Western Digital (WDC)
Market Price (10/26/2025): $129.81 | Market Cap: $45.4 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Western Digital (WDC)
Market Price (10/26/2025): $129.81Market Cap: $45.4 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 218%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 150% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.4%, Dist 3Y High is -1.4% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 218%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 150% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
WDC Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WDC Return | -11% | 18% | -52% | 66% | 14% | 191% | 179% |
| Peers Return | 57% | 67% | -47% | 112% | 38% | 97% | 701% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WDC Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 67% | 89% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 58% | 37% | 62% | 55% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WDC Max Drawdown | -54% | -11% | -54% | -0% | -6% | -32% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -11% | -52% | -2% | -8% | -29% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NVDA, AMD, MU, STX, NTAP. See WDC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/24/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WDC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 155.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 518 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 143.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 348 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -67.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 203.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2461 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 302.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 391 days | 1480 days |
Compare to NVDA, AMD, MU, STX, NTAP
In The Past
Western Digital's stock fell -60.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/4/2021. A -60.9% loss requires a 155.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WDC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09302025 | ADBE | Adobe | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.2% | 0.2% | -6.7% |
| 09302025 | CRM | Salesforce | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.5% | 7.5% | -0.6% |
| 09302025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 16.8% | 16.8% | -1.8% |
| 09262025 | POWI | Power Integrations | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.5% | 7.5% | -13.4% |
| 09262025 | ROP | Roper Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.9% | -3.9% | -3.9% |
| 09302022 | WDC | Western Digital | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.7% | 40.2% | -7.2% |
| 03312019 | WDC | Western Digital | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.3% | -6.9% | -37.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09302025 | ADBE | Adobe | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.2% | 0.2% | -6.7% |
| 09302025 | CRM | Salesforce | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 7.5% | 7.5% | -0.6% |
| 09302025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 16.8% | 16.8% | -1.8% |
| 09262025 | POWI | Power Integrations | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.5% | 7.5% | -13.4% |
| 09262025 | ROP | Roper Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.9% | -3.9% | -3.9% |
| 09302022 | WDC | Western Digital | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 15.7% | 40.2% | -7.2% |
| 03312019 | WDC | Western Digital | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 27.3% | -6.9% | -37.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Western Digital
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 202.64 |
| Mkt Cap | 148.0 |
| Rev LTM | 21,440 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,630 |
| FCF LTM | 1,663 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,041 |
| CFO LTM | 3,358 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,313 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 39.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 30.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 6.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 21.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.9% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 148.0 |
| P/S | 6.1 |
| P/EBIT | 25.9 |
| P/E | 31.5 |
| P/CFO | 36.6 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 13.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 53.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 168.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 82.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 354.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 10.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 44.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 145.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 68.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 282.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 7/30/2025 | 10.2% | 3.3% | 15.0% |
| 4/30/2025 | 8.0% | 9.0% | 29.4% |
| 1/29/2025 | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% |
| 10/24/2024 | 4.7% | -1.5% | 0.2% |
| 7/31/2024 | -9.7% | -16.1% | -6.0% |
| 4/25/2024 | 2.8% | 0.4% | 7.7% |
| 1/25/2024 | -3.5% | -4.9% | -5.4% |
| 10/30/2023 | 7.3% | 10.4% | 20.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 13 |
| # Negative | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.7% | 3.3% | 15.0% |
| Median Negative | -3.5% | -3.1% | -6.3% |
| Max Positive | 10.2% | 16.3% | 37.2% |
| Max Negative | -16.9% | -16.1% | -19.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8142025 | 10-K 6/27/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/28/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1312025 | 10-Q 12/27/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/27/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8202024 | 10-K 6/28/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4302024 | 10-Q 3/29/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2122024 | 10-Q 12/29/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/29/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8222023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2032023 | 10-Q 12/30/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8252022 | 10-K 7/1/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 4/1/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11042021 | 10-Q 10/1/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Tan Irving | Chief Executive Officer | 8212025 | Sell | 75.90 | 8,621 | 654,334 | 45,148,052 | Form |
| 1 | Gubbi Vidyadhara K | Chief of Global Ops | 8132025 | Sell | 74.88 | 3,947 | 295,532 | 12,000,666 | Form |
| 2 | Zamiska Gene M. | SVP & Princ. Acctg Officer | 6062025 | Sell | 54.88 | 1,729 | 94,888 | 2,200,084 | Form |
| 3 | Tan Irving | Chief Executive Officer | 5142025 | Sell | 48.19 | 11,379 | 548,354 | 29,178,129 | Form |
| 4 | Zamiska Gene M. | SVP & Princ. Acctg Officer | 3122025 | Sell | 43.37 | 456 | 19,777 | 1,878,788 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
| The Verge |
| TechRadar |
| Tom’s Hardware |
| PCMag |
| CNET |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
