com.insightguru.giraffe.server.utils.PresentationUtil$PresentationTitle@23b60f40
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(1) Revenues expected to be well ahead of consensus estimates
Trefis estimates TSLA's Q3 2021 revenues to be $12.8 Bil, well ahead of the consensus estimate of $9.95 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q3
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Trefis Estimates for Tesla Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 46.3%
The chart to the right highlights trends in Tesla's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q3 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
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(2) EPS likely to comfortably beat consensus estimates
TSLA's Q3 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $25.9 per Trefis analysis, comfortably beating the consensus estimate of $0.76 by 3305%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q3
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Trefis Estimates for Tesla EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): 7,988%
The chart to the right highlights trends in TSLA's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q3 2021.
Quarterly Adjusted EPS Trend
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(3) Stock price estimate 30% lower than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $590 for TSLA's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $843.
TSLA Stock Price
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The Trefis Price Estimate for Tesla stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in TSLA stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in TSLA's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
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#1. Estimating Tesla's Total Revenues:
Tesla's Revenues have seen a substantial increase of 46.9% from around $21 Bil in FY2018 to $32 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $51 Bil in FY2021
Total Revenue
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A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Tesla's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Deriving Tesla's Adjusted Net Income:
Tesla's Adjusted Net Income has increased from around $-231 Mil in FY2018 to $2.5 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $6.0 Bil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Tesla's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
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Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
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Total Revenue [B]
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#3. Determining Tesla's Adjusted EPS:
Tesla's Adjusted EPS has increased from $-0.27 in FY2018 to $2.27 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $5.44 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in adjusted net income and a higher expected share count due to equity issuances.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
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Adjusted Net Income [A]
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Shares Outstanding [B]
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#4. Estimating Tesla's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $590 For Tesla's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 108.3x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 Adjusted EPS of $5.44
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
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Adjusted EPS [A]
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P/E Multiple [B]
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