Tearsheet

NVIDIA (NVDA)


Market Price (10/18/2025): $183.39 | Market Cap: $4.5 Tril
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

NVIDIA (NVDA)


Market Price (10/18/2025): $183.39
Market Cap: $4.5 Tril
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 72%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%, Dist 3Y High is -4.9%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 58x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 58%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, CFO LTM is 77 Bil, FCF LTM is 72 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 72%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 58%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, CFO LTM is 77 Bil, FCF LTM is 72 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%, Dist 3Y High is -4.9%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 27x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 58x
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.5%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

NVDA Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NVDA Return122%125%-50%239%171%35%3027%
Peers Return38%61%-53%62%4%120%289%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NVDA Win Rate75%58%42%75%75%67% 
Peers Win Rate53%55%37%60%52%71% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NVDA Max Drawdown-16%-11%-62%-2%-4%-30% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-11%-59%-10%-15%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMD, MU, STX, WDC, AMBA. See NVDA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/17/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventNVDAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven197.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven223 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven56 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-56.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven417 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-85.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven570.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2731 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

NVIDIA's stock fell -66.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/29/2021. A -66.4% loss requires a 197.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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Better Bets than NVIDIA (NVDA)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to NVDA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.5%-5.5%-6.7%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.1%9.1%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.2%1.2%-0.3%
NVDA_12312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper12312022NVDANVIDIAMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
189.5%239.0%-2.4%
NVDA_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE06302022NVDANVIDIADip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-3.6%179.3%-25.9%
NVDA_12312018_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE12312018NVDANVIDIADip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
24.7%76.9%-4.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADBE_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025ADBEAdobeMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.5%-5.5%-6.7%
CRM_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025CRMSalesforceMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-0.6%
MPWR_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025MPWRMonolithic Power SystemsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
9.1%9.1%-1.8%
POWI_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09262025POWIPower IntegrationsDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
13.6%13.6%-13.4%
ROP_9262025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09262025ROPRoper TechnologiesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.2%1.2%-0.3%
NVDA_12312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper12312022NVDANVIDIAMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
189.5%239.0%-2.4%
NVDA_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE06302022NVDANVIDIADip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-3.6%179.3%-25.9%
NVDA_12312018_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE12312018NVDANVIDIADip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
24.7%76.9%-4.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for NVIDIA

Financials

NVDAAMDMUSTXWDCAMBAMedian
NameNVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Seagate .Western .Ambarella 
Mkt Price183.22233.08202.38225.40126.2082.68192.80
Mkt Cap4,464.3378.3227.148.544.23.5137.8
Rev LTM165,21829,60037,3789,09713,27934821,440
Op Inc LTM95,9812,4539,8091,9152,806-992,630
FCF LTM72,0234,0431,6688181,279371,474
FCF 3Y Avg43,0442,422-1,443703-24415359
CFO LTM77,0354,87717,5251,0831,691523,284
CFO 3Y Avg45,8663,0639,197981330282,022

Growth & Margins

NVDAAMDMUSTXWDCAMBAMedian
NameNVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Seagate .Western .Ambarella 
Rev Chg LTM71.6%27.2%48.9%38.9%39.2%57.9%44.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg92.0%11.7%20.3%-3.0%8.3%5.3%10.0%
Rev Chg Q55.6%31.7%46.0%29.5%30.0%49.9%38.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM11.2%6.7%10.5%6.5%4.7%10.1%8.4%
Op Mgn LTM58.1%8.3%26.2%21.1%21.1%-28.4%21.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg51.0%3.4%-1.1%9.4%3.7%-46.7%3.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-2.0%3.7%1.8%2.4%7.4%2.1%
CFO/Rev LTM46.6%16.5%46.9%11.9%12.7%15.0%15.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg44.5%11.9%30.3%12.9%1.0%8.9%12.4%
FCF/Rev LTM43.6%13.7%4.5%9.0%9.6%10.6%10.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg41.3%9.3%-11.5%9.2%-6.1%4.5%6.9%

Valuation

NVDAAMDMUSTXWDCAMBAMedian
NameNVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Seagate .Western .Ambarella 
Mkt Cap4,464.3378.3227.148.544.23.5137.8
P/S27.012.86.15.33.310.18.1
P/EBIT44.2152.722.426.420.6-35.624.4
P/E51.6133.526.633.023.6-39.729.8
P/CFO58.077.613.044.726.167.251.3
Total Yield2.0%0.7%4.0%4.3%4.2%-2.5%3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.2%1.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.5%1.1%-2.4%3.5%-2.5%0.5%0.8%
D/E0.00.00.10.10.10.00.0
Net D/E-0.0-0.00.00.10.1-0.10.0

Returns

NVDAAMDMUSTXWDCAMBAMedian
NameNVIDIA Advanced.Micron T.Seagate .Western .Ambarella 
1M Rtn7.6%46.4%26.6%6.0%25.0%3.8%16.3%
3M Rtn6.3%48.5%77.0%51.7%85.8%19.2%50.1%
6M Rtn80.6%166.4%194.6%200.0%246.7%91.8%180.5%
12M Rtn33.8%49.2%81.4%105.3%151.4%43.8%65.3%
3Y Rtn1,432.9%302.4%291.5%370.6%403.7%60.7%336.5%
1M Excs Rtn3.5%47.1%19.4%3.9%19.5%-0.4%11.7%
3M Excs Rtn1.2%42.8%73.2%45.4%78.1%12.9%44.1%
6M Excs Rtn54.4%140.2%168.5%173.8%220.6%65.6%154.3%
12M Excs Rtn24.7%34.2%80.2%91.9%138.3%28.5%57.2%
3Y Excs Rtn1,408.8%216.6%203.7%294.7%307.6%-29.3%255.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Compute & Networking47,40515,06811,0466,8413,279
Graphics13,51711,90615,8689,8347,639
All Other000  
Total60,92226,97426,91416,67510,918


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Compute & Networking32,0165,0834,5982,548751
Graphics5,8464,5528,4924,6123,267
All Other-4,890-5,411-3,049-2,628-1,172
Total32,9724,22410,0414,5322,846


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity226,771,413
Short Interest: % Change Since 91520254.3%
Average Daily Volume194,676,865
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.16
Basic Shares Quantity24,366,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/27/2025-0.8%-5.5%-1.9%
5/28/20253.2%5.3%17.0%
2/26/2025-8.5%-10.6%-15.1%
11/20/20240.5%-7.2%-7.7%
8/28/2024-6.4%-14.6%-3.3%
5/22/20249.3%16.4%24.4%
2/21/202416.4%15.1%35.5%
11/21/2023-2.5%-3.6%-1.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141511
# Negative10913
Median Positive4.6%8.6%17.0%
Median Negative-4.5%-7.2%-5.0%
Max Positive24.4%30.2%35.5%
Max Negative-8.5%-14.6%-29.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025827202510-Q 7/27/2025
4302025528202510-Q 4/27/2025
1312025226202510-K 1/26/2025
103120241120202410-Q 10/27/2024
7312024828202410-Q 7/28/2024
4302024529202410-Q 4/28/2024
1312024221202410-K 1/28/2024
103120231121202310-Q 10/29/2023
7312023828202310-Q 7/30/2023
4302023526202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023224202310-K 1/29/2023
103120221118202210-Q 10/30/2022
7312022831202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022527202210-Q 5/1/2022
1312022318202210-K 1/30/2022
103120211122202110-Q 10/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0HUANG JEN HSUNPresident and CEO9292025Sell173.854,643807,17212,421,987,045Form