Tearsheet

Lockheed Martin (LMT)


Market Price (12/2/2025): $439.89 | Market Cap: $102.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Lockheed Martin (LMT)


Market Price (12/2/2025): $439.89
Market Cap: $102.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%
 
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.6 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 6.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 4.6 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 26%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -46%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -70%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LMT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the -2.2% stock movement for Lockheed Martin (LMT) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 2, 2025:

1. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Reception: Despite reporting better-than-expected earnings per share (EPS) of $6.95, exceeding analyst forecasts, Lockheed Martin's stock declined by 2.67% in pre-market trading on October 21, 2025. This negative reaction was attributed to a slight revenue miss compared to analyst projections and potentially higher investor expectations or concerns about future growth. While sales increased by 9% year-over-year to $18.6 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $2.46 billion missed estimates.

2. Concerns over Program Setbacks and Operational Challenges: Investor confidence was impacted by recurring program setbacks and missed expectations, particularly delays in the F-35 fighter jet program upgrades. This created uncertainty regarding future contracts and cash flow. The company also reported significant losses on several classified aeronautics and helicopter projects, leading to concerns about its ability to manage costs and execute complex fixed-price contracts reliably.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LMT Return-6%3%40%-4%10%-7%33%
Peers Return-15%12%11%3%2%21%35%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LMT Win Rate50%50%67%42%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate45%45%43%35%45%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LMT Max Drawdown-28%-9%-0%-17%-8%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-7%-11%-16%-12%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RTX, BA, NOC, LHX, APEX. See LMT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/1/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLMTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-20.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven26.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven293 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven58.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven708 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-32.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven178 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-51.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven105.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1598 days1480 days

Compare to RTX, BA, NOC, LHX, APEX


In The Past

Lockheed Martin's stock fell -20.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2023. A -20.8% loss requires a 26.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lockheed Martin (LMT)

Better Bets than Lockheed Martin (LMT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LMT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.1%6.1%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.0%5.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.1%6.1%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
5.0%5.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lockheed Martin

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LMTRTXBANOCLHXAPEXMedian
NameLockheed.RTX Boeing Northrop.L3Harris.APEX Glo. 
Mkt Price439.19168.02186.46545.51272.32-272.32
Mkt Cap101.8225.7141.778.150.9-101.8
Rev LTM73,34985,98880,75740,92821,373-73,349
Op Inc LTM5,9978,815-8,4244,0982,366-4,098
FCF LTM4,5934,726-6,3501,8342,164-2,164
FCF 3Y Avg5,6345,547-3,0292,1371,828-2,137
CFO LTM6,3617,963-3,7163,4382,507-3,438
CFO 3Y Avg7,3868,691-9763,7912,208-3,791

Growth & Margins

LMTRTXBANOCLHXAPEXMedian
NameLockheed.RTX Boeing Northrop.L3Harris.APEX Glo. 
Rev Chg LTM2.9%8.8%10.2%-0.1%2.9%-2.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.3%9.4%10.1%5.2%8.4%-8.4%
Rev Chg Q8.8%11.9%30.4%4.3%2.4%-8.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%2.9%7.2%1.1%0.6%-2.1%
Op Mgn LTM8.2%10.3%-10.4%10.0%11.1%-10.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.0%7.7%-7.2%9.0%10.4%-9.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.3%2.0%0.2%0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM8.7%9.3%-4.6%8.4%11.7%-8.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.5%11.3%-1.3%9.4%11.0%-10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM6.3%5.5%-7.9%4.5%10.1%-5.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%7.2%-3.9%5.3%9.2%-7.2%

Valuation

LMTRTXBANOCLHXAPEXMedian
NameLockheed.RTX Boeing Northrop.L3Harris.APEX Glo. 
Mkt Cap101.8225.7141.778.150.9-101.8
P/S1.62.62.02.12.7-2.1
P/EBIT19.321.6-23.715.822.6-19.3
P/E27.634.1-16.721.733.7-27.6
P/CFO18.228.2-44.125.422.8-22.8
Total Yield5.6%4.5%-6.0%5.3%4.5%-4.5%
Dividend Yield2.0%1.5%0.0%0.7%1.6%-1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.8%3.7%-2.6%2.8%4.2%-3.7%
D/E0.20.20.30.20.2-0.2
Net D/E0.20.20.20.20.2-0.2

Returns

LMTRTXBANOCLHXAPEXMedian
NameLockheed.RTX Boeing Northrop.L3Harris.APEX Glo. 
1M Rtn-10.0%-5.5%-7.2%-6.1%-5.4%--6.1%
3M Rtn-2.2%6.4%-20.5%-6.8%-1.1%--2.2%
6M Rtn-6.9%23.3%-11.8%13.8%13.5%-13.5%
12M Rtn-14.1%40.5%20.0%13.8%12.7%-13.8%
3Y Rtn-4.0%78.0%2.0%5.1%26.2%-5.1%
1M Excs Rtn-7.7%-3.2%-11.6%-5.2%-3.5%--5.2%
3M Excs Rtn-7.6%0.9%-26.0%-12.3%-6.5%--7.6%
6M Excs Rtn-22.2%8.9%-25.3%-1.3%-2.3%--2.3%
12M Excs Rtn-26.6%30.5%8.0%1.1%1.6%-1.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-70.2%15.5%-62.1%-60.5%-41.4%--60.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Rotary and Mission Systems17,52117,98817,66418,03518,751
Aeronautics13,16712,05510,7569,9039,109
Corporate assets9,50510,69811,01111,3558,794
Space6,5606,3516,1996,4515,844
Missiles and Fire Control5,7035,7885,2434,9665,030
Total52,45652,88050,87350,71047,528


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,947,911
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202512.7%
Average Daily Volume1,321,804
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.23
Basic Shares Quantity231,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/21/2025-3.2%-3.8%-6.2%
7/22/2025-10.8%-8.5%-4.2%
4/22/20250.8%3.9%3.8%
1/28/2025-9.2%-9.6%-12.3%
10/22/2024-6.1%-9.7%-13.2%
7/23/20245.6%11.2%17.4%
4/23/2024-0.3%1.3%1.5%
1/23/2024-4.2%-6.7%-6.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10910
# Negative141514
Median Positive2.1%4.2%5.5%
Median Negative-3.3%-5.0%-6.2%
Max Positive8.7%15.1%17.6%
Max Negative-11.8%-12.1%-13.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251021202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025722202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025422202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024128202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241022202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023123202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231017202310-Q 9/24/2023
6302023719202310-Q 6/25/2023
3312023418202310-Q 3/26/2023
12312022126202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221018202210-Q 9/25/2022
6302022719202210-Q 6/26/2022
3312022420202210-Q 3/27/2022
12312021125202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0St John Frank AChief Operating Officer10272025Sell492.426933,9773,803,217Form