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(1) Revenues expected to be well ahead of consensus estimates
Trefis estimates HIG's Q3 2021 revenues to be $7.36 Bil, well ahead of the consensus estimate of $5.18 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q3(E)
Trefis Estimates for Hartford Financial Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 42.3%
The chart to the right highlights trends in Hartford Financial's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q3 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to miss consensus estimates
HIG's Q3 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $1.01 per Trefis analysis, missing the consensus estimate of $1.23 by 18%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q3(E)
Trefis Estimates for Hartford Financial EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): -19.9%
The chart to the right highlights trends in HIG's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q3 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate 6.3% higher than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $78 for HIG's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $73.
HIG Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for Hartford Financial stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in HIG stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in HIG's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating Hartford Financial's Total Revenues:
Hartford Financial's Revenues have seen a increase of 8.3% from around $19 Bil in FY2018 to $21 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $21 Bil in FY2021
Total Revenue
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Hartford Financial's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Deriving Hartford Financial's Adjusted Net Income:
Hartford Financial's Adjusted Net Income has decreased from around $1.8 Bil in FY2018 to $1.7 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $1.7 Bil in FY2021
This change is likely to be led by higher revenues and weaker margins.
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On Hartford Financial's Margins Highlights The Company's Various Expenses Components In Detail.
Adjusted Net Income [AxB]
Adjusted Net Income Margin [A]
Total Revenue [B]
#3. Determining Hartford Financial's Adjusted EPS:
Hartford Financial's Adjusted EPS has decreased from $5.03 in FY2018 to $4.79 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $5.07 in FY2021
The change in EPS can be attributed to an increase in adjusted net income and a lower expected share count due to stock repurchases.
Adjusted EPS [A÷B]
Adjusted Net Income [A]
Shares Outstanding [B]
#4. Estimating Hartford Financial's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $78 For Hartford Financial's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 15.3x P/E Multiple on expected FY2021 Adjusted EPS of $5.07
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
Adjusted EPS [A]
P/E Multiple [B]