Micron Technology (MU)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $239.7 | Market Cap: $268.9 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors
Micron Technology (MU)
Market Price (11/13/2025): $239.7Market Cap: $268.9 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 157%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 136% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, CFO LTM is 18 Bil | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 49% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 47%, CFO LTM is 18 Bil |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.3%, Dist 3Y High is -3.3% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 157%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 136% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 62% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
MU Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the 124% stock movement for Micron Technology (MU) from July 31, 2025, to November 13, 2025:
1. Exceptional Fiscal Q4 2025 Earnings and Optimistic Fiscal Q1 2026 Guidance. Micron Technology reported record-breaking fiscal fourth-quarter 2025 results on September 23, 2025, with revenue surging to $11.32 billion, a 46% year-over-year increase, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.03, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company also provided a strong outlook for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, forecasting approximately $12.5 billion in revenue and a non-GAAP gross margin of around 51.5%, which represents a historically high level for Micron.
2. Explosive Demand and Sold-Out Supply for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM). Micron solidified its critical role in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector, with its high-bandwidth memory (HBM) products seeing an unprecedented surge in demand, particularly for AI accelerators used by major chip manufacturers. The company's HBM revenue reached nearly $2 billion in fiscal Q4 2025, with an annualized run rate approaching $8 billion, driven by the successful ramp-up of its HBM3E products. Furthermore, Micron announced that its HBM supply for 2025 and much of 2026 was already fully allocated or sold out.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MU Return | 40% | 24% | -46% | 72% | -1% | 192% | 367% |
| Peers Return | 20% | 21% | -21% | 32% | 0% | 69% | 157% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MU Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 58% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 54% | 42% | 60% | 46% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MU Max Drawdown | -36% | -12% | -47% | 0% | -7% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -4% | -32% | -4% | -14% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TXN, ADI, STX, WDC, MCHP. See MU Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MU | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 528 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 245 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -53.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 700 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -88.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 742.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1680 days | 1480 days |
Compare to TXN, ADI, STX, WDC, MCHP
In The Past
Micron Technology's stock fell -49.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -49.8% loss requires a 99.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MU. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.0% | -3.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| 06302025 | MU | Micron Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 95.9% | 95.9% | -14.8% |
| 12312024 | MU | Micron Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 43.8% | 187.3% | -23.0% |
| 02282023 | MU | Micron Technology | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 56.2% | -6.8% |
| 08312022 | MU | Micron Technology | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.9% | 24.8% | -13.5% |
| 10312018 | MU | Micron Technology | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.1% | 26.1% | -23.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.0% | -3.0% | -3.5% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -3.9% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -1.1% | -1.1% | -1.3% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 6.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| 06302025 | MU | Micron Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 95.9% | 95.9% | -14.8% |
| 12312024 | MU | Micron Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 43.8% | 187.3% | -23.0% |
| 02282023 | MU | Micron Technology | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.8% | 56.2% | -6.8% |
| 08312022 | MU | Micron Technology | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.9% | 24.8% | -13.5% |
| 10312018 | MU | Micron Technology | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 11.1% | 26.1% | -23.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Micron Technology
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 203.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 90.1 |
| Rev LTM | 11,833 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,718 |
| FCF LTM | 1,474 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,217 |
| CFO LTM | 2,927 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,179 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 24.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | 27.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 5.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 23.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.8% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 30.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 30.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 10.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 90.1 |
| P/S | 7.2 |
| P/EBIT | 30.2 |
| P/E | 31.7 |
| P/CFO | 31.5 |
| Total Yield | 3.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 15.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 41.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 82.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 74.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 176.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 13.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 36.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 66.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 50.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 125.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 9/23/2025 | -2.8% | 0.5% | 19.3% |
| 6/25/2025 | -1.0% | -4.3% | -12.5% |
| 3/20/2025 | -8.0% | -11.5% | -35.1% |
| 12/18/2024 | -16.2% | -13.6% | 5.3% |
| 9/25/2024 | 14.7% | 4.3% | 11.7% |
| 6/26/2024 | -7.1% | -3.9% | -23.1% |
| 3/20/2024 | 14.1% | 23.9% | 11.0% |
| 12/20/2023 | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 15 |
| # Negative | 13 | 13 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% |
| Median Negative | -4.1% | -6.1% | -10.6% |
| Max Positive | 14.7% | 23.9% | 19.9% |
| Max Negative | -16.2% | -13.6% | -35.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 10032025 | 10-K 8/28/2025 |
| 5312025 | 6262025 | 10-Q 5/29/2025 |
| 2282025 | 3212025 | 10-Q 2/27/2025 |
| 11302024 | 12192024 | 10-Q 11/28/2024 |
| 8312024 | 10042024 | 10-K 8/29/2024 |
| 5312024 | 6272024 | 10-Q 5/30/2024 |
| 2292024 | 3212024 | 10-Q 2/29/2024 |
| 11302023 | 12212023 | 10-Q 11/30/2023 |
| 8312023 | 10062023 | 10-K 8/31/2023 |
| 5312023 | 6292023 | 10-Q 6/1/2023 |
| 2282023 | 3292023 | 10-Q 3/2/2023 |
| 11302022 | 12222022 | 10-Q 12/1/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10072022 | 10-K 9/1/2022 |
| 5312022 | 7012022 | 10-Q 6/2/2022 |
| 2282022 | 3302022 | 10-Q 3/3/2022 |
| 11302021 | 1062022 | 10-Q 12/2/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
