RPM International Reports Soon: How Has The Stock Reacted To Past Earnings?

October 5th, 2026 · by Trefis Team
RPMYTD-3.2%SPYYTD+13.5%XLBYTD+8.6%
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RPM International (RPM) is set to report its earnings on Tuesday, October 6, 2026. The company has a market value of about $12.6 billion. Over the last twelve months, it generated $7.9 billion in revenue and $966 million in operating profit, with net income of $661 million.

The reaction will turn on how the results and guidance land against expectations. Before the release, it helps to know how the stock has behaved after previous reports, and whether an early move has tended to carry on.

See the earnings reaction history of all stocks

Image from Pixabay

RPM International’s Historical Odds Of A Positive Post-Earnings Return

Some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns, measured from the last close before each release:

  • There are 20 earnings releases in the last five years, with 13 positive and 7 negative one-day (1D) returns. Positive 1D returns were seen 65% of the time.
  • Over the last three years, that share falls to 64% across 11 releases.
  • The median of the 13 positive 1D returns is 5.8%, and the median of the 7 negative ones is -3.7%.
  • The largest one-day reactions were 12.4% and -13.1%.

The table below shows the 1D, 5-day (5D), and 21-day (21D) returns after each release, followed by summary statistics.

Earnings Date 1D 5D 21D
7/22/2026 5.8% 10.1% 10.0%
4/8/2026 12.4% 12.4% 6.4%
1/8/2026 1.7% 6.1% 12.1%
10/1/2025 -0.6% -4.4% -7.6%
7/24/2025 8.6% 5.1% 10.1%
4/8/2025 -9.1% -0.8% 3.0%
1/7/2025 1.1% 2.9% 3.0%
10/2/2024 6.3% 8.0% 7.1%
7/25/2024 6.8% 9.5% 3.1%
4/4/2024 -5.8% -6.6% -8.2%
1/4/2024 -3.0% -0.1% -0.2%
10/4/2023 6.3% 6.1% 0.7%
7/26/2023 11.2% 13.0% 6.6%
4/6/2023 -3.7% -2.7% -3.2%
1/5/2023 -13.1% -9.3% -6.3%
10/5/2022 3.3% 3.5% 3.1%
7/25/2022 -0.7% 5.0% 7.7%
4/6/2022 4.9% 3.2% 2.6%
1/5/2022 0.3% -4.0% -9.2%
10/6/2021 2.6% 0.9% 12.2%

 

Statistic 1D 5D 21D
# Positive 13 13 14
# Negative 7 7 6
Median Positive 5.8% 6.1% 6.5%
Median Negative -3.7% -4.0% -7.0%
Max Positive 12.4% 13.0% 12.2%
Max Negative -13.1% -9.3% -9.2%

Does The First Move Carry On?

Another approach is to wait for the initial reaction and ask whether it tends to continue. The table below shows the correlation between the 1D return and the return over the following 5 and 21 trading days, and between the 5D return and the following 21 trading days. A value near 1 means the first move has tended to continue; near -1, to reverse; near 0, no consistent pattern. The strongest relationship over five years is between the 1D and the following 21 days, at -0.43 across 20 releases: the early move has tended to partly reverse. That is a tendency, not a rule, and it can break on any given report.

History 1D vs next 5D 1D vs next 21D 5D vs next 21D
5 Years -0.40 -0.43 -0.19
3 Years -0.50 -0.43 -0.37

Do Peers That Report First Offer A Clue?

H.B. Fuller (FUL) usually reports a few weeks before RPM International and has already reported this season. The table covers the 9 reports where Fuller reported within 30 days of RPM. The correlation is 0.11; the closer to 1, the more the peer’s reaction has foreshadowed RPM International’s, and a negative value means it has tended to point the other way.

RPM Earnings Date RPM 1D FUL 1D
4/8/2026 12.4% 0.5%
10/1/2025 -0.6% -3.9%
4/8/2025 -9.1% 6.1%
10/2/2024 6.3% 0.1%
4/4/2024 -5.8% -3.4%
10/4/2023 6.3% 6.0%
4/6/2023 -3.7% -2.0%
10/5/2022 3.3% 3.0%
4/6/2022 4.9% 0.7%
Correlation – 0.11

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