Tearsheet

Merck (MRK)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $84.15 | Market Cap: $211.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Merck (MRK)


Market Price (10/16/2025): $84.15
Market Cap: $211.2 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Pharmaceuticals

Investment Highlights


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.9%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 19 Bil, FCF LTM is 15 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, Dividend Yield is 3.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.1%, FCF Yield is 7.0%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23%, CFO LTM is 19 Bil, FCF LTM is 15 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -66%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.9%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

MRK Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MRK Return-7%2%49%1%-6%-13%19%
Peers Return10%27%3%-16%6%15%48%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%13%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MRK Win Rate58%42%67%42%33%33% 
Peers Win Rate48%65%53%38%50%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MRK Max Drawdown-26%-12%-4%-8%-10%-26% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-7%-12%-25%-10%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RHHBY, JNJ, ABBV, PFE, BMY. See MRK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/15/2025 (YTD)

Downturns Compared

Unique KeyEventMRKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-20.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven25.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven156 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-27.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven38.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven784 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-18.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven22.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven259 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-65.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven189.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2006 days1480 days


How Low Can It Go?

Merck's stock fell -20.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/4/2021. A -20.2% loss requires a 25.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

Interactive Breakdown

Merck Interactive Breakdown Analysis

Better Bets than Merck (MRK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MRK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADMA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025ADMAADMA BiologicsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.9%2.9%-4.6%
REGN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%-0.8%
HAE_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09262025HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.1%
WAT_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025WATWatersMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
10.5%10.5%-4.3%
ISRG_9052025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09052025ISRGIntuitive SurgicalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.7%-6.7%-8.0%
MRK_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025MRKMerckMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.7%8.7%0.0%
MRK_1312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01312025MRKMerckMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-18.3%-12.4%-25.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ADMA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025ADMAADMA BiologicsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.9%2.9%-4.6%
REGN_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%-0.8%
HAE_9262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG09262025HAEHaemoneticsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
0.9%0.9%-0.1%
WAT_9192025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09192025WATWatersMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
10.5%10.5%-4.3%
ISRG_9052025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09052025ISRGIntuitive SurgicalMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.7%-6.7%-8.0%
MRK_7312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper07312025MRKMerckMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.7%8.7%0.0%
MRK_1312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01312025MRKMerckMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-18.3%-12.4%-25.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Merck

Financials

MRKRHHBYJNJABBVPFEBMYMedian
NameMerck Roche Johnson .AbbVie Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Price84.1144.48191.17226.2224.3943.6164.30
Mkt Cap211.1-460.0400.0138.788.6211.1
Rev LTM63,616-90,62758,32863,83347,63663,616
Op Inc LTM19,821-22,22813,69516,6637,87016,663
FCF LTM14,722-16,39718,23912,43813,08614,722
FCF 3Y Avg12,899-16,92620,2739,30412,22512,899
CFO LTM18,534-23,02819,28315,18814,31018,534
CFO 3Y Avg16,766-22,24821,15412,58413,41916,766

Growth & Margins

MRKRHHBYJNJABBVPFEBMYMedian
NameMerck Roche Johnson .AbbVie Pfizer Bristol-. 
Rev Chg LTM1.8%-4.7%6.1%13.5%4.6%4.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.7%-4.0%0.6%-12.4%0.5%0.6%
Rev Chg Q-1.9%-5.8%6.6%10.3%-5.6%5.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.5%-1.5%1.7%2.2%-1.4%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM31.2%-24.5%23.5%26.1%16.5%24.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg22.6%-26.3%27.2%20.2%17.3%22.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.8%--0.2%1.0%1.8%4.3%1.0%
CFO/Rev LTM29.1%-25.4%33.1%23.8%30.0%29.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg27.2%-25.7%37.5%18.8%28.9%27.2%
FCF/Rev LTM23.1%-18.1%31.3%19.5%27.5%23.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg20.9%-19.6%36.0%13.8%26.4%20.9%

Valuation

MRKRHHBYJNJABBVPFEBMYMedian
NameMerck Roche Johnson .AbbVie Pfizer Bristol-. 
Mkt Cap211.1-460.0400.0138.788.6211.1
P/S3.3-5.16.92.21.93.3
P/EBIT10.3-16.367.910.410.910.9
P/E12.9-20.3106.312.916.316.3
P/CFO11.4-20.020.79.16.211.4
Total Yield11.6%-7.6%3.8%13.0%11.7%11.6%
Dividend Yield3.8%-2.6%2.8%5.2%5.5%3.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.1%-4.5%7.3%5.7%12.4%5.7%
D/E0.2-0.10.20.40.60.2
Net D/E0.1-0.10.20.30.40.2

Returns

MRKRHHBYJNJABBVPFEBMYMedian
NameMerck Roche Johnson .AbbVie Pfizer Bristol-. 
1M Rtn3.8%8.5%7.8%4.7%1.8%-4.6%4.3%
3M Rtn3.0%10.6%16.9%19.6%0.8%-6.3%6.8%
6M Rtn12.2%15.3%26.2%33.9%14.7%-9.3%15.0%
12M Rtn-21.8%16.8%20.3%22.0%-11.3%-13.2%2.7%
3Y Rtn-0.2%27.8%27.4%76.6%-32.9%-29.5%13.6%
1M Excs Rtn2.8%7.1%7.4%4.4%1.1%-5.6%3.6%
3M Excs Rtn-1.7%5.6%12.2%13.1%-5.0%-13.9%1.9%
6M Excs Rtn-14.2%-8.1%2.8%6.4%-10.9%-34.0%-9.5%
12M Excs Rtn-35.2%2.6%7.5%6.8%-25.2%-27.0%-11.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-83.0%-55.3%-54.1%-0.3%-115.8%-111.9%-69.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Pharmaceutical53,58352,00542,75436,61041,751
Animal Health5,6255,5505,5684,7034,393
Other9071,728382182521
Other segment sales   23175
Total60,11559,28348,70441,51846,840


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9302025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity25,174,694
Short Interest: % Change Since 9152025-9.2%
Average Daily Volume14,294,134
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.76
Basic Shares Quantity2,510,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/29/2025-1.7%-5.0%1.1%
4/24/20251.4%8.2%-1.1%
2/4/2025-9.1%-13.4%-6.6%
10/31/2024-2.4%-3.9%-3.0%
7/30/2024-9.8%-12.1%-8.8%
4/25/20242.9%1.4%3.2%
2/1/20244.6%5.5%5.1%
10/26/20231.9%-0.8%-1.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9109
# Negative151415
Median Positive1.9%2.7%5.1%
Median Negative-2.4%-3.8%-2.9%
Max Positive6.1%8.8%9.2%
Max Negative-9.8%-13.4%-8.8%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025805202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211105202110-Q 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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