Tearsheet

Super Micro Computer (SMCI)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $53.95 | Market Cap: $32.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Super Micro Computer (SMCI)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $53.95
Market Cap: $32.2 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals

Investment Highlights


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54%
1   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 109%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%
1 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 15%
2 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54%
3 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 109%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

SMCI Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SMCI Return32%39%87%246%7%77%2101%
Peers Return16%-12%-34%119%-8%1%38%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SMCI Win Rate58%58%50%58%42%56% 
Peers Win Rate55%58%37%60%52%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SMCI Max Drawdown-33%-2%-21%-14%-37%-12% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-27%-48%-6%-23%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MKSI, OLED, BMI, AVT, EBON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/15/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventSMCIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven120 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven84.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven82 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-59.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven147.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven440 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-66.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven196.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven404 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Super Micro Computer's stock fell -34.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/7/2023. A -34.5% loss requires a 52.6% gain to breakeven.

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Better Bets than Super Micro Computer (SMCI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SMCI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.3%-6.3%-6.3%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
22.0%22.0%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-0.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.3%-6.3%-6.3%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.2%-0.2%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.5%9.5%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
22.0%22.0%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.3%0.3%-0.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Super Micro Computer

Financials

SMCIMKSIOLEDBMIAVTEBONMedian
NameSuper Mi.MKS Universa.Badger M.Avnet Ebang In. 
Mkt Price53.94136.42142.22180.2452.495.0695.18
Mkt Cap32.29.26.85.34.4-6.8
Rev LTM21,9723,73966287422,201-3,739
Op Inc LTM1,253542258174623-542
FCF LTM1,532525143160577-525
FCF 3Y Avg-15040110312044-103
CFO LTM1,660645197175725-645
CFO 3Y Avg-54512177132234-177

Growth & Margins

SMCIMKSIOLEDBMIAVTEBONMedian
NameSuper Mi.MKS Universa.Badger M.Avnet Ebang In. 
Rev Chg LTM46.6%4.5%6.2%11.8%-6.6%-6.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg64.7%8.4%4.7%17.9%-2.6%-8.4%
Rev Chg Q7.5%9.7%8.4%9.9%1.0%-8.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%2.4%2.0%2.5%0.2%-2.0%
Op Mgn LTM5.7%14.5%38.9%19.9%2.8%-14.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.2%13.4%39.5%18.0%3.7%-13.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-0.1%1.1%-0.1%-0.2%--0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.6%17.3%29.8%20.0%3.3%-17.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.1%13.8%28.0%17.1%1.2%-13.8%
FCF/Rev LTM7.0%14.0%21.6%18.3%2.6%-14.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.5%10.8%16.1%15.6%0.4%-10.8%

Valuation

SMCIMKSIOLEDBMIAVTEBONMedian
NameSuper Mi.MKS Universa.Badger M.Avnet Ebang In. 
Mkt Cap32.29.26.85.34.4-6.8
P/S1.52.510.26.10.2-2.5
P/EBIT25.417.126.330.48.9-25.4
P/E30.734.327.739.118.4-30.7
P/CFO19.414.234.330.36.1-19.4
Total Yield3.3%3.6%3.6%3.3%8.0%-3.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.6%0.0%0.8%2.6%-0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.5%5.4%1.2%2.1%1.1%-1.5%
D/E0.10.50.00.00.7-0.1
Net D/E-0.00.4-0.1-0.00.6--0.0

Returns

SMCIMKSIOLEDBMIAVTEBONMedian
NameSuper Mi.MKS Universa.Badger M.Avnet Ebang In. 
1M Rtn18.9%17.2%6.0%0.3%-1.6%2.2%4.1%
3M Rtn1.4%34.1%-6.1%-25.0%-3.9%3.3%-1.3%
6M Rtn69.1%115.2%25.9%-1.6%14.3%50.6%38.3%
12M Rtn12.9%32.4%-28.7%-18.3%-1.8%-15.5%-8.6%
3Y Rtn898.5%87.7%58.2%102.1%52.8%-50.4%72.9%
1M Excs Rtn19.1%14.3%2.9%0.7%-2.9%7.1%5.0%
3M Excs Rtn-3.7%25.6%-11.7%-32.4%-10.2%-4.9%-7.6%
6M Excs Rtn37.5%80.4%-0.8%-26.3%-9.1%28.3%13.8%
12M Excs Rtn-1.9%11.1%-45.2%-34.5%-16.8%-30.8%-23.8%
3Y Excs Rtn774.3%-12.6%-34.0%12.2%-33.0%-138.2%-22.8%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity92,610,786
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-2.1%
Average Daily Volume26,378,370
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.51
Basic Shares Quantity597,613,000
Short % of Basic Shares15.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/5/2025-18.3%-18.9%-28.9%
4/29/2025-11.5%-8.5%14.3%
2/11/20252.8%56.0%1.2%
11/5/2024-18.1%-21.7%48.5%
8/6/2024-20.1%-8.0%-32.8%
4/30/2024-14.0%-4.6%-3.6%
1/18/202435.9%52.7%157.9%
11/1/2023-2.5%3.2%6.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121317
# Negative12117
Median Positive12.7%18.1%21.6%
Median Negative-10.8%-7.7%-16.5%
Max Positive35.9%56.0%157.9%
Max Negative-20.1%-21.7%-32.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025828202510-K 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-Q 12/31/2024
9302024225202510-Q 9/30/2024
6302024225202510-K 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023202202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023828202310-K 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022203202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022829202210-K 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211105202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Liu Liang Chiu-Chu Sara7302025Sell60.00200,00012,000,0002,425,567,200Form
1Liang CharlesPresident and CEO7302025Sell60.00200,00012,000,0002,425,567,200Form
2Liang CharlesPresident and CEO6202025Sell45.00300,00013,500,0003,010,663,800Form
3Liu Liang Chiu-Chu Sara6202025Sell45.00300,00013,500,0003,010,663,800Form
4WEIGAND DAVID ESVP, Chief Financial Officer5222025Sell44.0267,0002,949,4943,900,332Form

Industry Resources

Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals Resources
The Verge
TechRadar
Tom’s Hardware
PCMag
CNET