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Medtronic (MDT)


Market Price (11/27/2025): $105.05 | Market Cap: $134.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care | Industry: Health Care Equipment

Medtronic (MDT)


Market Price (11/27/2025): $105.05
Market Cap: $134.6 Bil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Health Care Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.3%, Dist 3Y High is -0.3%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 21x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 29x
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 19%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -32%
 
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 7.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.3 Bil
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 19%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 21%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 7.1 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.3 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Precision Medicine, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Aging Population & Chronic Disease. Themes include Targeted Therapies, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -0.3%, Dist 3Y High is -0.3%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -6.4%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -32%
7 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 21x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 29x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MDT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Medtronic (MDT) stock moved by 17.3% for the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 27, 2025: **1. Strong Fiscal Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Exceeding Expectations.** Medtronic reported robust financial results for its second quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ending October 24, 2025), with revenue of $8.96 billion, marking a 6.6% year-over-year increase, and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.36, an 8% increase year-over-year. Both figures surpassed analyst estimates. The company also raised its full-year fiscal 2026 revenue and EPS guidance to $5.62-$5.66 adjusted EPS, reflecting confidence in sustained growth and leading to a post-earnings stock price surge.

**2. Robust Growth in the Cardiovascular Segment, Driven by Innovation.** The Cardiovascular portfolio demonstrated significant strength, with revenue increasing by 10.8% as reported and 9.3% organically. This marked its strongest performance in over a decade, excluding comparisons impacted by the pandemic. A primary driver of this growth was the Cardiac Ablation Solutions business, which saw revenue soar by 71% globally, including a remarkable 128% increase in the U.S., largely due to the success of its pulsed field ablation (PFA) portfolio.

**3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upgraded Price Targets.** Analyst sentiment regarding Medtronic has trended positively, resulting in a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating for the stock and an average price target of $109.72. Several prominent financial firms raised their ratings or price targets for Medtronic, including JPMorgan Chase & Co. increasing its target from $90.00 to $100.00, Morgan Stanley from $107.00 to $117.00 with an "overweight" rating, and Royal Bank of Canada from $111.00 to $118.00 with an "outperform" rating.

**4. Strategic Board Changes and Enhanced Governance.** In August 2025, Medtronic announced significant leadership changes, including the addition of two independent directors with extensive medical technology expertise to its board. These changes, which followed discussions with Elliott Investment Management, also involved the establishment of new board committees focused on accelerating growth and improving operational performance. These strategic moves, coupled with reaffirmations of the company's future revenue outlook, signaled a strong commitment to corporate transformation and positively influenced market sentiment.

**5. Advancements and Regulatory Approvals in the Diabetes Business.** Medtronic's diabetes business entered a strong innovation cycle during this period. In July 2025, the 780G insulin pump system received CE Mark approval for expanded indications, including for people with type 2 diabetes, children as young as two years old, and during pregnancy. Following this, in September 2025, the U.S. FDA also approved the 780G system for individuals with type 2 diabetes, further expanding its market reach and showcasing successful execution of its product pipeline.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MDT Return6%-10%-23%10%0%35%10%
Peers Return11%20%-14%5%17%10%55%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MDT Win Rate58%42%42%42%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate52%52%45%50%60%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MDT Max Drawdown-36%-14%-25%-8%-5%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-6%-29%-17%-9%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JNJ, ABT, ISRG, BSX, BAX. See MDT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMDTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven382 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-17.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven185 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-57.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1695 days1480 days

Compare to JNJ, ABT, ISRG, BSX, BAX


In The Past

Medtronic's stock fell -48.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/8/2021. A -48.6% loss requires a 94.7% gain to breakeven.

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About Medtronic (MDT)

Better Bets than Medtronic (MDT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MDT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-16.6%-16.6%-22.3%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.0%6.0%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-29.1%-29.1%-38.7%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.3%-3.3%-5.8%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
31.4%31.4%-7.0%
MDT_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022MDTMedtronicDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.6%0.4%-5.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GDRX_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-16.6%-16.6%-22.3%
DXCM_10312025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10312025DXCMDexComMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
6.0%6.0%-5.8%
ACHC_10242025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10242025ACHCAcadia HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-29.1%-29.1%-38.7%
PBH_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025PBHPrestige Consumer HealthcareDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.3%-3.3%-5.8%
REGN_10032025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10032025REGNRegeneron PharmaceuticalsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
31.4%31.4%-7.0%
MDT_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022MDTMedtronicDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.6%0.4%-5.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Medtronic

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MDTJNJABTISRGBSXBAXMedian
NameMedtronicJohnson .Abbott L.Intuitiv.Boston S.Baxter I. 
Mkt Price105.02207.56128.54574.23100.9618.91116.78
Mkt Cap134.6499.9223.9204.8149.69.7177.2
Rev LTM34,20092,14943,8439,61219,35011,02326,775
Op Inc LTM6,64724,1467,7132,8163,7204115,184
FCF LTM5,30318,6796,9172,2713,6282304,466
FCF 3Y Avg4,96417,8145,9651,3712,3786573,671
CFO LTM7,14624,2049,1192,9614,6267495,886
CFO 3Y Avg6,62523,2098,1322,2683,3051,1484,965

Growth & Margins

MDTJNJABTISRGBSXBAXMedian
NameMedtronicJohnson .Abbott L.Intuitiv.Boston S.Baxter I. 
Rev Chg LTM5.0%5.1%6.4%22.2%21.6%3.9%5.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.3%6.1%-0.6%16.3%15.6%-4.5%4.7%
Rev Chg Q8.4%6.8%6.9%22.9%20.3%5.0%7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.0%1.7%1.7%5.1%4.6%1.2%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM19.4%26.2%17.6%29.3%19.2%3.7%19.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.6%26.4%16.3%26.7%18.0%3.6%18.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%1.7%0.2%0.5%0.9%0.1%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM20.9%26.3%20.8%30.8%23.9%6.8%22.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.2%26.4%19.5%27.8%19.8%11.6%20.0%
FCF/Rev LTM15.5%20.3%15.8%23.6%18.7%2.1%17.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg15.1%20.3%14.3%16.5%14.1%6.7%14.7%

Valuation

MDTJNJABTISRGBSXBAXMedian
NameMedtronicJohnson .Abbott L.Intuitiv.Boston S.Baxter I. 
Mkt Cap134.6499.9223.9204.8149.69.7177.2
P/S3.95.45.121.37.70.95.3
P/EBIT21.015.425.972.741.4190.633.7
P/E28.919.916.074.553.6-28.524.4
P/CFO18.820.724.669.232.313.022.6
Total Yield6.1%7.5%8.0%1.3%1.9%0.7%4.0%
Dividend Yield2.7%2.4%1.8%0.0%0.0%4.2%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.5%4.4%3.0%1.0%2.0%3.7%3.3%
D/E0.20.10.10.00.11.00.1
Net D/E0.20.10.0-0.00.10.80.1

Returns

MDTJNJABTISRGBSXBAXMedian
NameMedtronicJohnson .Abbott L.Intuitiv.Boston S.Baxter I. 
1M Rtn11.6%9.8%1.1%4.2%-1.4%-18.4%2.6%
3M Rtn15.0%18.2%-1.8%21.9%-4.6%-22.9%6.6%
6M Rtn31.3%38.0%-1.8%3.9%-3.4%-37.4%1.1%
12M Rtn26.6%38.4%11.0%5.9%11.9%-41.2%11.5%
3Y Rtn46.6%28.3%27.4%116.6%128.7%-63.4%37.4%
1M Excs Rtn13.8%12.9%2.7%6.4%1.1%-16.1%4.5%
3M Excs Rtn10.3%14.3%-6.5%16.4%-9.3%-27.3%1.9%
6M Excs Rtn14.2%21.8%-17.6%-11.9%-18.6%-52.9%-14.8%
12M Excs Rtn11.7%24.8%-2.9%-9.3%-1.9%-55.9%-2.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-31.5%-43.3%-41.3%48.1%62.6%-135.8%-36.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cardiovascular11,83111,52211,36810,77210,468
Neuroscience9,4068,9598,7848,1957,725
Medical Surgical8,4177,9898,4698,7378,352
Diabetes2,4882,2622,3382,4132,368
Other operating segment221495727  
Total32,36331,22731,68630,11728,913


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cardiovascular4,4744,5224,5963,8503,719
Neuroscience3,9403,7123,8583,1622,915
Medical Surgical3,1703,0483,6983,0213,044
Diabetes394383588598546
Currency6846570-47 
Other operating segment10-89-31  
Medical device regulations-119-150-102-83-48
Certain litigation charges, net-14930-95-118-313
Restructuring and associated costs-389-647-335-617-441
Stock-based compensation-393-355-358  
Acquisition and divestiture-related items-777-345-83815-66
Centralized distribution costs-1,609-1,558-1,741-1,830-1,420
Amortization of intangible assets-1,693-1,698-1,733-1,783-1,756
Corporate-1,784-1,763-1,724-1,577-1,239
Commitments to the Medtronic Foundation and Medtronic LABS -7000 
In-process research and development (IPR&D) charges  -101-31-25
Divestiture and separation-related items   0 
Impairment of abandoned intangible assets   -76 
Mechanical Circulatory Support (MCS) Impairments / Costs   0 
Contribution to Medtronic Foundation    -80
Debt tender premium and other charges    7
Exit of businesses    -52
Total5,1435,4855,7524,4844,791


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Medical Surgical33,586   39,666
Neuroscience18,270   16,850
Corporate17,455   16,164
Cardiovascular16,128   14,844
Diabetes3,996   3,165
Other operating segment547    
Total89,982   90,689


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity13,532,095
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-6.2%
Average Daily Volume6,255,699
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.16
Basic Shares Quantity1,281,600,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/18/20254.7%7.2% 
8/19/2025-3.1%-0.8%1.9%
5/21/2025-2.3%-5.9%-0.0%
2/18/2025-7.3%-2.8%-0.6%
11/19/2024-3.0%-2.1%-8.6%
8/20/20240.7%5.3%3.9%
5/23/2024-5.1%-6.0%-5.5%
2/20/20241.7%-0.9%-0.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1188
# Negative111414
Median Positive2.6%4.5%3.0%
Median Negative-3.1%-3.7%-4.2%
Max Positive4.7%7.3%8.3%
Max Negative-7.3%-8.7%-13.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025826202510-Q 7/25/2025
4302025620202510-K 4/25/2025
1312025225202510-Q 1/24/2025
103120241126202410-Q 10/25/2024
7312024827202410-Q 7/26/2024
4302024620202410-K 4/26/2024
1312024227202410-Q 1/26/2024
103120231130202310-Q 10/27/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/28/2023
4302023622202310-K 4/28/2023
1312023301202310-Q 1/27/2023
103120221201202210-Q 10/28/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/29/2022
4302022623202210-K 4/29/2022
1312022303202210-Q 1/28/2022
103120211202202110-Q 10/29/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Jellison William R 8252025Buy92.732,500231,825231,825Form