Tearsheet

Netflix (NFLX)


Market Price (10/13/2025): $1217.4 | Market Cap: $517.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Netflix (NFLX)


Market Price (10/13/2025): $1217.4
Market Cap: $517.7 Bil
Sector: Communication Services
Industry: Movies & Entertainment

Investment Highlights

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 42x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 57x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 51x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 30%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 9.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.5 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 30%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 9.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 8.5 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 12x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 42x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 57x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 51x
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.4%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

NFLX Stock


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
NFLX Return67%11%-51%65%83%37%277%
Peers Return49%231%-54%20%-10%34%226%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%11%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
NFLX Win Rate75%42%42%58%83%67% 
Peers Win Rate48%48%28%57%45%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
NFLX Max Drawdown-8%-10%-72%-1%-4%-7% 
Peers Max Drawdown-40%-19%-56%-33%-36%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AAPL, AMZN, FUBO, AMC, RDI. See NFLX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/10/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventNFLXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-75.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven315.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven832 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-22.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven28 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven79.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven478 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-55.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven126.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven141 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Netflix's stock fell -75.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/17/2021. A -75.9% loss requires a 315.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Netflix (NFLX)

Netflix, Inc. provides entertainment services. It offers TV series, documentaries, feature films, and mobile games across various genres and languages. The company provides members the ability to receive streaming content through a host of internet-connected devices, including TVs, digital video players, television set-top boxes, and mobile devices. It also provides DVDs-by-mail membership services in the United States. The company has approximately 222 million paid members in 190 countries. Netflix, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, California.

Better Bets than Netflix (NFLX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past trade ideas related to NFLX and Movies & Entertainment.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TTD_9302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
CMCSA_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025CMCSAComcastMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-10.4%-10.4%-10.4%
PINS_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.3%-2.3%-2.3%
IRDM_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.8%-22.8%-27.4%
IAS_4302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE04302025IASIntegral Ad ScienceDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
44.0%44.0%0.0%
NFLX_4302024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302024NFLXNetflixQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
37.9%105.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
TTD_9302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE09302025TTDTrade DeskDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
CMCSA_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025CMCSAComcastMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-10.4%-10.4%-10.4%
PINS_5312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312025PINSPinterestMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.3%-2.3%-2.3%
IRDM_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025IRDMIridium CommunicationsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-22.8%-22.8%-27.4%
IAS_4302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE04302025IASIntegral Ad ScienceDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
44.0%44.0%0.0%
NFLX_4302024_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%04302024NFLXNetflixQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
37.9%105.5%0.0%

See Trefis Trade Ideas for more.

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Netflix

Financials

NFLXAAPLAMZNFUBOAMCRDIMedian
NameNetflix Apple Amazon.c.FuboTV AMC Ente.Reading . 
Mkt Price1,220.08245.27216.373.682.951.43110.03
Mkt Cap518.83,655.22,301.51.31.30.0260.0
Rev LTM41,693408,625670,0381,6264,91621923,304
Op Inc LTM12,304130,21476,190-125109-36,207
FCF LTM8,50196,18413,481132-30634,316
FCF 3Y Avg6,527100,50321,677-93-484-103,259
CFO LTM9,070108,565121,137147-6034,609
CFO 3Y Avg6,950111,55996,977-77-252-103,470

Growth & Margins

NFLXAAPLAMZNFUBOAMCRDIMedian
NameNetflix Apple Amazon.c.FuboTV AMC Ente.Reading . 
Rev Chg LTM14.8%6.0%10.9%6.6%9.4%7.6%8.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.5%1.8%11.3%24.8%8.2%5.7%9.3%
Rev Chg Q15.9%9.6%13.3%-2.8%35.6%29.0%14.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.8%2.1%3.0%-0.7%8.1%6.6%3.4%
Op Mgn LTM29.5%31.9%11.4%-7.7%2.2%-1.3%6.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.6%30.8%7.9%-17.5%-1.5%-7.3%3.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.8%0.1%0.3%1.8%3.1%5.2%1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM21.8%26.6%18.1%9.0%-1.2%1.4%13.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.6%28.4%15.8%-6.8%-5.7%-4.6%5.6%
FCF/Rev LTM20.4%23.5%2.0%8.1%-6.2%1.4%5.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg17.5%25.6%3.5%-7.9%-10.9%-4.6%-0.5%

Valuation

NFLXAAPLAMZNFUBOAMCRDIMedian
NameNetflix Apple Amazon.c.FuboTV AMC Ente.Reading . 
Mkt Cap518.83,655.22,301.51.31.30.0260.0
P/S12.48.93.40.80.30.12.1
P/EBIT41.728.127.011.59.78.219.3
P/E50.636.832.614.1-3.5-1.923.3
P/CFO57.233.719.08.6-21.510.214.6
Total Yield2.0%3.1%3.1%7.1%-28.4%-51.4%2.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.4%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.0%3.2%1.1%-23.8%-21.1%-21.2%-10.0%
D/E0.00.00.10.36.511.10.2
Net D/E0.00.00.00.16.110.80.0

Returns

NFLXAAPLAMZNFUBOAMCRDIMedian
NameNetflix Apple Amazon.c.FuboTV AMC Ente.Reading . 
1M Rtn2.7%4.8%-5.2%-13.8%5.0%-4.1%-0.7%
3M Rtn-2.0%16.3%-3.8%11.2%-11.4%6.6%2.3%
6M Rtn32.9%24.1%17.0%29.1%0.0%20.1%22.1%
12M Rtn68.8%8.3%14.6%127.2%-29.3%-13.4%11.4%
3Y Rtn424.7%74.2%92.3%-10.0%-94.5%-58.5%32.1%
1M Excs Rtn1.9%7.2%-5.4%-11.0%5.9%-4.2%-1.2%
3M Excs Rtn-7.8%13.2%-8.7%3.4%-14.9%4.5%-2.2%
6M Excs Rtn8.1%4.7%-5.0%9.0%-23.4%-4.3%0.2%
12M Excs Rtn55.1%-4.8%4.5%147.1%-43.2%-23.5%-0.2%
3Y Excs Rtn342.2%-3.0%5.7%-80.3%-168.6%-129.9%-41.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Streaming revenues33,64031,47029,51524,75719,859
DVD revenues83146182239297
Total33,72331,61629,69824,99620,156


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,428,320
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-7.6%
Average Daily Volume2,939,607
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.19
Basic Shares Quantity425,211,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/17/2025-5.1%-7.3%-2.8%
4/17/20251.5%13.2%22.5%
10/17/202411.1%9.7%19.8%
7/18/2024-1.5%-1.4%4.8%
4/18/2024-9.1%-7.5%1.7%
1/23/202410.7%14.4%19.6%
10/18/202316.1%18.8%34.9%
7/19/2023-8.4%-11.5%-15.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive91015
# Negative14138
Median Positive10.7%12.6%10.2%
Median Negative-5.8%-7.3%-9.9%
Max Positive16.9%20.8%34.9%
Max Negative-35.1%-43.1%-49.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025718202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025418202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024127202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241018202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024719202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024422202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023126202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231020202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023721202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023421202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022126202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221020202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022721202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022421202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021127202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211021202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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