for CROX and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Tuesday, November 3 and including dividends:
 

Return Period CROX S&P 500
1 Day 0.3% 0.4%
6 Days (Current Streak) 29.2% -1.4%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) 30.0% -2.6%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) 11.9% -1.7%
Year To Date 79.6% 11.6%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) 88.0% 11.9%

A Stock-Specific Run, Or A Market Move?

Over the same 6 trading days, the S&P 500 returned -1.4% including dividends, so the run is mostly Crocs’ own story rather than the market’s. Over the past three months the stock is up 11.9%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 57 sessions of that window it was down 13.5%.

Is The Business Keeping Up With The Stock?

On the fundamentals, revenue grew 0.7% over the last twelve months, against a median of 7.4% for S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary stocks; its operating margin is 22.6%, versus a median of 14.9%; and the stock trades at 11.0 times trailing earnings against a median of 19.5. The read is mixed: margins above the median and a multiple below the median on one side, revenue growth below the median on the other.

If you are looking for strength with more behind it than a hot tape, our Guidance Momentum screen surfaces the names where management raised its own outlook.

One Hot Stock Is A Story. Thirty Sound Ones Are A Strategy

A streak like this earns a place on your watchlist, and it also earns a question: how much of your outcome do you want depending on one company keeping this up?

The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio answers it with breadth: roughly 30 businesses picked for consistent cash generation, strong margins, and balance-sheet strength, sized and rebalanced by rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Follow the story; invest in the strategy.