Lam Research (LRCX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $158.88 | Market Cap: $200.9 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Lam Research (LRCX)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $158.88Market Cap: $200.9 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LRCX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance
Lam Research reported impressive financial results for the quarter ended September 28, 2025, surpassing analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings per share (EPS). The company announced revenue of $5.32 billion, exceeding estimates of $5.23 billion, and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $1.26, beating the consensus estimate of $1.22. This strong performance included record gross and operating margins, signaling robust operational efficiency and profitability.
2. Surging AI-Driven Demand in the Semiconductor Industry
The stock's significant appreciation was fueled by the escalating demand for artificial intelligence (AI) and high-performance computing (HPC) chips, which heavily rely on Lam Research's advanced etch and deposition equipment. Lam's strategic leadership in critical technologies, such as Gate-All-Around (GAA) technology and advanced packaging, positions it as a key enabler for next-generation AI chip manufacturing.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LRCX Return | 64% | 54% | -41% | 89% | -7% | 121% | 480% |
| Peers Return | 22% | 45% | -19% | 35% | 3% | 27% | 152% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LRCX Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 50% | 32% | 50% | 37% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LRCX Max Drawdown | -36% | 0% | -56% | -1% | -10% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -0% | -33% | -5% | -8% | -22% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMAT, KLAC, ADI, ICHR, Q. See LRCX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LRCX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 423 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 259 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 299.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2011 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AMAT, KLAC, ADI, ICHR, Q
In The Past
Lam Research's stock fell -56.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -56.8% loss requires a 131.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Lam Research Earnings Notes | |||
| What Is Happening With Lam Research Stock? | |||
| Should You Buy Lam Research Stock? | Buy or Fear | ||
| Momentum Meets Value: Is LRCX Stock A Buy? | Actionable | ||
| Is Lam Research Stock Built to Withstand a Pullback? | Return | ||
| Ten-Year Tally: LRCX Returns $30 Bil to Shareholders | |||
| Lam Research Stock Surged 100%, Here's Why | |||
| KLAC Looks Smarter Buy Than Lam Research Stock | Actionable | ||
| Lam Research Stock Surged 100%, Here's Why | |||
| Is KLA a Better Long-Term Bet Than Lam Research? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Better Value & Growth: LRCX, AMAT Lead Teradyne Stock | November 25th, 2025 | ||
| Lam Research Stock Surged 100%, Here’s Why | November 22nd, 2025 | ||
| Lam Research vs Teradyne: Which Is the Stronger Buy Today? | November 20th, 2025 | ||
| Buy or Sell Lam Research Stock? | November 19th, 2025 | ||
| Momentum Meets Value: Lam Research Stock Stock Could Be A Good Buy | November 17th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LRCX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 6.7% | 6.7% | -5.8% |
| 02282025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 31.2% | 107.7% | -22.8% |
| 12312022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 53.9% | 88.6% | -1.4% |
| 04302022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.3% | 14.2% | -31.9% |
| 09302018 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.5% | 56.0% | -18.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | ENPH | Enphase Energy | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.9% | 0.9% | -0.9% |
| 11262025 | PD | PagerDuty | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | CRM | Salesforce | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.3% | 3.3% | -0.1% |
| 11212025 | HUBS | HubSpot | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | FIVN | Five9 | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| 11142025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 6.7% | 6.7% | -5.8% |
| 02282025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 31.2% | 107.7% | -22.8% |
| 12312022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 53.9% | 88.6% | -1.4% |
| 04302022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.3% | 14.2% | -31.9% |
| 09302018 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.5% | 56.0% | -18.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lam Research
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-K 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1312025 | 10-Q 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10282024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8292024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1292024 | 10-Q 12/24/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10232023 | 10-Q 9/24/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-K 6/25/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4242023 | 10-Q 3/26/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1302023 | 10-Q 12/25/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10242022 | 10-Q 9/25/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8242022 | 10-K 6/26/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/27/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2012022 | 10-Q 12/26/2021 |
External Quote Links
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