Lockheed Martin (LMT)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $646.5 | Market Cap: $149.3 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
Lockheed Martin (LMT)
Market Price (3/15/2026): $646.5Market Cap: $149.3 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.9 Bil | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.5%, Dist 3Y High is -4.5% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -24% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil, FCF LTM is 6.9 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, Autonomous Technologies, and Cybersecurity. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.5%, Dist 3Y High is -4.5% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -24% |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Escalating global geopolitical tensions significantly fueled demand for defense technologies and increased defense spending. This macroeconomic trend was a primary driver, with ongoing conflicts such as the Russia-Ukraine war and instability in the Middle East compelling governments to enhance their military capabilities. The proposed U.S. fiscal year 2026 defense budget indicated a 13.4% increase to $1.01 trillion, and defense stocks generally surged in 2025, with a proxy ETF for global defense stocks rising by 68.81%. Lockheed Martin notably reached a new 52-week high amid escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran in early March 2026, and reports of F-35 deployments underscored the company's operational relevance.
2. Lockheed Martin secured a record-high backlog and numerous substantial contract wins. The company finished 2025 with an unprecedented backlog of $194 billion, equivalent to about 2.5 times its annual sales, marking its fourth consecutive year of backlog growth. Significant contract awards during this period included over $1 billion for 18 Tranche 3 Tracking Layer satellites in Q4 2025 and a framework agreement with the U.S. Department of War in January 2026 to quadruple THAAD interceptor production capacity. Additionally, Lockheed Martin delivered a record 191 F-35 fighter jets and 620 PAC-3 MSE interceptors in 2025.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 42.9% change in LMT stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 452.03 | 646.00 | 42.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 73,349 | 75,048 | 2.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.7% | 6.7% | 16.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.0 | 29.7 | 19.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 232 | 231 | 0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 42.9% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LMT | 42.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.1% | 14.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | 7.1% | 44.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 44.7% change in LMT stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 19.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 446.57 | 646.00 | 44.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 71,844 | 75,048 | 4.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.9% | 6.7% | 14.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.8 | 29.7 | 19.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 234 | 231 | 1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 44.7% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LMT | 44.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.0% | 8.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 8.8% | 38.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 48.4% change in LMT stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 54.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 435.18 | 646.00 | 48.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 71,043 | 75,048 | 5.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.5% | 6.7% | -11.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.3 | 29.7 | 54.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 236 | 231 | 2.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 48.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LMT | 48.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.4% | 16.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 22.0% | 31.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 47.6% change in LMT stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 51.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 437.52 | 646.00 | 47.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 65,984 | 75,048 | 13.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.7% | 6.7% | -23.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.6 | 29.7 | 51.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 257 | 231 | 11.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 47.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LMT | 47.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 73.4% | 12.9% |
| Sector (XLI) | 70.2% | 30.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LMT Return | 3% | 40% | -4% | 10% | 2% | 35% | 111% |
| Peers Return | 21% | 16% | 4% | 3% | 36% | 14% | 134% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -1% | 80% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LMT Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 55% | 47% | 58% | 65% | 73% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LMT Max Drawdown | -9% | -0% | -17% | -8% | -14% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -11% | -19% | -13% | -9% | -0% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -2% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: NOC, RTX, BA, GD, LHX. See LMT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/13/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LMT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -20.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 293 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 708 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -32.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 178 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -51.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 105.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,598 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to NOC, RTX, BA, GD, LHX
In The Past
Lockheed Martin's stock fell -20.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2023. A -20.8% loss requires a 26.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Lockheed Martin (LMT)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Lockheed Martin (LMT):
- The Boeing of advanced military aircraft, missiles, and space systems.
- The Apple of high-tech defense and national security solutions.
- The General Motors for national defense systems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Aircraft: Designs and manufactures combat, air mobility, and other specialized aircraft.
- Unmanned Systems: Develops unmanned air vehicles (UAVs) and unmanned ground vehicles for various missions.
- Missile Systems: Provides a range of air and missile defense systems, tactical missiles, precision strike weapons, and strategic missile systems.
- Fire Control & Radar Systems: Develops advanced systems for target detection, tracking, engagement, and various radar capabilities.
- Naval Systems: Constructs surface ships and integrates sea-based missile defense systems.
- Rotary Wing Aircraft: Manufactures military and commercial helicopters.
- Space Systems: Offers satellites, space transportation systems, and classified national security space systems.
- Command, Control & Cyber Solutions: Delivers integrated command and control systems, mission solutions, and cybersecurity services.
- Simulation & Training Solutions: Provides advanced simulation and training systems for defense and commercial applications.
- Logistics & Engineering Support: Offers comprehensive logistics, readiness, mission operations, and engineering support services for complex systems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Lockheed Martin (LMT) primarily serves the U.S. government. It also engages in foreign military sales, which are contracted through the U.S. government, indicating that foreign governments are also significant customers, indirectly.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Raytheon Technologies (RTX)
- Northrop Grumman (NOC)
- BAE Systems (BAESY)
- General Electric (GE)
- Honeywell (HON)
- Rolls-Royce (RYCEY)
- L3Harris Technologies (LHX)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
The rise of commercial space companies, particularly SpaceX, presents a clear emerging threat to Lockheed Martin. SpaceX's advancements in reusable rocket technology and significantly lower launch costs have disrupted the traditional space launch market, directly impacting United Launch Alliance (ULA), a joint venture co-owned by Lockheed Martin and Boeing, which has historically been a key provider of launch services for the U.S. government. This shift challenges ULA's dominance and, by extension, Lockheed Martin's revenue streams and market position in the launch services sector. Additionally, the broader trend of commercial players developing more agile, cost-effective satellite technologies and space services could challenge Lockheed Martin's traditional role in satellite manufacturing and integration for certain applications within its Space segment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to LMT.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | EFX | Equifax | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02202026 | LZ | LegalZoom.com | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -5.0% |
| 02132026 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.1% | 1.1% | -3.0% |
| 02132026 | TREX | Trex | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.2% | -3.2% | -5.9% |
| 02132026 | PCTY | Paylocity | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.6% | -0.6% | -4.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 355.24 |
| Mkt Cap | 126.9 |
| Rev LTM | 63,799 |
| Op Inc LTM | 4,818 |
| FCF LTM | 3,633 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 3,165 |
| CFO LTM | 4,938 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4,494 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 126.9 |
| P/S | 2.2 |
| P/EBIT | 23.6 |
| P/E | 35.3 |
| P/CFO | 21.8 |
| Total Yield | 4.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 20.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 28.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 48.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 72.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 23.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 25.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 29.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rotary and Mission Systems | 17,025 | 17,521 | 17,988 | 17,664 | 18,035 |
| Aeronautics | 13,223 | 13,167 | 12,055 | 10,756 | 9,903 |
| Corporate assets | 12,029 | 9,505 | 10,698 | 11,011 | 11,355 |
| Space | 7,388 | 6,560 | 6,351 | 6,199 | 6,451 |
| Missiles and Fire Control | 5,952 | 5,703 | 5,788 | 5,243 | 4,966 |
| Total | 55,617 | 52,456 | 52,880 | 50,873 | 50,710 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $646.00 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 149.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 01/03/1977 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -4.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $608.99 | $497.21 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 6.1% | 29.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 30.6% | 27.1% |
| Downside Capture | -25.71 | -2.01 |
| Upside Capture | 165.14 | 35.16 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 13.6% | 17.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.05 | 0.61 | 0.55 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| Up Beta | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.30 | -0.09 | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| Down Beta | 0.23 | 0.73 | 0.56 | 0.36 | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| Up Capture | 61% | 206% | 196% | 79% | 25% | 5% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 27 | 41 | 73 | 147 | 398 |
| Down Capture | -89% | -80% | -64% | -31% | -10% | 16% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 14 | 20 | 51 | 104 | 354 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LMT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMT | 44.0% | 27.0% | 1.33 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 28.0% | 19.2% | 1.16 | 30.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.6% | 18.9% | 0.81 | 16.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 71.9% | 26.3% | 2.05 | 14.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.3% | 17.3% | 0.89 | 14.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 6.2% | 16.3% | 0.19 | 18.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -15.3% | 44.2% | -0.25 | 8.1% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LMT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMT | 16.7% | 22.5% | 0.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.4% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 34.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.1% | 17.0% | 0.61 | 18.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.1% | 17.3% | 1.14 | 12.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.2% | 19.0% | 0.47 | 14.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 18.8% | 0.16 | 22.2% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.3% | 56.7% | 0.33 | 5.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LMT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LMT | 14.4% | 23.5% | 0.58 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.8% | 19.8% | 0.61 | 54.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.5% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 42.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.4% | 15.6% | 0.77 | 7.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.6% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 18.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 39.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.4% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 8.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 1/29/2026 | 4.2% | 0.9% | 10.2% |
| 10/21/2025 | -3.2% | -3.8% | -6.2% |
| 7/22/2025 | -10.8% | -8.5% | -4.2% |
| 4/22/2025 | 0.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| 1/28/2025 | -9.2% | -9.6% | -12.3% |
| 10/22/2024 | -6.1% | -9.7% | -13.2% |
| 7/23/2024 | 5.6% | 11.2% | 17.4% |
| 4/23/2024 | -0.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| # Negative | 14 | 14 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% |
| Median Negative | -3.3% | -5.1% | -6.2% |
| Max Positive | 8.7% | 15.1% | 17.6% |
| Max Negative | -11.8% | -12.1% | -13.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 01/29/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/21/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/22/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/22/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 01/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/22/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/23/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 01/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/17/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/19/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/18/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 01/26/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/18/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/19/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/20/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | St, John Frank A | Chief Operating Officer | Direct | Sell | 10272025 | 491.04 | 7,792 | 3,826,166 | 256 | Form |
| 2 | Paul, Harry Edward Iii | Vice President & Controller | Direct | Sell | 2282025 | 442.61 | 707 | 312,923 | 1,008,380 | Form |
| 3 | Lightfoot, Robert M Jr | President Space | Direct | Sell | 2282025 | 442.42 | 3,213 | 1,421,506 | 884,847 | Form |
| 4 | Hill, Stephanie C | Pres. Rotary & Mission Systems | Direct | Sell | 2282025 | 442.51 | 4,791 | 2,120,042 | 4,129,571 | Form |
| 5 | Cahill, Timothy S | Pres. Missiles & Fire Control | Direct | Sell | 3132026 | 0.00 | 4,620 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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