Here are some sample widgets you could interact with from this dashboard:
(1) Revenues expected to be slightly below consensus estimates
Trefis estimates AAL's Q3 2021 revenues to be $8.85 Bil, slightly below the consensus estimate of $8.92 Bil
Estimated Revenues - 2021Q3(E)
Trefis Estimates for American Airlines Revenues:
Expected Change (YoY): 178.9%
The chart to the right highlights trends in American Airlines's Revenues over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q3 2021.
Quarterly Revenue Trend
(2) EPS likely to marginally miss consensus estimates
AAL's Q3 2021 earnings per share (EPS) expected to be $-1.1 per Trefis analysis, marginally missing the consensus estimate of $-1.07 by 2.8%
Estimated EPS- 2021Q3(E)
Trefis Estimates for American Airlines EPS:
Expected Change (YoY): -76.6%
The chart to the right highlights trends in AAL's EPS over the last four quarters along with our forecast for Q3 2021.
Quarterly EPS Trend
(3) Stock price estimate 19% lower than current market price
Trefis maintains a fair value of $16 for AAL's stock as opposed to the current market price of roughly $20.
AAL Stock Price
The Trefis Price Estimate for American Airlines stock represents the fair value for the company's stock over a one-year horizon.
Details about the chances of a rise in AAL stock in the near term can be found in a separate interactive dashboard.
The chart to the right highlights trends in AAL's stock price at the end of each of the last four quarters as well as the current stock price.
Stock Price (Quarter End)
#1. Estimating American Airlines's Total Revenues:
American Airlines's Revenues have seen a substantial decrease of -61.5% from around $45 Bil in FY2018 to $17 Bil in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $27 Bil in FY2021
A Separate Interactive Dashboard Analysis On American Airlines's Revenues Details How The Company Makes Money.
#2. Determining American Airlines's Revenue per share (RPS):
American Airlines's Revenue per share has decreased from $95.74 in FY2018 to $35.83 in FY2020 and we expect it to increase to $42.74 in FY2021
The expected change in RPS can be attributed to an increase in Revenues and a higher expected share count due to equity issuances.
Shares Outstanding [B]
#3. Estimating American Airlines's Share Price:
Our Price Estimate of $16 For American Airlines's Stock is based on our Detailed Valuation Model, and implies a 0.4x P/S Multiple on expected FY2021 Adjusted RPS of $42.74
Trefis Price Estimate [AxB]
P/S Multiple [B]