Tearsheet

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)


Market Price (10/25/2025): $184.89 | Market Cap: $437.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Application Software

Palantir Technologies (PLTR)


Market Price (10/25/2025): $184.89
Market Cap: $437.3 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Application Software

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 127x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 767x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 252x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 572x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%
  Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 324%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 39%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 50%
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.3%, Dist 3Y High is -1.3%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 127x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 767x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 252x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 572x
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 324%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.4%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PLTR Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PLTR Return--23%-65%167%340%139%656%
Peers Return45%28%-26%14%11%-5%66%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PLTR Win Rate67%33%42%67%67%78% 
Peers Win Rate37%38%20%32%37%35% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PLTR Max Drawdown--24%-67%-2%-7%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-8%-29%-14%-8%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DDOG, TYL, VRNT, BIYA, BLIV. See PLTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPLTRS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-84.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven550.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven646 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-22.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven51 days148 days

Compare to DDOG, TYL, VRNT, BIYA, BLIV


In The Past

Palantir Technologies's stock fell -84.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -84.6% loss requires a 550.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

Better Bets than Palantir Technologies (PLTR)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PLTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.4%0.4%-6.7%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.6%7.6%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
16.3%16.3%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.7%-3.7%-3.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.4%0.4%-6.7%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
7.6%7.6%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
16.3%16.3%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.7%-3.7%-3.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Palantir Technologies

Financials

PLTRDDOGTYLVRNTBIYABLIVMedian
NamePalantir.Datadog Tyler Te.Verint S.Baiya In.BeLive  
Mkt Price184.63156.47508.6620.270.383.6088.37
Mkt Cap436.754.222.01.2--38.1
Rev LTM3,4413,0162,246894--2,631
Op Inc LTM570-1733977--208
FCF LTM1,709854605113--730
FCF 3Y Avg927649423120--536
CFO LTM1,730966643138--804
CFO 3Y Avg947733470149--602

Growth & Margins

PLTRDDOGTYLVRNTBIYABLIVMedian
NamePalantir.Datadog Tyler Te.Verint S.Baiya In.BeLive  
Rev Chg LTM38.8%26.0%10.7%-2.3%--18.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg25.7%30.4%7.3%-0.2%--16.5%
Rev Chg Q48.0%28.1%10.2%-1.0%--19.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM10.5%6.4%2.5%-0.2%--4.5%
Op Mgn LTM16.6%-0.6%15.1%8.6%--11.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.4%-1.7%12.9%8.9%--8.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.5%-1.6%0.4%-1.2%---0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM50.3%32.0%28.6%15.5%--30.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.9%29.6%22.5%16.6%--26.1%
FCF/Rev LTM49.7%28.3%26.9%12.6%--27.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg32.0%26.2%20.2%13.4%--23.2%

Valuation

PLTRDDOGTYLVRNTBIYABLIVMedian
NamePalantir.Datadog Tyler Te.Verint S.Baiya In.BeLive  
Mkt Cap436.754.222.01.2--38.1
P/S126.918.09.81.4--13.9
P/EBIT766.7346.460.015.2--203.2
P/E572.1434.871.619.9--253.2
P/CFO252.556.134.18.8--45.1
Total Yield0.2%0.2%1.4%5.0%--0.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.0%1.6%1.9%7.1%--1.7%
D/E0.00.00.00.4--0.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.0-0.00.2---0.0

Returns

PLTRDDOGTYLVRNTBIYABLIVMedian
NamePalantir.Datadog Tyler Te.Verint S.Baiya In.BeLive  
1M Rtn2.8%14.6%-2.7%0.1%-35.6%2.0%1.1%
3M Rtn16.3%4.4%-8.6%-7.3%-53.1%44.6%-1.4%
6M Rtn63.7%54.1%-3.0%11.2%-90.3%-18.4%4.1%
12M Rtn323.9%26.3%-16.8%-7.3%--9.5%
3Y Rtn2,032.0%76.3%47.0%-41.8%--61.6%
1M Excs Rtn0.2%11.7%-5.4%-2.8%-34.8%-2.0%-2.4%
3M Excs Rtn10.7%-2.5%-14.9%-12.3%-58.2%36.0%-7.4%
6M Excs Rtn40.8%31.2%-26.0%-11.7%-113.2%-41.3%-18.8%
12M Excs Rtn313.9%9.5%-29.3%-24.0%---7.3%
3Y Excs Rtn2,150.3%14.3%-32.6%-122.6%---9.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Government1,2221,072897610346
Commercial1,003834645482397
Total2,2251,9061,5421,093743


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Government725621542  
Commercial521414358  
Research and development expenses-307-266-237  
General and administrative expenses-343-366-295  
Stock-based compensation expense-476-565-778  
Total120-161-411  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity48,790,674
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-9.4%
Average Daily Volume51,294,084
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity2,365,196,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/4/20257.8%13.7%-3.6%
5/5/2025-12.0%-4.3%5.0%
2/3/202524.0%39.3%7.6%
11/4/202423.5%45.5%68.7%
8/5/202410.4%22.0%27.0%
5/6/2024-15.1%-16.9%-8.9%
2/5/202430.8%49.8%56.5%
11/2/202320.4%23.9%35.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111211
# Negative989
Median Positive20.4%22.5%30.9%
Median Negative-12.8%-12.6%-11.9%
Max Positive30.8%49.8%89.8%
Max Negative-21.3%-16.9%-36.4%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022221202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211109202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Stat Lauren Elaina Friedman 9152025Sell164.261,673274,81112,996,621Form
1Taylor Ryan D.See Remarks9092025Sell158.3536,0485,708,05748,686,645Form
2Moore Alexander D. 9042025Sell151.5660090,934195,868,545Form
3Buckley JeffreySee Remarks9032025Sell157.002,803440,0718,000,877Form
4Buckley JeffreySee Remarks8222025Sell143.12436,1548,027,197Form