Here are some sample widgets you could interact with from this dashboard:
(1) Revenues expected to be well below consensus estimates
Trefis estimates TGT's FQ2 2021 revenues to be $22.1 Bil, well below the consensus estimate of $27.4 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for Target Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): -3.6%
The chart to the right highlights trends in Target's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ2 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to miss consensus estimates
TGT's FQ2 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $1.73 per Trefis analysis, missing the consensus estimate of $2.51 by 31%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for Target EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): -48.8%
The chart to the right highlights trends in TGT's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ2 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate largely around current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $263 for TGT's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $263.
TGT Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for Target stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in TGT stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in TGT's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating Target's Total Revenues:
Target's Revenues have seen a significant increase of 24.1% from around $75 Bil in FY2018 to $94 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $102 Bil in FY2021
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Target's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Deriving Target's Adjusted Net Income:
Target's Adjusted Net Income has increased from around $2.8 Bil in FY2018 to $4.7 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $6.2 Bil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Target's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Target's Adjusted EPS:
Target's Adjusted EPS has increased from $5.38 in FY2018 to $9.42 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $12.42 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in adjusted net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
Adjusted Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Target's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $263 For Target's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 21.2x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 Adjusted EPS of $12.42
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
Adjusted EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]