Fiserv Stock Climbs 31% On A 6-Day Winning Streak

FISVYTD-7.6%SPYYTD+13.0%XLFYTD+9.0%
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Fiserv (FISV) stock is on a 6-day winning streak, up 30.9% since the run began. That added about $7.8 billion to the company’s market value, which now stands at about $33.0 billion. The stock closed at $62.05 on Wednesday, November 4, 11.2% below its 52-week high of $69.85 and 39.9% above its low of $44.36.

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The Streak Next To The S&P 500

Returns for FISV and the S&P 500 over the streak and the periods around it, all ending Wednesday, November 4 and including dividends:
 

Return Period FISV S&P 500
1 Day 6.3% 1.6%
6 Days (Current Streak) 30.9% -0.4%
1 Month (21 Trading Days) 36.4% -1.6%
3 Months (63 Trading Days) 14.7% 0.0%
Year To Date -7.6% 13.4%
1 Year (252 Trading Days) -4.7% 13.5%

How The Streak Compares With The Market

The market explains little of this: the S&P 500 lost 0.4% over the same 6 sessions, including dividends, against Fiserv’s +30.9%. 7 other S&P 500 stocks are currently on winning streaks of 6 days or longer. Over the past three months the stock is up 14.7%, a window that includes the streak; over the other 57 sessions of that window it was down 12.4%.

Do The Fundamentals Support The Run?

On the fundamentals, revenue declined 1.7% over the last twelve months, against a median of 10.0% for S&P 500 Financials stocks; and its operating margin is 19.2%, versus a median of 26.7%. Fiserv does not have positive trailing earnings, so there is no meaningful price-to-earnings multiple to compare. The numbers make the run harder to justify: shrinking revenue and margins below the median. At this price, the stock is asking a lot of the business.

If you are looking for strength with more behind it than a hot tape, our Guidance Momentum screen surfaces the names where management raised its own outlook.

Momentum Is A Tailwind, Not A Plan

Riding a stock that rises every day feels effortless, and that is precisely the danger: the same momentum that built this run can reverse without notice, and one name’s reversal should never be able to reset your whole year.

That is what the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio is for: about 30 quality businesses screened for the fundamentals that survive momentum’s mood swings, held with rules. It has a track record of outpacing a benchmark that combines the S&P 500, the S&P MidCap 400, and the Russell 2000. Watch the runs; own the resilience.