Tearsheet

Restaurant Brands International (QSR)


Market Price (11/29/2025): $72.46 | Market Cap: $23.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Restaurant Brands International (QSR)


Market Price (11/29/2025): $72.46
Market Cap: $23.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 6.4%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55%
 
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
  
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.2%, Dividend Yield is 5.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.0%, FCF Yield is 6.4%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
4 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 24%
5 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
6 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
7 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55%
8 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

QSR Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Restaurant Brands International reported robust third-quarter 2025 results on October 30, 2025, surpassing analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company reported $1.03 EPS, beating the consensus estimate of $1.00, and revenue of $2.45 billion, exceeding estimates of $2.39 billion. This performance drove a 1.5% pre-market stock increase on the announcement day.

2. Positive System-Wide Sales Growth and Organic Adjusted Operating Income Outlook: The company achieved a 6.9% year-over-year growth in consolidated system-wide sales during the third quarter of 2025, with strong contributions from Tim Hortons and its international operations. Restaurant Brands International also maintained its guidance for over 8% organic adjusted operating income growth for the full year 2025, signaling continued positive momentum.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
QSR Return-0%3%11%25%-14%14%39%
Peers Return22%34%-9%19%4%-5%76%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
QSR Win Rate58%50%50%67%33%60% 
Peers Win Rate65%57%43%60%50%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
QSR Max Drawdown-55%-9%-22%-6%-15%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-7%-26%-6%-13%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MCD, SBUX, YUM, CMG, ACI. See QSR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventQSRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-33.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven319 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-58.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven138.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven373 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven115 days120 days

Compare to MCD, SBUX, YUM, CMG, ACI


In The Past

Restaurant Brands International's stock fell -33.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/1/2021. A -33.4% loss requires a 50.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Restaurant Brands International (QSR)

Better Bets than Restaurant Brands International (QSR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to QSR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.0%7.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-5.6%-5.6%-8.8%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.8%-3.8%-7.7%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-6.2%-6.2%-7.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.0%7.0%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-5.6%-5.6%-8.8%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.8%-3.8%-7.7%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Restaurant Brands International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

QSRMCDSBUXYUMCMGACIMedian
NameRestaura.McDonald.StarbucksYum Bran.Chipotle.Albertso. 
Mkt Price72.22312.4086.70153.8034.0318.1479.46
Mkt Cap23.7222.798.542.845.410.244.1
Rev LTM9,10626,26336,6898,06111,78781,37119,025
Op Inc LTM2,34812,1133,8362,4851,9961,5582,416
FCF LTM1,3547,3722,2541,5641,5736591,569
FCF 3Y Avg1,2407,0493,0211,4131,4046061,408
CFO LTM1,58810,4854,9011,9062,2152,5882,402
CFO 3Y Avg1,4059,7045,5231,7121,9932,6082,300

Growth & Margins

QSRMCDSBUXYUMCMGACIMedian
NameRestaura.McDonald.StarbucksYum Bran.Chipotle.Albertso. 
Rev Chg LTM21.8%1.2%0.6%11.6%7.3%2.1%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.2%4.2%4.7%6.4%11.9%2.6%5.6%
Rev Chg Q15.9%3.0%3.8%8.4%7.5%2.0%5.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.8%0.8%0.9%1.9%1.8%0.4%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM25.8%46.1%10.5%30.8%16.9%1.9%21.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg28.8%45.9%13.3%31.7%17.0%2.3%22.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.0%-1.6%-0.0%-0.3%-0.1%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM17.4%39.9%13.4%23.6%18.8%3.2%18.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.1%37.7%15.3%23.0%18.6%3.3%18.3%
FCF/Rev LTM14.9%28.1%6.1%19.4%13.3%0.8%14.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.0%27.4%8.4%18.9%13.1%0.8%14.6%

Valuation

QSRMCDSBUXYUMCMGACIMedian
NameRestaura.McDonald.StarbucksYum Bran.Chipotle.Albertso. 
Mkt Cap23.7222.798.542.845.410.244.1
P/S2.38.22.85.24.40.13.6
P/EBIT9.817.725.616.926.26.117.3
P/E24.525.739.629.234.010.027.5
P/CFO13.220.721.222.223.63.821.0
Total Yield9.2%6.2%5.1%5.3%2.9%13.3%5.7%
Dividend Yield5.1%2.3%2.6%1.8%0.0%3.3%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.8%3.4%3.0%3.6%2.4%5.6%3.5%
D/E0.80.30.30.30.11.50.3
Net D/E0.70.20.20.20.11.50.2

Returns

QSRMCDSBUXYUMCMGACIMedian
NameRestaura.McDonald.StarbucksYum Bran.Chipotle.Albertso. 
1M Rtn9.4%3.3%3.7%10.5%-14.4%-0.7%3.5%
3M Rtn15.1%-0.4%-1.0%4.6%-19.2%-6.0%-0.7%
6M Rtn3.1%0.7%4.7%7.4%-32.0%-17.2%1.9%
12M Rtn6.8%8.3%-12.3%12.5%-45.2%-4.8%1.0%
3Y Rtn22.9%23.3%-5.5%28.6%9.6%-6.6%16.2%
1M Excs Rtn9.4%3.1%3.4%10.1%-14.3%-0.7%3.2%
3M Excs Rtn10.9%-4.7%-5.6%0.9%-24.5%-9.9%-5.1%
6M Excs Rtn-11.1%-13.9%-10.6%-7.9%-46.8%-32.1%-12.5%
12M Excs Rtn-5.7%-4.0%-27.3%1.8%-59.2%-17.7%-11.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-55.3%-50.5%-77.6%-41.1%-58.6%-76.7%-57.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Tim Hortons (TH)3,9723,8013,3422,8103,344
Burger King (BK)1,2971,1961,8131,6021,777
International (INTL)874751   
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK)692619579556482
Firehouse Subs (FHS)18713850 
Total7,0226,5055,7394,9685,603


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Tim Hortons (TH)9589258657041,010
International (INTL)597525   
Burger King (BK)386396959761932
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen (PLK)221205221210177
Firehouse Subs (FHS)383320 
Restaurant Holdings (RH) Transaction costs0    
Impact of equity method investments-6-59-25-48-11
Firehouse Subs (FHS) Transaction costs-19-24-180 
Franchise agreement and reacquired franchise rights amortization-31-32   
Corporate restructuring and advisory fees-38-46-16-16-31
Other operating expenses (income), net-55-25-7-10510
Share-based compensation and non-cash incentive compensation expense  -102-84-74
Office centralization and relocation costs   0-6
Total2,0511,8981,8791,4222,007


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,094,434
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202510.2%
Average Daily Volume3,149,046
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.16
Basic Shares Quantity328,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20251.5%1.5% 
8/7/2025-5.1%-4.5%-8.0%
5/8/2025-0.5%0.2%5.0%
2/12/2025-1.6%-5.5%-1.7%
11/5/2024-2.6%-3.1%1.5%
8/8/20242.0%0.1%-4.1%
4/30/20242.7%2.0%-10.2%
2/13/2024-4.5%-2.5%5.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101112
# Negative141312
Median Positive2.5%2.0%5.7%
Median Negative-2.7%-3.1%-8.0%
Max Positive7.4%9.0%14.3%
Max Negative-5.1%-10.8%-17.7%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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