Tearsheet

Walmart (WMT)


Market Price (10/18/2025): $107.76 | Market Cap: $859.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Walmart (WMT)


Market Price (10/18/2025): $107.76
Market Cap: $859.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Consumer Staples Merchandise Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 38 Bil, FCF LTM is 14 Bil
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 40x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 38 Bil, FCF LTM is 14 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 28x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 40x

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

WMT Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WMT Return23%2%-0%13%74%19%179%
Peers Return36%27%-24%27%27%-5%102%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WMT Win Rate58%58%50%67%83%67% 
Peers Win Rate63%62%37%60%58%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WMT Max Drawdown-12%-12%-18%-3%-1%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-6%-32%-10%-6%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, COST, KR, TGT, BBY. See WMT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventWMTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-26.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven406 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-13.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven15.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven6 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven385 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-26.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1203 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Walmart's stock fell -26.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/21/2022. A -26.0% loss requires a 35.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than Walmart (WMT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WMT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%-0.0%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-15.9%-15.9%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.5%-12.5%-22.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%-0.0%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-15.9%-15.9%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.5%-12.5%-22.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Walmart

Financials

WMTAMZNCOSTKRTGTBBYMedian
NameWalmart Amazon.c.Costco W.Kroger Target Best Buy  
Mkt Price107.73213.04936.3368.9990.8479.7199.28
Mkt Cap859.52,266.1415.745.741.316.9230.7
Rev LTM693,153670,038275,235147,000105,64041,598211,118
Op Inc LTM28,98876,19010,3833,9255,4241,7247,904
FCF LTM13,75313,4817,8372,2122,9441,3525,390
FCF 3Y Avg14,98621,6777,0702,2683,2821,5185,176
CFO LTM38,438121,13713,3356,0186,3862,0649,860
CFO 3Y Avg36,70796,97711,9146,1147,4702,2959,692

Growth & Margins

WMTAMZNCOSTKRTGTBBYMedian
NameWalmart Amazon.c.Costco W.Kroger Target Best Buy  
Rev Chg LTM4.2%10.9%8.2%-2.1%-1.5%-2.2%1.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.7%11.3%6.6%0.7%-0.7%-5.4%3.2%
Rev Chg Q4.8%13.3%8.1%0.1%-0.9%1.6%3.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%3.0%2.4%0.0%-0.2%0.4%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM4.2%11.4%3.8%2.7%5.1%4.1%4.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.0%7.9%3.6%2.4%5.1%4.1%4.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.3%0.0%0.0%-0.3%-0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM5.5%18.1%4.8%4.1%6.0%5.0%5.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%15.8%4.6%4.1%7.0%5.3%5.4%
FCF/Rev LTM2.0%2.0%2.8%1.5%2.8%3.3%2.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.3%3.5%2.7%1.5%3.1%3.5%2.9%

Valuation

WMTAMZNCOSTKRTGTBBYMedian
NameWalmart Amazon.c.Costco W.Kroger Target Best Buy  
Mkt Cap859.52,266.1415.745.741.316.9230.7
P/S1.23.41.50.30.40.40.8
P/EBIT27.626.637.911.47.515.320.9
P/E40.332.151.316.710.521.726.9
P/CFO22.418.731.27.66.58.213.4
Total Yield3.3%3.1%2.2%7.9%14.5%9.4%5.6%
Dividend Yield0.8%0.0%0.2%1.9%5.0%4.8%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.8%1.1%2.1%6.0%5.6%9.1%4.2%
D/E0.10.10.00.60.50.20.2
Net D/E0.10.0-0.00.40.40.20.1

Returns

WMTAMZNCOSTKRTGTBBYMedian
NameWalmart Amazon.c.Costco W.Kroger Target Best Buy  
1M Rtn3.3%-8.0%-2.8%3.0%2.1%7.0%2.6%
3M Rtn13.6%-5.8%-1.4%-2.9%-11.2%19.5%-2.1%
6M Rtn16.1%23.4%-5.6%-2.2%-0.3%32.1%7.9%
12M Rtn34.5%13.6%6.3%24.5%-39.5%-13.0%10.0%
3Y Rtn150.3%83.1%106.2%70.9%-36.3%38.0%77.0%
1M Excs Rtn3.5%-8.3%-2.2%4.1%1.1%7.6%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn7.2%-12.8%-6.7%-9.4%-15.4%16.3%-8.1%
6M Excs Rtn-10.0%-2.7%-31.7%-28.3%-26.4%5.9%-18.2%
12M Excs Rtn18.6%-1.1%-9.4%10.8%-55.9%-28.7%-5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn69.7%2.4%23.0%-26.0%-121.3%-41.0%-11.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Walmart US443,802422,398393,247369,963341,004
Walmart International116,049102,604100,959121,360120,130
Sam's Club U.S.88,23086,25373,55663,91058,792
Corporate and support4434000
Membership and other income  4,9923,9184,038
Total648,125611,289572,754559,151523,964


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Walmart US22,15420,62021,58719,11617,380
Walmart International4,9092,9653,7583,6603,370
Sam's Club U.S.2,1921,9642,2591,9061,642
Corporate and support-2,243-5,121-1,662-2,134-1,824
Total27,01220,42825,94222,54820,568


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Walmart US137,782130,659125,044113,490110,353
Walmart International86,13686,76691,403109,445105,811
Sam's Club U.S.15,68215,49014,67813,41513,494
Corporate12,79910,282   
Corporate and support  13,73516,1466,837
Total252,399243,197244,860252,496236,495


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity34,298,383
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-16.0%
Average Daily Volume16,501,258
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.08
Basic Shares Quantity7,978,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/21/2025-4.5%-6.3%-0.2%
5/15/2025-0.5%-0.4%-2.5%
2/20/2025-6.5%-7.5%-17.5%
11/19/20243.0%6.4%11.5%
8/15/20246.6%9.9%17.7%
5/16/20247.0%9.1%12.0%
2/20/20243.2%5.0%7.6%
11/16/2023-8.1%-8.9%-9.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive11811
# Negative131613
Median Positive3.2%5.7%6.4%
Median Negative-2.2%-2.3%-4.1%
Max Positive7.0%9.9%17.7%
Max Negative-11.4%-17.3%-19.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025829202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025606202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025314202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241206202410-Q 10/31/2024
7312024830202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024607202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024315202410-K 1/31/2024
103120231130202310-Q 10/31/2023
7312023901202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023602202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023317202310-K 1/31/2023
103120221201202210-Q 10/31/2022
7312022902202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022318202210-K 1/31/2022
103120211201202110-Q 10/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Bartlett Daniel JExecutive Vice President9162025Sell103.711,610166,97366,993,306Form
1Kumar SureshChief Technology Officer9162025Sell103.4730,0003,103,968184,913,761Form
2Rainey John DExecutive Vice President9032025Sell97.251,514147,23460,741,802Form
3McMillon C DouglasPresident and CEO9022025Sell95.9719,4161,863,447421,615,823Form
4Walton Family Holdings Trust 8262025Sell97.33504,85549,136,42653,698,311,361Form