Tearsheet

Southwest Airlines (LUV)


Market Price (3/28/2026): $37.3 | Market Cap: $22.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Passenger Airlines

Southwest Airlines (LUV)


Market Price (3/28/2026): $37.3
Market Cap: $22.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Passenger Airlines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -29%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 52x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Sustainable Mobility. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%
2   Key risks
LUV key risks include [1] its sole-source dependency on Boeing for its entire aircraft fleet and [2] significant business and growth disruptions from related delays in new aircraft certification and delivery.
0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Sustainable Mobility. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -29%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 34x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 52x
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%
5 Key risks
LUV key risks include [1] its sole-source dependency on Boeing for its entire aircraft fleet and [2] significant business and growth disruptions from related delays in new aircraft certification and delivery.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Southwest Airlines (LUV) stock has gained about 10% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong 2026 Earnings Guidance and Business Transformation Initiatives.

Southwest Airlines provided optimistic adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) guidance of at least $4.00 for 2026, representing a projected increase of over 300% compared to 2025, significantly surpassing Wall Street's consensus estimate of $3.19. This positive outlook is largely attributed to the successful implementation of "sweeping transformation initiatives" in 2025, which included the introduction of bag fees, basic economy fares, assigned and extra legroom seating, optimization of the Rapid Rewards program, and expanded online distribution. The company also expects first-quarter 2026 operating revenues per available seat mile (RASM) to increase by at least 9.5% year-over-year.

2. Better-than-Expected Q4 2025 Financial Results.

Southwest Airlines reported its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on January 28, 2026, with an EPS of $0.58, which exceeded analysts' consensus estimates of $0.56 by $0.02. While quarterly revenue of $7.44 billion was slightly below analyst expectations, it still represented a 7.4% year-over-year increase. Furthermore, the company's net income for the fourth quarter jumped by nearly 24% year-over-year to $323 million.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.3% change in LUV stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)113020253272026Change
Stock Price ($)34.5137.368.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)27,55128,0631.9%
Net Income Margin (%)1.4%1.6%14.2%
P/E Multiple47.651.58.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)523608-14.0%
Cumulative Contribution8.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUV8.3% 
Market (SPY)-5.3%35.9%
Sector (XLI)3.9%49.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 15.2% change in LUV stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253272026Change
Stock Price ($)32.4337.3615.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)27,47228,0632.2%
Net Income Margin (%)1.4%1.6%10.1%
P/E Multiple44.551.515.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)538608-11.5%
Cumulative Contribution15.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUV15.2% 
Market (SPY)0.6%33.6%
Sector (XLI)5.5%46.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 23.4% change in LUV stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820253272026Change
Stock Price ($)30.2737.3623.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)27,48328,0632.1%
Net Income Margin (%)1.7%1.6%-6.9%
P/E Multiple39.051.532.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)598608-1.6%
Cumulative Contribution23.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUV23.4% 
Market (SPY)9.8%56.1%
Sector (XLI)18.4%59.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 19.5% change in LUV stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 49.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820233272026Change
Stock Price ($)31.2737.3619.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)23,81428,06317.8%
Net Income Margin (%)2.3%1.6%-30.6%
P/E Multiple34.451.549.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)593608-2.5%
Cumulative Contribution19.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LUV19.5% 
Market (SPY)69.4%44.7%
Sector (XLI)65.1%50.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LUV Return-8%-21%-12%19%26%-4%-8%
Peers Return2%-26%3%64%-9%-15%-1%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-5%72%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LUV Win Rate33%50%33%75%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate47%47%45%60%52%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LUV Max Drawdown-16%-28%-33%-17%-28%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-35%-20%-16%-46%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DAL, AAL, UAL, JBLU, ALK. See LUV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLUVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-65.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven188.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven145.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven285 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-33.0%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven49.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven231.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,694 days1,480 days

Compare to DAL, AAL, UAL, JBLU, ALK

In The Past

Southwest Airlines's stock fell -65.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2021. A -65.3% loss requires a 188.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Southwest Airlines (LUV)

Southwest Airlines Co. operates as a passenger airline company that provide scheduled air transportation services in the United States and near-international markets. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated a total fleet of 728 Boeing 737 aircrafts; and served 121 destinations in 42 states, the District of Columbia, and the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, as well as 10 near-international countries, including Mexico, Jamaica, the Bahamas, Aruba, the Dominican Republic, Costa Rica, Belize, Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and Turks and Caicos. It also provides inflight entertainment and connectivity services on Wi-Fi enabled aircrafts; and Rapid Rewards loyalty program that enables program members to earn points for dollars spent on Southwest base fares. In addition, the company offers a suite of digital platforms to support customers' travel needs, including websites and apps; and SWABIZ, an online booking tool. Further, it provides ancillary services, such as Southwest's EarlyBird Check-In, upgraded boarding, and transportation of pets and unaccompanied minors. The company was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies to describe Southwest Airlines (LUV):

  • The Walmart of the Skies: Like Walmart, Southwest offers widespread domestic access and a focus on consistent value for its customers across a vast network.
  • The Target of the Skies: Positioning itself as a step up from ultra-low-cost options, Southwest provides a value-oriented flying experience with a distinct, often more customer-friendly, brand and unique services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Scheduled Air Transportation: Providing passenger air travel services on scheduled routes within the United States and to near-international destinations.
  • Inflight Entertainment and Connectivity: Offering entertainment and Wi-Fi services to passengers during flights.
  • Rapid Rewards Loyalty Program: A customer loyalty program allowing members to earn and redeem points for airfare and other benefits.
  • Digital Travel Platforms: A suite of online tools, including websites, mobile apps, and SWABIZ, designed to facilitate booking and managing travel.
  • Ancillary Travel Services: Supplemental services like EarlyBird Check-In, upgraded boarding, and transportation for pets and unaccompanied minors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Southwest Airlines (LUV) sells primarily to individuals rather than other companies.

The company serves the following categories of customers:

  • Leisure Travelers: Individuals and families traveling for vacations, holidays, and personal recreation.
  • Business Travelers: Individuals flying for work, corporate meetings, conferences, or professional engagements. Southwest's SWABIZ online booking tool specifically caters to the needs of business travelers and corporate travel managers.
  • Visiting Friends and Relatives (VFR) Travelers: Individuals traveling specifically to visit family and friends, which constitutes a significant segment for domestic and near-international carriers like Southwest.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Boeing (BA)
  • General Electric (GE)
  • Safran S. A. (EPA: SAF)
  • ExxonMobil (XOM)
  • Chevron (CVX)
  • Viasat (VSAT)

AI Analysis | Feedback

Robert Jordan, President, Chief Executive Officer, & Vice Chairman of the Board

Mr. Jordan is a 38-year Southwest veteran who has held 15 different positions, including leadership roles in Finance, Planning, Procurement, Fuel, Facilities, Technology, Corporate Strategy, and People & Culture, and previously served as the airline's Chief Commercial Officer. He played a critical role in Southwest's acquisition of AirTran Airways and served as President of AirTran during the integration. Mr. Jordan was responsible for the development of Southwest's e-commerce platform, the Rapid Rewards loyalty program, leading the "Heart" brand refresh, and implementing a new reservations system. During the global pandemic, he led company efforts around voluntary retirement and leave programs to reduce costs and avoid pay cuts. He previously served as a Director and Chairman of The Container Store Group, Inc.

Tom Doxey, Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Doxey assumed the role of Executive Vice President & Chief Financial Officer effective March 10, 2025. He most recently served as president of Breeze Airways, where he led the airline's successful transition from a start-up to profitability in under two years. Under his leadership, Breeze developed a strong customer-focused brand, launched a loyalty program and co-branded credit card, and optimized its fleet and network. Prior to Breeze, Mr. Doxey held several leadership roles at United Airlines, including Senior Vice President of Technical Operations and CFO of Operations, overseeing global maintenance, supply chain, and engineering teams, and leading strategic initiatives. His aviation career began in financial planning and fleet management roles at Allegiant Air and US Airways.

Andrew Watterson, Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Watterson assumed the role of Chief Operating Officer in October 2022. He previously served as Executive Vice President & Chief Commercial Officer and Executive Vice President & Chief Revenue Officer. Before joining Southwest in 2013, he served as Vice President of Planning and Revenue Management at Hawaiian Airlines and was a partner with Oliver Wyman in the consulting firm's aviation practice for 12 years. Mr. Watterson also spent three years as an operations management consultant with Ernst & Young and served four years in the U.S. Army.

Jeff Novota, Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary

Mr. Novota serves as the Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary for Southwest Airlines.

Ryan Martinez, Senior Vice President, Finance & Controller (Principal Accounting Officer)

Mr. Martinez holds the position of Senior Vice President, Finance & Controller, and Principal Accounting Officer at Southwest Airlines.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Southwest Airlines (LUV) are primarily centered around its ongoing operational and strategic transformation, its heavy reliance on Boeing for its aircraft fleet, and the persistent cost pressures inherent in the airline industry.

  1. Operational and Strategic Execution Risks: Southwest Airlines is undergoing a significant transformation of its product and distribution model, introducing new concepts such as bag fees, a basic economy fare, and, starting in January 2026, assigned seating and extra legroom. This represents a substantial shift for a company historically built on a single-class, open-seating model. Any missteps in the rollout of these new initiatives could alienate its loyal customer base and negatively impact its brand image and profitability. Furthermore, the December 2022 operational meltdown exposed deep flaws, including outdated scheduling systems and operational vulnerabilities, which severely hampered the airline's ability to recover from disruptions. A failure to fully modernize these legacy systems and effectively integrate communication channels remains a significant risk to operational reliability and efficiency.
  2. Dependence on Boeing and Fleet Modernization Delays: Southwest Airlines operates an exclusive fleet of Boeing 737 aircraft, making it highly dependent on Boeing as its sole manufacturer. The company's ambitious fleet modernization and growth plans are currently jeopardized by significant delivery delays from Boeing, particularly concerning the 737 MAX 7 model. Southwest expects to receive "well over 100 fewer aircraft in 2026 than originally contractually agreed" due to ongoing production problems and certification delays. These delays can hinder capacity expansions, limit the ability to replace older aircraft, and negatively impact efforts to reduce operating costs, thereby affecting the company's long-term competitive position and financial performance.
  3. Cost Pressures (Fuel and Labor) and Intense Competition: The airline industry is subject to persistent cost inflation, particularly in fuel and labor, which significantly impacts Southwest's operating expenses. Jet fuel and oil represented a substantial portion of the company's operating expenses, and their costs are highly volatile and unpredictable, directly affecting profitability. Similarly, labor costs, including salaries, wages, and benefits, constitute the largest operating cost category, and increases from new labor contracts and wage inflation continue to exert upward pressure on expenses. Moreover, the airline industry is characterized by intense competition and pricing pressures, which challenge Southwest's ability to maintain its low-cost advantage and differentiate its offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The aggressive expansion and evolving business models of Ultra-Low-Cost Carriers (ULCCs) such as Spirit, Frontier, Allegiant, and Breeze Airways pose an emerging threat. These carriers are increasingly competing on routes traditionally dominated by Southwest, offering even lower base fares and expanding their networks, which could erode Southwest's market share among price-sensitive travelers. While Southwest historically offered free checked bags as a differentiator, the growing acceptance of ULCCs' unbundled pricing model threatens to shift consumer expectations regarding what's included in a low-cost fare.

The development and deployment of high-speed rail projects in key domestic corridors represent another emerging threat. For instance, the operational Brightline in Florida and planned projects like Texas Central Railway could offer a competitive alternative for short-to-medium distance travel, directly competing with Southwest's flight services on those routes by providing a faster, more convenient, and potentially more environmentally friendly option for ground transportation.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Southwest Airlines (LUV) operates in the scheduled air transportation services market primarily within the United States and several near-international markets. The addressable markets for its main product can be sized as follows:

United States Market

  • The U.S. air travel market, measured by departing seat capacity, offered approximately 104 million one-way departing seats in March 2026. This indicates an annual capacity of over 1.2 billion departing seats for the region.
  • Historically, more than 926 million passengers were transported in the United States in 2019.

Near-International Markets

Southwest Airlines serves several near-international countries. The addressable market sizes for these regions are generally measured by annual passenger volumes:

  • Mexico: The total number of passengers carried by airlines within, to, or from Mexico was 122.7 million in 2025.
  • Dominican Republic: This market moved 19.6 million passengers in 2025.
  • The Bahamas: Lynden Pindling International Airport, a major hub, welcomed a record 4.06 million passengers during fiscal year 2024. The overall Bahamian air passenger traffic is projected to reach approximately 2.14 million by 2028.
  • Costa Rica: Approximately 4 million passengers traveled by air to, from, and within Costa Rica per year in 2023.
  • Belize: The air passenger traffic in Belize is projected to reach 1.2 million by 2026, an increase from 850,000 in 2021.
  • The Cayman Islands: The national airline transported 422,189 passengers in 2023, surpassing pre-pandemic levels.
  • Cuba: The air passenger traffic in Cuba was approximately 477,000 passengers in 2023, with a slight projected decline to 471,000 by 2028.
  • Jamaica: Information on the total passenger volume or market size (revenue/passengers) is not readily available.
  • Aruba: Information on the total passenger volume or market size (revenue/passengers) is not readily available.
  • Turks and Caicos: Information on the total passenger volume or market size (revenue/passengers) is not readily available.

AI Analysis | Feedback

For Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV), the following are expected drivers of future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Introduction of New Ancillary Revenue Streams and Enhanced Product Offerings: Southwest Airlines is implementing significant changes to its product, including the transition to assigned seating and the introduction of premium seating options with extra legroom, with sales expected to begin in the second half of 2025 for flights in the first quarter of 2026. Additionally, the company started charging for checked bags in May 2025, departing from its long-standing "bags fly free" policy. The launch of basic economy fares and a new fare structure designed to encourage "buy-up" to higher fare categories, also beginning in May 2025, further contributes to this strategy.

  2. Network Expansion and International Partnerships: Southwest is actively expanding its network by adding new domestic routes and intrastate services for summer 2025, with Nashville being prioritized as a hub. The airline is also formalizing partnerships with international carriers, such as Icelandair, expected to launch in 2025, and introducing new nonstop international flights to destinations like Cabo San Lucas and Punta Cana, thereby broadening its reach and connecting customers with more global destinations.

  3. Advanced Revenue Management and Expanded Distribution: The maturation of Southwest's revenue management system and techniques is expected to drive unit revenue growth. The company is also expanding its online presence through new partnerships with major travel aggregators like Expedia and Priceline, aimed at increasing visibility and market share.

  4. Loyalty Program Optimization and New Vacation Packages: Enhancements to the Rapid Rewards loyalty program, including optimizing variable earn and burn rates and improved co-brand credit card benefits, are in progress. Furthermore, Southwest intends to launch "Getaways by Southwest™," offering customizable vacation packages in 2025 to diversify revenue streams and enhance customer value.

  5. Increased Aircraft Utilization: Initiatives such as the introduction of redeye flying in key markets, expected to begin in February 2025, are designed to maximize aircraft productivity and utilization. This strategy aims to generate more available seat miles (ASMs) and, consequently, more revenue from the existing fleet, especially given ongoing Boeing delivery constraints.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Southwest Airlines repurchased $2.6 billion in shares during 2025.
  • In September 2024, the company authorized a $2.5 billion share repurchase program and initially intended to repurchase $250 million.
  • Southwest Airlines planned to launch an additional $750 million accelerated share repurchase program in the first quarter of 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Expected net capital spending for 2026 is projected to be in the range of $3.0 billion to $3.5 billion, with a focus on operational enhancements, growth strategies, and the delivery of Boeing 737-8 aircraft.
  • Net capital expenditures for 2025 were $2.6 billion.
  • Full year 2024 net capital expenditures amounted to $1.2 billion, which included proceeds of $871 million from sale-leaseback transactions.

Better Bets vs. Southwest Airlines (LUV)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to LUV.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
EFX_2272026_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02272026EFXEquifaxMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.0%0.0%0.0%
LZ_2202026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02202026LZLegalZoom.comDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.2%7.2%-5.0%
ADP_2132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02132026ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-3.0%
TREX_2132026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02132026TREXTrexDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.2%-3.2%-5.9%
PCTY_2132026_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE02132026PCTYPaylocityDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.6%-0.6%-4.8%
LUV_9302024_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K09302024LUVSouthwest AirlinesInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
14.6%10.1%-18.0%
LUV_4302020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302020LUVSouthwest AirlinesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
26.6%100.9%-23.6%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LUVDALAALUALJBLUALKMedian
NameSouthwes.Delta Ai.American.United A.JetBlue .Alaska A. 
Mkt Price37.3664.8310.3088.444.2236.1636.76
Mkt Cap22.742.06.828.61.64.214.8
Rev LTM28,06363,36454,63359,0699,06214,23941,348
Op Inc LTM4285,8221,6264,971-3385531,090
FCF LTM-8303,843-1,7862,557-1,216-339-584
FCF 3Y Avg-9262,623542,042-1,166-200-73
CFO LTM1,8438,3421,9308,431-941,2491,886
CFO 3Y Avg1,8237,6103,0158,2621501,2542,419

Growth & Margins

LUVDALAALUALJBLUALKMedian
NameSouthwes.Delta Ai.American.United A.JetBlue .Alaska A. 
Rev Chg LTM2.1%2.8%0.8%3.5%-2.3%21.3%2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg5.7%7.9%3.8%9.7%-0.3%14.0%6.8%
Rev Chg Q7.4%2.9%2.5%4.8%-1.4%2.8%2.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%0.7%0.6%1.2%-0.4%0.7%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM1.5%9.2%3.0%8.4%-3.7%3.9%3.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.2%9.5%5.5%9.0%-1.7%6.6%6.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.5%-1.2%-0.4%-1.3%-0.4%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM6.6%13.2%3.5%14.3%-1.0%8.8%7.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.8%12.4%5.6%14.6%1.6%10.4%8.6%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.0%6.1%-3.3%4.3%-13.4%-2.4%-2.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.4%4.2%0.1%3.5%-12.6%-1.7%-0.8%

Valuation

LUVDALAALUALJBLUALKMedian
NameSouthwes.Delta Ai.American.United A.JetBlue .Alaska A. 
Mkt Cap22.742.06.828.61.64.214.8
P/S0.80.70.10.50.20.30.4
P/EBIT33.56.13.65.2-8.011.05.7
P/E51.58.461.38.5-2.641.825.2
P/CFO12.35.03.53.4-16.63.33.5
Total Yield3.7%12.2%1.6%11.7%-38.6%2.4%3.0%
Dividend Yield1.8%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-4.4%6.8%0.7%5.7%-56.2%-4.2%-1.7%
D/E0.30.55.41.16.01.71.4
Net D/E0.10.44.60.74.71.10.9

Returns

LUVDALAALUALJBLUALKMedian
NameSouthwes.Delta Ai.American.United A.JetBlue .Alaska A. 
1M Rtn-24.8%-6.6%-22.7%-21.6%-24.2%-33.4%-23.5%
3M Rtn-9.1%-8.2%-33.3%-22.4%-10.0%-29.8%-16.2%
6M Rtn15.8%14.0%-8.9%-9.7%-16.1%-28.9%-9.3%
12M Rtn12.3%42.2%-7.5%20.3%-20.8%-31.1%2.4%
3Y Rtn30.3%105.8%-26.3%108.5%-39.0%-9.2%10.6%
1M Excs Rtn-18.5%-0.2%-18.3%-16.2%-19.4%-26.8%-18.4%
3M Excs Rtn-1.0%-0.3%-26.2%-14.8%-2.8%-21.5%-8.8%
6M Excs Rtn21.6%18.5%-6.0%-7.2%-11.2%-25.9%-6.6%
12M Excs Rtn-0.7%25.0%-21.5%2.1%-33.6%-44.3%-11.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-29.1%42.1%-87.2%44.8%-99.1%-70.0%-49.5%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment26,09123,81415,7909,04822,428
Total26,09123,81415,7909,04822,428


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$37.36 
Market Cap ($ Bil)22.7 
First Trading Date01/02/1980 
Distance from 52W High-31.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$45.74$36.82
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-18.3%1.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility57.3%48.7%
Downside Capture0.970.99
Upside Capture158.35129.39
Correlation (SPY)35.1%58.3%
LUV Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.600.720.850.901.361.12
Up Beta-0.031.060.560.801.391.10
Down Beta1.790.971.041.171.721.38
Up Capture201%141%220%147%142%90%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days11223571139396
Down Capture-106%-27%-27%35%92%101%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days10192653112351

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUV
LUV10.9%48.7%0.36-
Sector ETF (XLI)20.5%19.2%0.8462.6%
Equity (SPY)14.5%18.9%0.5958.3%
Gold (GLD)50.2%27.7%1.464.0%
Commodities (DBC)17.8%17.6%0.8510.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.4%16.4%-0.1555.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-21.0%44.0%-0.4116.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUV
LUV-7.5%37.6%-0.11-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.3%17.2%0.5654.9%
Equity (SPY)11.8%17.0%0.5449.4%
Gold (GLD)20.7%17.7%0.964.4%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.9%0.508.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.0%18.8%0.0742.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.7%56.6%0.3020.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LUV
LUV-0.5%37.2%0.10-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.0%19.8%0.5860.2%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6752.1%
Gold (GLD)13.3%15.8%0.700.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%17.6%0.3916.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.1945.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.9%66.8%1.0612.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity22.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2282026-8.1%
Average Daily Volume11.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity608.0 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares3.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
1/28/202618.7%28.7%20.6%
10/22/2025-6.2%-9.2%-7.7%
7/23/2025-11.2%-18.0%-17.0%
4/23/20253.7%9.6%22.3%
1/30/2025-1.2%-2.4%-1.9%
10/24/2024-5.6%2.4%3.4%
7/25/20245.5%1.2%1.2%
4/25/2024-7.0%-12.4%-9.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive8812
# Negative161612
Median Positive3.2%5.0%11.3%
Median Negative-3.2%-4.4%-7.0%
Max Positive18.7%28.7%31.7%
Max Negative-11.2%-18.0%-17.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/05/202610-K
09/30/202510/23/202510-Q
06/30/202507/24/202510-Q
03/31/202504/25/202510-Q
12/31/202402/07/202510-K
09/30/202410/28/202410-Q
06/30/202407/29/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/06/202410-K
09/30/202310/30/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202202/07/202310-K
09/30/202210/31/202210-Q
06/30/202208/02/202210-Q
03/31/202205/02/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/28/2026 | Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/22/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Adjusted EPS 0.45    
Q1 2026 ASMs0.010.010.02   
Q1 2026 RASM 0.1    
Q1 2026 CASM-X 0.04    
2026 Adjusted EPS 4    
2026 ASMs0.020.030.03   
2026 Net Capital Spending3.00 Bil3.25 Bil3.50 Bil18.2% Higher NewActual: 2.75 Bil for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Jones, JustinEVP OperationsDirectSell1208202537.368,085302,0562,311,090Form
2Feinberg, Sarah DirectBuy807202530.011,50045,008426,943Form
3Saretsky, Gregg A DirectBuy807202530.033,345100,447710,008Form
4Saretsky, Gregg A DirectBuy501202527.293,670100,169406,162Form
5Breber, Pierre R Family TrustBuy430202526.8910,000268,8771,183,059Form