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(1) Revenues expected to be well ahead of consensus estimates
Trefis estimates ICE's Q2 2021 revenues to be $2.31 Bil, well ahead of the consensus estimate of $1.74 Bil
Estimated Net Revenues - 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for Intercontinental Exchange Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 17.5%
The chart to the right highlights trends in Intercontinental Exchange's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q2 2021.
Quarterly Net Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to miss consensus estimates
ICE's Q2 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $0.88 per Trefis analysis, missing the consensus estimate of $1.22 by 28%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q2(E)
Trefis Estimates for Intercontinental Exchange EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): -7.9%
The chart to the right highlights trends in ICE's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q2 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate 9.8% higher than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $132 for ICE's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $120.
ICE Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for Intercontinental Exchange stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in ICE stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in ICE's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating Intercontinental Exchange's Total Revenues:
Intercontinental Exchange's Revenues have seen a substantial increase of 31.4% from around $6.3 Bil in FY2018 to $8.2 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $9.2 Bil in FY2021
Total Revenue
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Intercontinental Exchange's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Deriving Intercontinental Exchange's Adjusted Net Income:
Intercontinental Exchange's Adjusted Net Income has increased from around $2.0 Bil in FY2018 to $2.1 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to fall to $1.7 Bil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and weaker margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Intercontinental Exchange's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Intercontinental Exchange's Adjusted EPS:
Intercontinental Exchange's Adjusted EPS has increased from $3.43 in FY2018 to $3.76 in FY2020 and we expect it to fall to $3.15 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to a reduction in adjusted net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
Adjusted Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Intercontinental Exchange's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $132 For Intercontinental Exchange's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 42.0x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 Adjusted EPS of $3.15
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
Adjusted EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]