New York Times (NYT)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $64.39 | Market Cap: $10.5 BilSector: Communication Services | Industry: Publishing
New York Times (NYT)
Market Price (11/14/2025): $64.39Market Cap: $10.5 BilSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Publishing
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -1.9% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Gaming Content & Platforms, Video Streaming, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 5.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 28% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Digital Content & Streaming, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Gaming Content & Platforms, Video Streaming, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -1.9% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
NYT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between July 31, 2025, and November 14, 2025, The New York Times Company (NYT) stock experienced a significant appreciation of 24.7%, largely driven by strong financial results, robust digital growth, and optimistic future outlooks. The key factors influencing this movement include:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance: The New York Times Company reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025. The company announced total revenue of $700.8 million, representing a 9.5% year-over-year increase and surpassing analyst forecasts. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) rose to $0.50, an increase of $0.11 year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS reaching $0.59, exceeding consensus estimates. Additionally, operating profit surged by 36.6% year-over-year to $104.8 million, and adjusted operating profit increased by 26.1%. This strong performance demonstrated the effectiveness of the company's strategy.
2. Significant Digital Subscriber Growth: The company continued to expand its digital footprint by adding approximately 460,000 net digital-only subscribers in the third quarter of 2025, bringing the total number of digital-only subscribers to 11.76 million and total subscribers to 12.33 million. This consistent growth in its subscriber base highlights the success of its direct-to-consumer model. Earlier in the period, the Q2 2025 earnings, reported on August 6, 2025, also indicated strong digital subscriber additions of 230,000 net new digital-only subscribers, reaching a total of 11.88 million at that time.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NYT Return | 62% | -6% | -32% | 53% | 7% | 25% | 112% |
| Peers Return | 14% | 18% | -20% | 7% | 13% | -25% | -3% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 109% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NYT Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 42% | 75% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 45% | 27% | 47% | 54% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NYT Max Drawdown | -11% | -22% | -42% | 0% | -15% | -12% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -31% | -5% | -30% | -12% | -7% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DIS, NWSA, IPG, LBTYA, TNMG. See NYT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NYT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -50.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 101.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 855 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -28.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 62 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -24.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -86.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 656.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3409 days | 1480 days |
Compare to DIS, NWSA, IPG, LBTYA, TNMG
In The Past
New York Times's stock fell -50.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/26/2021. A -50.3% loss requires a 101.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to NYT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -16.8% | -16.8% | -16.8% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -39.5% | -39.5% | -39.5% |
| 09122025 | DV | DoubleVerify | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.6% | -19.6% | -27.9% |
| 07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.9% | -14.9% | -17.9% |
| 05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.0% | -14.0% | -17.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10032025 | TTD | Trade Desk | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -16.8% | -16.8% | -16.8% |
| 10032025 | CABO | Cable One | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -39.5% | -39.5% | -39.5% |
| 09122025 | DV | DoubleVerify | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.6% | -19.6% | -27.9% |
| 07312025 | CMCSA | Comcast | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.9% | -14.9% | -17.9% |
| 05312025 | PINS | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -14.0% | -14.0% | -17.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for New York Times
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 25.67 |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| Rev LTM | 8,500 |
| Op Inc LTM | 966 |
| FCF LTM | 580 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 765 |
| CFO LTM | 993 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 948 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 10.5 |
| P/S | 1.7 |
| P/EBIT | 14.4 |
| P/E | 16.8 |
| P/CFO | 10.1 |
| Total Yield | 6.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -8.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 16.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -14.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -13.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.3% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -0.2% | ||
| 8/6/2025 | 15.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% |
| 5/7/2025 | -0.0% | 3.9% | 5.9% |
| 2/5/2025 | -11.9% | -11.3% | -15.2% |
| 11/4/2024 | -7.7% | -1.0% | -5.1% |
| 8/7/2024 | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| 5/8/2024 | 3.2% | 4.0% | 10.1% |
| 2/7/2024 | -7.3% | -9.0% | -10.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| # Negative | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% |
| Median Negative | -6.3% | -7.0% | -6.1% |
| Max Positive | 15.5% | 18.7% | 23.6% |
| Max Negative | -11.9% | -14.6% | -15.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/25/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/26/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/27/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2232022 | 10-K 12/26/2021 |
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