Tearsheet

Meta Platforms (META)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $677.02 | Market Cap: $1.7 Tril
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Meta Platforms (META)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $677.02
Market Cap: $1.7 Tril
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Interactive Media & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Social Media & Creator Economy, Digital Advertising, and Metaverse & Immersive Technologies. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Social Media & Creator Economy, Digital Advertising, and Metaverse & Immersive Technologies. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

META Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The Meta Platforms (META) stock experienced a significant movement in the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. This decline of 13.4% can be attributed to several key factors that emerged during this time.

1. Major Increase in AI Capital Expenditures and Investor Concerns: Meta Platforms announced a substantial increase in its capital expenditures for AI infrastructure, particularly during its Q3 2025 earnings call on October 29, 2025. This included raising the low end of its capex budget for 2025 to a new range of $70 billion to $72 billion and anticipating a significantly larger increase in 2026. This aggressive spending, reminiscent of prior large investments in the Metaverse with unclear returns, sparked investor anxiety about potential strains on cash flow and profitability, leading to a stock drop of 12-14% following the announcement.

2. One-Time Income Tax Charge in Q3 2025: In its Q3 2025 earnings report, Meta recorded a one-time, non-cash income tax charge of nearly $16 billion. This charge was a result of implementing President Donald Trump's OBBBA tax law and significantly impacted the company's reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, causing it to fall to $1.05 compared to an expected $6.70. While the law is expected to lead to significantly lower taxes in future years, the immediate large charge negatively affected investor sentiment.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
META Return33%23%-64%194%66%11%217%
Peers Return93%12%-40%57%8%11%145%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
META Win Rate58%67%33%92%67%40% 
Peers Win Rate55%53%25%50%42%66% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
META Max Drawdown-29%-10%-74%0%-3%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-15%-44%-4%-18%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MSFT, GOOGL, Z, SNAP, STUB. See META Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMETAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-76.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven329.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven442 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven65 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven381 days120 days

Compare to MSFT, GOOGL, Z, SNAP, STUB


In The Past

Meta Platforms's stock fell -76.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/7/2021. A -76.7% loss requires a 329.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Meta Platforms (META)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to META. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
META_4302024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302024METAMeta PlatformsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
38.2%28.1%0.0%
META_11302022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302022METAMeta PlatformsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
124.1%177.0%-3.5%
META_5312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312022METAMeta PlatformsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-43.5%36.7%-54.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PINS_11302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.9%2.9%0.0%
TMUS_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025TMUST-Mobile USMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.8%0.8%-1.2%
Z_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ZZillowMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.3%1.3%0.0%
IRDM_11072025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11072025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.5%-0.5%-5.6%
TTD_10032025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10032025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-22.5%-22.5%-25.6%
META_4302024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302024METAMeta PlatformsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
38.2%28.1%0.0%
META_11302022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302022METAMeta PlatformsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
124.1%177.0%-3.5%
META_5312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312022METAMeta PlatformsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-43.5%36.7%-54.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Meta Platforms

Peers to compare with:

Financials

METAMSFTGOOGLZSNAPSTUBMedian
NameMeta Pla.MicrosoftAlphabet Zillow Snap Stubhub  
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Growth & Margins

METAMSFTGOOGLZSNAPSTUBMedian
NameMeta Pla.MicrosoftAlphabet Zillow Snap Stubhub  
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Valuation

METAMSFTGOOGLZSNAPSTUBMedian
NameMeta Pla.MicrosoftAlphabet Zillow Snap Stubhub  
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Returns

METAMSFTGOOGLZSNAPSTUBMedian
NameMeta Pla.MicrosoftAlphabet Zillow Snap Stubhub  
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Family of Apps133,006114,450115,65584,826 
Reality Labs1,8962,1592,2741,139 
Single Segment    70,697
Total134,902116,609117,92985,96570,697


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Family of Apps62,87142,66156,94639,294 
Reality Labs-16,120-13,717-10,193-6,623 
Total46,75128,94446,75332,671 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity30,166,415
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120257.9%
Average Daily Volume23,018,797
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.31
Basic Shares Quantity2,517,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025501202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024130202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023202202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-K 12/31/2021