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(1) Revenues expected to be slightly ahead of consensus estimates
Trefis estimates HON's FQ1 2021 revenues to be $8.7 Bil, slightly ahead of the consensus estimate of $8.63 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q1(E)
Trefis Estimates for Honeywell Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 2.8%
The chart to the right highlights trends in Honeywell's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ1 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to marginally beat consensus estimates
HON's FQ1 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $1.96 per Trefis analysis, marginally beating the consensus estimate of $1.94 by 1.0%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q1(E)
Trefis Estimates for Honeywell EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): -12.1%
The chart to the right highlights trends in HON's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for FQ1 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate largely around current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $229 for HON's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $230.
HON Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for Honeywell stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in HON stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in HON's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating Honeywell's Total Revenues:
Honeywell's Revenues have seen a significant decrease of -21.9% from around $42 Bil in FY2018 to $33 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $35 Bil in FY2021
Total Revenue
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Honeywell's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
Comparing Honeywell's Total Revenues with that of its Peers
Honeywell - Total Revenue
#2. Deriving Honeywell's Adjusted Net Income:
Honeywell's Adjusted Net Income has decreased from around $6.2 Bil in FY2018 to $5.0 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $5.6 Bil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and improved margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Honeywell's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Honeywell's Adjusted EPS:
Honeywell's Adjusted EPS has decreased from $8.01 in FY2018 to $7.1 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $8.0 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in adjusted net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
Adjusted Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Honeywell's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $229 For Honeywell's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 28.6x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 Adjusted EPS of $8.0
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
Adjusted EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]
Comparing Honeywell's Historical P/E Multiple with that of its Peers
Honeywell P/E Multiple