Tearsheet

PepsiCo (PEP)


Market Price (10/20/2025): $153.9 | Market Cap: $210.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages

PepsiCo (PEP)


Market Price (10/20/2025): $153.9
Market Cap: $210.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.8 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.0%, Dividend Yield is 3.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, CFO LTM is 12 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.8 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -86%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

PEP Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PEP Return12%21%7%-3%-8%4%34%
Peers Return7%7%13%-8%-1%-9%7%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%106%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PEP Win Rate58%58%50%58%33%44% 
Peers Win Rate57%48%58%42%53%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PEP Max Drawdown-23%-13%-11%-11%-8%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-11%-8%-21%-8%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KO, MDLZ, KDP, CPB, CAG. See PEP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventPEPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-19.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven24.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven284 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven205 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-42.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1485 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

PepsiCo's stock fell -19.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/12/2023. A -19.4% loss requires a 24.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Better Bets than PepsiCo (PEP)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PEP. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%-0.0%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-15.9%-15.9%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.5%-12.5%-22.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
IPAR_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025IPARInterparfumsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-0.0%-0.0%-6.0%
TAP_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025TAPMolson Coors BeverageDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.6%4.6%0.0%
STZ_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025STZConstellation BrandsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-15.9%-15.9%-21.1%
SJM_6302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield06302025SJMJM SmuckerDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.3%8.3%0.0%
BF-B_5312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-12.5%-12.5%-22.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PepsiCo

Financials

PEPKOMDLZKDPCPBCAGMedian
NamePepsiCo Coca-ColaMondelez.Keurig D.Campbell.Conagra . 
Mkt Price153.7168.4462.4628.0330.8618.5646.66
Mkt Cap210.4294.680.938.19.28.959.5
Rev LTM92,36647,06237,10515,75910,25311,45026,432
Op Inc LTM12,19314,4184,8783,3821,3531,3484,130
FCF LTM6,788-7222,8611,5757051,1411,358
FCF 3Y Avg6,6455,9403,1211,3867151,1332,254
CFO LTM11,7551,3014,1642,1171,1311,5441,830
CFO 3Y Avg11,9747,8284,3221,8951,1531,5203,108

Growth & Margins

PEPKOMDLZKDPCPBCAGMedian
NamePepsiCo Coca-ColaMondelez.Keurig D.Campbell.Conagra . 
Rev Chg LTM0.5%1.3%3.1%4.6%6.4%-4.1%2.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.4%4.5%7.6%5.9%6.2%-0.9%5.2%
Rev Chg Q2.7%1.4%7.7%6.1%1.2%-5.8%2.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%0.4%1.8%1.6%0.3%-1.4%0.5%
Op Mgn LTM13.2%30.6%13.1%21.5%13.2%11.8%13.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.8%29.4%14.7%21.5%13.3%15.1%14.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%0.6%0.6%-0.1%0.3%-0.7%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM12.7%2.8%11.2%13.4%11.0%13.5%12.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.0%17.3%12.1%12.5%11.8%12.8%12.7%
FCF/Rev LTM7.3%-1.5%7.7%10.0%6.9%10.0%7.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.2%13.1%8.7%9.2%7.4%9.6%9.0%

Valuation

PEPKOMDLZKDPCPBCAGMedian
NamePepsiCo Coca-ColaMondelez.Keurig D.Campbell.Conagra . 
Mkt Cap210.4294.680.938.19.28.959.5
P/S2.36.32.22.40.90.82.2
P/EBIT20.817.617.314.18.15.815.7
P/E29.124.222.224.815.310.523.2
P/CFO17.9226.419.418.08.15.817.9
Total Yield7.0%7.0%7.5%5.7%10.3%17.1%7.3%
Dividend Yield3.6%2.9%3.0%1.6%3.7%7.5%3.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.1%2.2%3.4%3.1%6.1%9.5%3.3%
D/E0.00.20.30.50.80.90.4
Net D/E0.00.10.20.40.80.90.3

Returns

PEPKOMDLZKDPCPBCAGMedian
NamePepsiCo Coca-ColaMondelez.Keurig D.Campbell.Conagra . 
1M Rtn8.4%3.0%-1.2%4.3%-6.5%0.1%1.6%
3M Rtn8.4%-1.3%-9.8%-15.7%0.8%-0.9%-1.1%
6M Rtn9.9%-4.9%-5.8%-19.5%-15.7%-24.3%-10.8%
12M Rtn-8.8%0.1%-10.1%-21.8%-33.5%-35.1%-16.0%
3Y Rtn-1.4%36.0%18.6%-18.5%-31.1%-37.6%-9.9%
1M Excs Rtn8.7%2.5%-0.9%3.5%-7.4%-1.5%0.8%
3M Excs Rtn3.9%-7.3%-15.0%-20.8%-4.2%-4.9%-6.1%
6M Excs Rtn-16.3%-31.0%-32.0%-45.7%-41.9%-50.4%-36.9%
12M Excs Rtn-23.8%-14.4%-25.0%-36.4%-47.9%-48.1%-30.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-86.5%-50.5%-67.6%-105.7%-116.3%-122.5%-96.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
PepsiCo Beverages North America (PBNA)27,62626,21325,27622,55921,730
Frito-Lay North America (FLNA)24,91423,29119,60818,18917,078
Europe13,23412,72413,03811,92211,728
Latin America (LatAm)11,6549,7798,1086,9427,573
Africa, Middle East and South Asia (AMESA)6,1396,4386,0784,5733,651
Asia Pacific, Australia and New Zealand and China region (APAC)4,8034,7874,6153,4452,919
Quaker Foods North America (QFNA)3,1013,1602,7512,7422,482
Corporate unallocated expenses 0 00
Total91,47186,39279,47470,37267,161


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Frito-Lay North America (FLNA)6,7556,1355,6335,3405,258
PepsiCo Beverages North America (PBNA)2,5845,4262,4421,9372,179
Latin America (LatAm)2,2521,6271,3691,0331,141
Africa, Middle East and South Asia (AMESA)807666858600671
Europe767-1,3801,2921,3531,327
Asia Pacific, Australia and New Zealand and China region (APAC)713537673590477
Quaker Foods North America (QFNA)492604578669544
Corporate unallocated expenses-2,384-2,103-1,683-1,442-1,306
Total11,98611,51211,16210,08010,291


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity18,371,072
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-8.6%
Average Daily Volume7,652,101
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.40
Basic Shares Quantity1,369,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/9/20253.7%  
7/17/2025-1.5%-0.6%3.4%
4/24/2025-1.4%-1.3%-4.4%
2/4/20251.5%1.5%7.7%
10/8/20241.2%3.2%-3.4%
7/11/20241.5%3.9%5.1%
4/23/20243.6%2.7%6.3%
2/9/20241.8%-0.8%-1.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive181211
# Negative51112
Median Positive1.4%1.7%3.8%
Median Negative-1.4%-1.1%-2.7%
Max Positive3.7%3.9%8.7%
Max Negative-1.9%-3.1%-12.2%

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Gallagher Marie T.SVP and Controller3062025Sell159.5525,0003,988,7803,559,906Form