Tearsheet

PayPal (PYPL)


Market Price (10/14/2025): $68.18 | Market Cap: $66.1 Bil
Sector: Financials | Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

PayPal (PYPL)


Market Price (10/14/2025): $68.18
Market Cap: $66.1 Bil
Sector: Financials
Industry: Transaction & Payment Processing Services

Investment Highlights

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 7.9%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -105%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 6.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.3 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, FCF Yield is 7.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 19%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 6.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.3 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -105%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PYPL Stock


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PYPL Return117%-19%-62%-14%39%-19%-35%
Peers Return71%32%-41%70%28%18%241%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PYPL Win Rate67%50%25%58%58%56% 
Peers Win Rate62%62%28%70%58%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PYPL Max Drawdown-21%-23%-64%-29%-9%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-7%-47%-1%-11%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GOOGL, AMZN, INTU, SHOP, V. See PYPL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/13/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventPYPLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-83.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven512.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-31.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven43 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-20.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven25.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven114 days120 days


How Low Can It Go?

PayPal's stock fell -83.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 7/23/2021. A -83.7% loss requires a 512.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PayPal (PYPL)

PayPal Holdings, Inc. operates a technology platform that enables digital payments on behalf of merchants and consumers worldwide. It provides payment solutions under the PayPal, PayPal Credit, Braintree, Venmo, Xoom, Zettle, Hyperwallet, Honey, and Paidy names. The company's payments platform allows consumers to send and receive payments in approximately 200 markets and in approximately 100 currencies, withdraw funds to their bank accounts in 56 currencies, and hold balances in their PayPal accounts in 25 currencies. PayPal Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Better Bets than PayPal (PYPL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past trade ideas related to PYPL and Transaction & Payment Processing Services.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
HLNE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025HLNEHamilton LaneDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.3%-12.3%-12.3%
CNS_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CNSCohen & SteersDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.8%0.8%-1.6%
JKHY_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025JKHYJack Henry & AssociatesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.4%1.4%-2.1%
FDS_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025FDSFactSet Research SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.1%-2.1%-4.9%
IBKR_9052025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09052025IBKRInteractive BrokersQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
14.7%14.7%0.0%
PYPL_6302024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302024PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
49.7%28.1%-1.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
HLNE_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025HLNEHamilton LaneDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.3%-12.3%-12.3%
CNS_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025CNSCohen & SteersDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.8%0.8%-1.6%
JKHY_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025JKHYJack Henry & AssociatesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.4%1.4%-2.1%
FDS_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025FDSFactSet Research SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.1%-2.1%-4.9%
IBKR_9052025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09052025IBKRInteractive BrokersQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
14.7%14.7%0.0%
PYPL_6302024_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302024PYPLPayPalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
49.7%28.1%-1.4%

See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PayPal

Financials

PYPLGOOGLAMZNINTUSHOPVMedian
NamePayPal Alphabet Amazon.c.Intuit Shopify Visa  
Mkt Price68.86244.15220.07655.68153.66343.30232.11
Mkt Cap66.72,959.62,340.9183.6199.4632.7416.1
Rev LTM32,292371,399670,03818,83110,01438,89335,592
Op Inc LTM6,161121,37076,1904,9421,53125,86416,012
FCF LTM5,29266,72813,4816,0831,81722,0839,782
FCF 3Y Avg5,21666,20321,6775,1681,07619,89912,558
CFO LTM6,066133,708121,1376,2071,83323,48514,846
CFO 3Y Avg5,899112,63696,9775,3791,10621,13413,516

Growth & Margins

PYPLGOOGLAMZNINTUSHOPVMedian
NamePayPal Alphabet Amazon.c.Intuit Shopify Visa  
Rev Chg LTM4.1%13.1%10.9%15.6%29.0%11.4%12.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.0%10.2%11.3%14.0%26.0%11.5%11.4%
Rev Chg Q5.1%13.8%13.3%20.3%31.1%14.3%14.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%3.2%3.0%3.6%6.8%3.4%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM19.1%32.7%11.4%26.2%15.3%66.5%22.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.8%29.4%7.9%23.9%4.4%66.8%20.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.0%0.3%0.5%-0.1%-0.0%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM18.8%36.0%18.1%33.0%18.3%60.4%25.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg19.2%34.1%15.8%32.7%12.7%60.1%25.9%
FCF/Rev LTM16.4%18.0%2.0%32.3%18.1%56.8%18.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg16.9%20.3%3.5%31.4%12.2%56.6%18.6%

Valuation

PYPLGOOGLAMZNINTUSHOPVMedian
NamePayPal Alphabet Amazon.c.Intuit Shopify Visa  
Mkt Cap66.72,959.62,340.9183.6199.4632.7416.1
P/S2.18.03.59.719.916.38.9
P/EBIT10.621.127.536.1130.225.426.5
P/E14.325.633.147.585.031.232.2
P/CFO11.022.119.329.6108.826.924.5
Total Yield7.0%4.2%3.0%2.8%1.2%3.8%3.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.3%0.0%0.6%0.0%0.6%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.8%3.5%1.1%3.0%1.0%4.1%3.3%
D/E0.20.00.10.00.00.00.0
Net D/E0.0-0.00.00.0-0.00.00.0

Returns

PYPLGOOGLAMZNINTUSHOPVMedian
NamePayPal Alphabet Amazon.c.Intuit Shopify Visa  
1M Rtn2.9%1.4%-3.5%1.7%7.2%1.1%1.5%
3M Rtn-6.8%34.6%-2.5%-12.7%31.6%-1.9%-2.2%
6M Rtn10.6%53.8%20.8%10.8%85.6%2.8%15.8%
12M Rtn-14.5%50.2%16.6%7.0%84.6%24.4%20.5%
3Y Rtn-14.4%154.6%105.9%75.9%489.6%92.8%99.3%
1M Excs Rtn1.9%0.3%-4.6%0.6%6.1%0.1%0.5%
3M Excs Rtn-12.2%27.7%-9.4%-18.5%27.0%-7.5%-8.4%
6M Excs Rtn-14.1%31.6%-5.0%-12.0%59.5%-20.8%-8.5%
12M Excs Rtn-30.6%36.6%4.0%-8.5%69.3%9.9%6.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-104.8%64.7%5.2%-15.1%333.5%12.0%8.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment29,77127,518   
Revenues from other value added services  1,9691,5361,673
Transaction revenues  23,40219,91816,099
Total29,77127,51825,37121,45417,772


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity34,624,386
Short Interest: % Change Since 915202516.0%
Average Daily Volume14,765,133
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.35
Basic Shares Quantity969,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/29/2025-8.7%-13.1%-10.3%
4/29/20252.1%5.6%10.0%
2/4/2025-13.2%-12.6%-22.4%
10/29/2024-4.0%-6.5%4.0%
7/30/20248.6%2.6%21.5%
4/30/20241.4%-2.1%-8.9%
2/7/2024-11.2%-6.9%-6.7%
11/1/20236.6%6.6%15.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131110
# Negative111314
Median Positive4.3%6.6%10.4%
Median Negative-10.5%-7.4%-9.1%
Max Positive14.0%13.4%21.6%
Max Negative-24.6%-31.6%-42.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024204202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023208202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022210202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Kereere SuzanPresident, Global Markets8202025Sell69.313,832265,5963,383,234Form
1Kereere SuzanPresident, Global Markets6092025Sell73.244,162304,8273,550,924Form
2Scotti DiegoEVP, GM, Consumer Group6092025Sell73.243,839281,1581,244,230Form
3MCGOVERN GAIL J 2282025Sell72.152,446176,4792,145,308Form