Lam Research (LRCX)
Market Price (11/20/2025): $151.0 | Market Cap: $190.9 BilSector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Lam Research (LRCX)
Market Price (11/20/2025): $151.0Market Cap: $190.9 BilSector: Information TechnologyIndustry: Semiconductor Materials & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 114% | |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 33% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.6 Bil | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 26% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 33% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 5.6 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Themes include AI Chips, Data Centers & Infrastructure, Show more. |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 114% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
LRCX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Lam Research (LRCX) experienced a significant stock movement of 57.2% during the approximate time period from July 31, 2025, to November 20, 2025. This notable increase can be attributed to several key factors within the semiconductor industry and the company's performance:
1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Lam Research reported robust fiscal Q3 2025 earnings on October 22, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations for both revenue and adjusted earnings per share. The company announced adjusted EPS of $1.26, surpassing estimates of $1.22, and revenue reached $5.32 billion, exceeding the $5.22 billion consensus. This represented a significant 27.7% year-over-year increase in revenue and was accompanied by a record non-GAAP gross margin of 50.6%.
2. Surging Demand for AI and High-Performance Computing: A primary driver for the semiconductor industry, including Lam Research, was the explosive demand for AI infrastructure and high-performance computing (HPC). Lam Research's specialized advanced deposition and etch tools are critical for manufacturing advanced AI-related chips, including Gate-All-Around (GAA) technology and advanced packaging. The company anticipated stronger investments in High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), which is essential for AI chips, contributing to a slightly raised outlook for the wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) market in 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LRCX Return | 64% | 54% | -41% | 89% | -7% | 108% | 445% |
| Peers Return | 35% | 56% | -27% | 52% | 2% | 39% | 229% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 13% | 106% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LRCX Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 63% | 38% | 62% | 45% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LRCX Max Drawdown | -36% | 0% | -56% | -1% | -10% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -39% | -0% | -44% | -5% | -10% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMAT, KLAC, ADI, ICHR, LRCX. See LRCX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LRCX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -56.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 423 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -45.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 116 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 259 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -75.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 299.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2011 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AMAT, KLAC, ADI, ICHR, LRCX
In The Past
Lam Research's stock fell -56.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -56.8% loss requires a 131.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LRCX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.2% | -14.2% | -14.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.6% | -3.6% | -4.0% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.5% | -6.5% | -6.5% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.7% | -2.7% | -4.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.3% | -3.3% | -6.5% |
| 02282025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 31.2% | 95.4% | -22.8% |
| 12312022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 53.9% | 88.6% | -1.4% |
| 04302022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.3% | 14.2% | -31.9% |
| 09302018 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.5% | 56.0% | -18.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | ZBRA | Zebra Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.2% | -14.2% | -14.2% |
| 10312025 | ACN | Accenture | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.6% | -3.6% | -4.0% |
| 10312025 | ADBE | Adobe | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.5% | -6.5% | -6.5% |
| 10312025 | TXN | Texas Instruments | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -2.7% | -2.7% | -4.0% |
| 10242025 | MRVL | Marvell Technology | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -3.3% | -3.3% | -6.5% |
| 02282025 | LRCX | Lam Research | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 31.2% | 95.4% | -22.8% |
| 12312022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 53.9% | 88.6% | -1.4% |
| 04302022 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -12.3% | 14.2% | -31.9% |
| 09302018 | LRCX | Lam Research | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.5% | 56.0% | -18.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lam Research
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 232.20 |
| Mkt Cap | 153.8 |
| Rev LTM | 12,524 |
| Op Inc LTM | 5,231 |
| FCF LTM | 3,873 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,439 |
| CFO LTM | 4,248 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,310 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 16.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 13.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 30.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 29.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 28.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 153.8 |
| P/S | 9.6 |
| P/EBIT | 28.1 |
| P/E | 32.4 |
| P/CFO | 28.2 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.6% |
| D/E | 0.0 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 33.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 45.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 40.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 130.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 29.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 31.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 27.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 56.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | 4.5% | 13.7% | |
| 7/30/2025 | -4.3% | -3.2% | 5.0% |
| 4/23/2025 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 23.7% |
| 1/29/2025 | 7.4% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| 10/23/2024 | 5.1% | 4.9% | 0.4% |
| 7/31/2024 | -9.9% | -18.8% | -13.5% |
| 4/24/2024 | 1.9% | -1.9% | 8.3% |
| 1/24/2024 | 2.1% | -2.7% | 9.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 14 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% |
| Median Negative | -2.9% | -2.9% | -3.9% |
| Max Positive | 9.3% | 16.8% | 39.7% |
| Max Negative | -9.9% | -18.8% | -13.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8112025 | 10-K 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1312025 | 10-Q 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10282024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8292024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4292024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 1292024 | 10-Q 12/24/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10232023 | 10-Q 9/24/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8152023 | 10-K 6/25/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4242023 | 10-Q 3/26/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1302023 | 10-Q 12/25/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10242022 | 10-Q 9/25/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8242022 | 10-K 6/26/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4262022 | 10-Q 3/27/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2012022 | 10-Q 12/26/2021 |
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