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Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $85.36 | Market Cap: $8.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Retail

Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)


Market Price (12/8/2025): $85.36
Market Cap: $8.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Food Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
 
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -34%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 46%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SFM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 8, 2025, Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) experienced a stock price decline of approximately 39.1% due to several key factors: **1. Reduced Fiscal Year 2025 Outlook for Sales and Comparable Store Growth.** Sprouts Farmers Market reported strong third-quarter 2025 results on October 29, 2025, with net sales increasing by 13% and comparable store sales growing by 5.9% compared to the same period in 2024. However, the company's updated guidance for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025 disappointed investors. Sprouts projected fourth-quarter comparable store sales growth to be between 0.0% and 2.0% and diluted earnings per share (EPS) between $0.86 and $0.90. Furthermore, the full-year 2025 comparable store sales growth forecast was cut to approximately 7% from an earlier range of 7.5%-9.0%, and net sales growth was adjusted to 14% from a previous range of 14.5% to 16%. This downward revision in future performance expectations likely contributed significantly to the stock's decline.

**2. Negative Revisions and Downgrades from Wall Street Analysts.** Following the updated outlook, several prominent financial firms revised their ratings and price targets for SFM shares. On or around October 30, 2025, JPMorgan Chase & Co. reduced its price target from $124.00 to $91.00, Roth Capital reaffirmed a "neutral" rating with a $91.00 price objective, and BMO Capital Markets set a $90.00 price target. Goldman Sachs also lowered its price target to $152 from $178 on October 31, 2025, while maintaining a "Buy" rating. Additionally, Wall Street Zen downgraded Sprouts Farmers Market from a "buy" rating to a "hold" rating on November 3, 2025.

**3. Initiation of Securities Fraud Class Action Lawsuits.** In early December 2025, multiple law firms, including The Schall Law Firm and Rosen Law Firm, announced the filing of class action lawsuits against Sprouts Farmers Market. These lawsuits, covering investors who purchased securities between June 4, 2025, and October 29, 2025, allege that the company made "false and misleading statements" by creating a "false impression for investors that it could accurately project its revenue and also withstand competitive and macroeconomic pressures on its business." The complaints suggest that Sprouts' optimistic projections proved untrue as consumers reportedly turned away due to market conditions and competitive offers.

**4. Concerns Over Weakening Consumer Sentiment and Competitive Pressures.** Despite Sprouts' operational strength and growth in net income and free cash flow since 2022, market commentary indicated investor criticism of the anticipated mild comparable store sales growth for the fourth quarter. Reports suggested that weakening consumer confidence could lead people to opt for cheaper food alternatives, potentially impacting Sprouts, which is seen as a more expensive grocery chain. This perception of vulnerability to broader economic conditions and heightened competition in the grocery sector likely contributed to investor apprehension.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SFM Return4%48%9%49%164%-33%341%
Peers Return23%28%-2%16%29%-12%103%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SFM Win Rate58%50%50%58%92%40% 
Peers Win Rate62%63%52%62%43%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SFM Max Drawdown-31%-3%-23%-7%-1%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-16%-16%-11%-18%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KR, ACI, NGVC, GO, WMK. See SFM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/5/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSFMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven288 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven144 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-41.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven71.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven881 days120 days

Compare to AMZN, KR, UNFI, IMKTA, NGVC


In The Past

Sprouts Farmers Market's stock fell -33.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/8/2022. A -33.9% loss requires a 51.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)

Better Bets than Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SFM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.9%-2.9%-3.7%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.4%1.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.4%4.4%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.2%1.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.7%5.7%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.9%-2.9%-3.7%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
1.4%1.4%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.4%4.4%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.2%1.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Sprouts Farmers Market

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SFMKRACINGVCGOWMKMedian
NameSprouts .Kroger Albertso.Natural .Grocery .Weis Mar. 
Mkt Price85.5462.7117.2225.0811.3466.2743.89
Mkt Cap8.441.59.60.61.11.65.0
Rev LTM8,654147,00081,3711,3174,5714,8956,774
Op Inc LTM6783,9251,5586071120399
FCF LTM4582,21265934-52-3246
FCF 3Y Avg3592,26860625-441200
CFO LTM7026,0182,58864189208455
CFO 3Y Avg5846,1142,60863204195394

Growth & Margins

SFMKRACINGVCGOWMKMedian
NameSprouts .Kroger Albertso.Natural .Grocery .Weis Mar. 
Rev Chg LTM16.6%-2.1%2.1%8.5%7.2%2.2%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.1%0.7%2.6%6.6%10.1%2.9%4.8%
Rev Chg Q13.1%0.1%2.0%6.3%5.4%4.4%4.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.0%0.0%0.4%1.5%1.3%1.1%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM7.8%2.7%1.9%4.5%1.5%2.4%2.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.7%2.4%2.3%3.6%2.3%2.6%2.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.0%-0.1%0.1%-0.4%-0.2%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.1%4.1%3.2%4.9%4.1%4.2%4.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.6%4.1%3.3%5.1%4.9%4.0%4.5%
FCF/Rev LTM5.3%1.5%0.8%2.6%-1.1%-0.1%1.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.7%1.5%0.8%2.0%0.0%0.9%1.2%

Valuation

SFMKRACINGVCGOWMKMedian
NameSprouts .Kroger Albertso.Natural .Grocery .Weis Mar. 
Mkt Cap8.441.59.60.61.11.65.0
P/S1.20.30.10.70.30.40.4
P/EBIT15.711.96.115.455.214.915.1
P/E20.717.410.020.6-354.817.817.6
P/CFO15.17.93.814.08.38.68.4
Total Yield4.8%7.6%13.3%4.8%-0.3%7.6%6.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.9%3.3%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.5%6.0%5.6%4.5%-1.4%2.2%4.5%
D/E0.20.51.50.41.10.10.5
Net D/E0.10.41.50.41.1-0.00.4

Returns

SFMKRACINGVCGOWMKMedian
NameSprouts .Kroger Albertso.Natural .Grocery .Weis Mar. 
1M Rtn8.6%-3.4%-2.9%-20.0%-6.7%2.6%-3.1%
3M Rtn-38.4%-6.9%-8.9%-35.0%-38.1%-8.8%-22.0%
6M Rtn-49.4%-4.2%-18.4%-44.1%-17.2%-12.0%-17.8%
12M Rtn-43.4%8.0%-7.3%-41.8%-40.7%-4.1%-24.0%
3Y Rtn146.9%41.3%-13.9%189.1%-60.4%-19.0%13.7%
1M Excs Rtn6.2%-1.3%-2.6%-23.3%-14.1%-0.5%-1.9%
3M Excs Rtn-44.4%-13.1%-15.6%-39.8%-42.4%-12.0%-27.7%
6M Excs Rtn-63.9%-18.7%-32.9%-58.6%-31.7%-26.5%-32.3%
12M Excs Rtn-57.0%-6.9%-21.9%-56.4%-56.3%-19.4%-39.1%
3Y Excs Rtn80.8%-32.1%-79.7%112.7%-130.9%-87.9%-55.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Perishables3,9163,7183,5183,7013,253
Non-Perishables2,9212,6872,5822,7682,382
Total6,8376,4046,1006,4695,635


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,189,131
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120251.6%
Average Daily Volume3,137,379
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.61
Basic Shares Quantity97,672,000
Short % of Basic Shares8.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-26.1%-23.7%-17.9%
7/30/2025-4.1%-4.6%-10.5%
2/20/2025-15.6%-15.9%-16.1%
10/30/20248.1%18.5%30.0%
7/29/202413.3%12.2%21.2%
2/22/202410.9%16.1%18.3%
10/31/2023-3.1%-6.1%-4.0%
8/1/2023-2.3%-2.5%5.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111215
# Negative985
Median Positive10.9%12.7%12.0%
Median Negative-3.1%-5.4%-10.5%
Max Positive13.5%18.5%36.3%
Max Negative-26.1%-23.7%-17.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/29/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024729202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023801202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023501202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022302202310-K 1/1/2023
93020221108202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022803202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022504202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021224202210-K 1/2/2022