Tearsheet

Lockheed Martin (LMT)


Market Price (11/1/2025): $491.25 | Market Cap: $113.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Lockheed Martin (LMT)


Market Price (11/1/2025): $491.25
Market Cap: $113.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.6 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.6 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -63%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

LMT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LMT Return-6%3%40%-4%10%3%46%
Peers Return-13%12%11%3%2%27%47%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LMT Win Rate50%50%67%42%58%44% 
Peers Win Rate37%45%43%35%45%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LMT Max Drawdown-28%-9%-0%-17%-8%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-7%-11%-16%-12%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RTX, BA, NOC, LHX, DFSC. See LMT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/31/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLMTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-20.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven293 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven708 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-32.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven178 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-51.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven105.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1598 days1480 days

Compare to RTX, BA, NOC, LHX, DFSC


In The Past

Lockheed Martin's stock fell -20.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2023. A -20.8% loss requires a 26.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lockheed Martin (LMT)

Better Bets than Lockheed Martin (LMT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LMT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.8%-5.8%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.0%0.0%0.0%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
0.0%0.0%0.0%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-5.8%-5.8%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lockheed Martin

Financials

LMTRTXBANOCLHXDFSCMedian
NameLockheed.RTX Boeing Northrop.L3Harris.DEFSEC T. 
Mkt Price491.88178.50201.02583.45289.105.25245.06
Mkt Cap114.1239.7152.883.554.1-114.1
Rev LTM73,34985,98880,75740,92821,373457,138
Op Inc LTM5,9978,815-8,4244,0982,366-93,232
FCF LTM4,5934,726-6,3501,8342,164-91,999
FCF 3Y Avg5,6345,547-3,0292,1371,828-111,983
CFO LTM6,3617,963-3,7163,4382,507-92,972
CFO 3Y Avg7,3868,691-9763,7912,208-103,000

Growth & Margins

LMTRTXBANOCLHXDFSCMedian
NameLockheed.RTX Boeing Northrop.L3Harris.DEFSEC T. 
Rev Chg LTM2.9%8.8%10.2%-0.1%2.9%166.4%5.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.3%9.4%10.1%5.2%8.4%94.3%8.9%
Rev Chg Q8.8%11.9%30.4%4.3%2.4%330.2%10.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%2.9%7.2%1.1%0.6%35.8%2.5%
Op Mgn LTM8.2%10.3%-10.4%10.0%11.1%-209.1%9.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.0%7.7%-7.2%9.0%10.4%-699.5%8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.3%2.0%0.2%0.2%86.7%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM8.7%9.3%-4.6%8.4%11.7%-212.3%8.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.5%11.3%-1.3%9.4%11.0%-716.7%9.9%
FCF/Rev LTM6.3%5.5%-7.9%4.5%10.1%-216.3%5.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%7.2%-3.9%5.3%9.2%-777.8%6.3%

Valuation

LMTRTXBANOCLHXDFSCMedian
NameLockheed.RTX Boeing Northrop.L3Harris.DEFSEC T. 
Mkt Cap114.1239.7152.883.554.1-114.1
P/S1.62.81.92.02.5-2.0
P/EBIT19.023.0-22.115.121.4-19.0
P/E27.236.4-15.520.831.9-27.2
P/CFO17.930.1-41.124.321.6-21.6
Total Yield5.7%4.2%-6.4%5.6%4.8%-4.8%
Dividend Yield2.0%1.4%0.0%0.8%1.7%-1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.8%3.7%-2.6%2.8%4.2%-3.7%
D/E0.20.20.30.20.2-0.2
Net D/E0.20.10.20.20.2-0.2

Returns

LMTRTXBANOCLHXDFSCMedian
NameLockheed.RTX Boeing Northrop.L3Harris.DEFSEC T. 
1M Rtn-1.4%6.8%-6.6%-3.6%-3.8%38.5%-2.5%
3M Rtn17.7%14.3%-9.4%-0.1%4.4%28.4%9.3%
6M Rtn5.5%38.4%8.4%19.8%32.8%-19.8%
12M Rtn-7.4%50.5%34.6%16.6%19.1%-19.1%
3Y Rtn9.8%100.3%40.2%14.4%27.9%-27.9%
1M Excs Rtn-3.4%5.3%-9.4%-5.4%-4.2%32.1%-3.8%
3M Excs Rtn8.9%5.9%-17.6%-8.7%-3.6%27.9%1.1%
6M Excs Rtn-14.8%18.1%-11.9%-0.5%12.5%--0.5%
12M Excs Rtn-24.8%31.0%14.1%0.5%3.0%-3.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-63.3%32.8%-28.3%-63.1%-55.2%--55.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Rotary and Mission Systems17,52117,98817,66418,03518,751
Aeronautics13,16712,05510,7569,9039,109
Corporate assets9,50510,69811,01111,3558,794
Space6,5606,3516,1996,4515,844
Missiles and Fire Control5,7035,7885,2434,9665,030
Total52,45652,88050,87350,71047,528


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,456,124
Short Interest: % Change Since 930202515.9%
Average Daily Volume1,127,598
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.18
Basic Shares Quantity231,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/2025-3.2%-3.8% 
7/22/2025-10.8%-8.5%-4.2%
4/22/20250.8%3.9%3.8%
1/28/2025-9.2%-9.6%-12.3%
10/22/2024-6.1%-9.7%-13.2%
7/23/20245.6%11.2%17.4%
4/23/2024-0.3%1.3%1.5%
1/23/2024-4.2%-6.7%-6.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10910
# Negative141514
Median Positive2.1%4.2%5.5%
Median Negative-3.3%-5.0%-6.2%
Max Positive8.7%15.1%17.6%
Max Negative-11.8%-12.1%-13.2%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251021202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025722202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025422202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024128202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241022202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023123202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231017202310-Q 9/24/2023
6302023719202310-Q 6/25/2023
3312023418202310-Q 3/26/2023
12312022126202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221018202210-Q 9/25/2022
6302022719202210-Q 6/26/2022
3312022420202210-Q 3/27/2022
12312021125202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0St John Frank AChief Operating Officer10272025Sell492.426933,9773,803,217Form