Super Micro Computer (SMCI)
Market Price (10/16/2025): $53.95 | Market Cap: $32.2 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Super Micro Computer (SMCI)
Market Price (10/16/2025): $53.95Market Cap: $32.2 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Investment Highlights
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54% |
High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 109% |
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47% |
Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15% |
Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54% |
High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 109% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
SMCI Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Returns | |||||||
SMCI Return | 32% | 39% | 87% | 246% | 7% | 77% | 2101% |
Peers Return | 16% | -12% | -34% | 119% | -8% | 1% | 38% |
S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 103% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
SMCI Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 42% | 56% | |
Peers Win Rate | 55% | 58% | 37% | 60% | 52% | 44% | |
S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
SMCI Max Drawdown | -33% | -2% | -21% | -14% | -37% | -12% | |
Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -27% | -48% | -6% | -23% | -31% | |
S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MKSI, OLED, BMI, AVT, EBON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/15/2025 (YTD)
Downturns Compared
Event | SMCI | S&P 500 |
---|---|---|
2022 Inflation Shock | ||
% Loss | -34.5% | -25.4% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 52.6% | 34.1% |
Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 464 days |
2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
% Loss | -45.8% | -33.9% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 84.4% | 51.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 148 days |
2018 Correction | ||
% Loss | -59.6% | -19.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 147.6% | 24.7% |
Time to Breakeven | 440 days | 120 days |
2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
% Loss | -66.3% | -56.8% |
% Gain to Breakeven | 196.9% | 131.3% |
Time to Breakeven | 404 days | 1480 days |
How Low Can It Go?
Super Micro Computer's stock fell -34.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/7/2023. A -34.5% loss requires a 52.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SMCI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ADBE | Adobe | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -6.3% | -6.3% | -6.3% |
09302025 | CRM | Salesforce | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.6% |
09302025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.8% |
09262025 | POWI | Power Integrations | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 22.0% | 22.0% | -13.4% |
09262025 | ROP | Roper Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -0.3% |
Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09302025 | ADBE | Adobe | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -6.3% | -6.3% | -6.3% |
09302025 | CRM | Salesforce | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.2% | -0.2% | -0.6% |
09302025 | MPWR | Monolithic Power Systems | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 9.5% | 9.5% | -1.8% |
09262025 | POWI | Power Integrations | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 22.0% | 22.0% | -13.4% |
09262025 | ROP | Roper Technologies | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.3% | 0.3% | -0.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Super Micro Computer
Financials
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Price | 95.18 |
Mkt Cap | 6.8 |
Rev LTM | 3,739 |
Op Inc LTM | 542 |
FCF LTM | 525 |
FCF 3Y Avg | 103 |
CFO LTM | 645 |
CFO 3Y Avg | 177 |
Growth & Margins
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Rev Chg LTM | 6.2% |
Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
Rev Chg Q | 8.4% |
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
Op Mgn LTM | 14.5% |
Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 13.4% |
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
CFO/Rev LTM | 17.3% |
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.8% |
FCF/Rev LTM | 14.0% |
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.8% |
Valuation
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
Mkt Cap | 6.8 |
P/S | 2.5 |
P/EBIT | 25.4 |
P/E | 30.7 |
P/CFO | 19.4 |
Total Yield | 3.6% |
Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
D/E | 0.1 |
Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
Median | |
---|---|
Name | |
1M Rtn | 4.1% |
3M Rtn | -1.3% |
6M Rtn | 38.3% |
12M Rtn | -8.6% |
3Y Rtn | 72.9% |
1M Excs Rtn | 5.0% |
3M Excs Rtn | -7.6% |
6M Excs Rtn | 13.8% |
12M Excs Rtn | -23.8% |
3Y Excs Rtn | -22.8% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for MoreForward Returns | |||
---|---|---|---|
Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
8/5/2025 | -18.3% | -18.9% | -28.9% |
4/29/2025 | -11.5% | -8.5% | 14.3% |
2/11/2025 | 2.8% | 56.0% | 1.2% |
11/5/2024 | -18.1% | -21.7% | 48.5% |
8/6/2024 | -20.1% | -8.0% | -32.8% |
4/30/2024 | -14.0% | -4.6% | -3.6% |
1/18/2024 | 35.9% | 52.7% | 157.9% |
11/1/2023 | -2.5% | 3.2% | 6.9% |
... | |||
SUMMARY STATS | |||
# Positive | 12 | 13 | 17 |
# Negative | 12 | 11 | 7 |
Median Positive | 12.7% | 18.1% | 21.6% |
Median Negative | -10.8% | -7.7% | -16.5% |
Max Positive | 35.9% | 56.0% | 157.9% |
Max Negative | -20.1% | -21.7% | -32.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for MoreReport Date | Filing Date | Filing |
---|---|---|
6302025 | 8282025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
12312024 | 2252025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
9302024 | 2252025 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
6302024 | 2252025 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
3312024 | 5062024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
12312023 | 2022024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
6302023 | 8282023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
12312022 | 2032023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
6302022 | 8292022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
9302021 | 11052021 | 10-Q 9/30/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for MoreOwner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 | Liu Liang Chiu-Chu Sara | 7302025 | Sell | 60.00 | 200,000 | 12,000,000 | 2,425,567,200 | Form | |
1 | Liang Charles | President and CEO | 7302025 | Sell | 60.00 | 200,000 | 12,000,000 | 2,425,567,200 | Form |
2 | Liang Charles | President and CEO | 6202025 | Sell | 45.00 | 300,000 | 13,500,000 | 3,010,663,800 | Form |
3 | Liu Liang Chiu-Chu Sara | 6202025 | Sell | 45.00 | 300,000 | 13,500,000 | 3,010,663,800 | Form | |
4 | WEIGAND DAVID E | SVP, Chief Financial Officer | 5222025 | Sell | 44.02 | 67,000 | 2,949,494 | 3,900,332 | Form |
Industry Resources
Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources |
The Verge |
TechRadar |
Tom’s Hardware |
PCMag |
CNET |
External Quote Links
Y Finance | Barrons |
TradingView | Morningstar |
SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
Motley Fool | Robinhood |
CNBC | Etrade |
MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
FinViz |