Lennar (LEN)
Market Price (11/4/2025): $120.15 | Market Cap: $30.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding
Lennar (LEN)
Market Price (11/4/2025): $120.15Market Cap: $30.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homebuilding
          Investment Highlights
          
            Why It Matters
            
              Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
              1. Generates cash flow
              The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
              2. Riding a trend
              Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
            
          
        
        
        | Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.0% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.4% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1% | 
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.0% | 
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.4% | 
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.1% | 
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
LEN Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points highlighting why Lennar's (LEN) stock moved by 8% between July 31, 2025, and November 4, 2025:
1. Lennar reported lower-than-expected results for its third quarter ended August 31, 2025. Net earnings attributable to Lennar were $591 million, or $2.29 per diluted share, a significant decrease from $1.2 billion, or $4.26 per diluted share, in the prior year's third quarter. Excluding mark-to-market gains, diluted earnings per share of $2.00 missed analyst forecasts of $2.10. Total revenues of $8.8 billion also fell short of the anticipated $8.97 billion. Following these results, Lennar's stock declined by 4.18% in aftermarket trading.
2. Gross margins on home sales experienced a notable decline. In the third quarter of 2025, gross margins on home sales were 17.5%, down from 22.5% in the third quarter of 2024. This reduction was primarily attributed to lower revenue per square foot and higher land costs, despite some offset from decreased construction costs.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LEN Return | 38% | 54% | -21% | 67% | -7% | -8% | 141% | 
| Peers Return | 17% | 47% | -20% | 74% | 13% | 6% | 186% | 
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% | 
Monthly Win Rates [3]  | |||||||
| LEN Win Rate | 75% | 75% | 42% | 58% | 67% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 70% | 72% | 42% | 62% | 63% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4]  | |||||||
| LEN Max Drawdown | -47% | -4% | -44% | 0% | -7% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -47% | -5% | -37% | -2% | -5% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DHI, PHM, NVR, J, TOL. See LEN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LEN | S&P 500 | 
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -44.8% | -25.4% | 
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.3% | 34.1% | 
| Time to Breakeven | 364 days | 464 days | 
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -58.8% | -33.9% | 
| % Gain to Breakeven | 142.7% | 51.3% | 
| Time to Breakeven | 126 days | 148 days | 
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -47.0% | -19.8% | 
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.7% | 24.7% | 
| Time to Breakeven | 581 days | 120 days | 
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -93.5% | -56.8% | 
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1441.5% | 131.3% | 
| Time to Breakeven | 3239 days | 1480 days | 
Compare to DHI, PHM, NVR, J, TOL
In The Past
Lennar's stock fell -44.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -44.8% loss requires a 81.3% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LEN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% | 
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -6.2% | 
| 10102025 | LEN | Lennar | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.2% | 4.2% | -0.6% | 
| 03312022 | LEN | Lennar | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.7% | 31.9% | -20.2% | 
| 09302018 | LEN | Lennar | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.3% | 20.0% | -18.4% | 
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD | 
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -0.8% | 
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -6.2% | 
| 10102025 | LEN | Lennar | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.2% | 4.2% | -0.6% | 
| 03312022 | LEN | Lennar | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -6.7% | 31.9% | -20.2% | 
| 09302018 | LEN | Lennar | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.3% | 20.0% | -18.4% | 
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lennar
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | - | 
| Mkt Cap | 22.3 | 
| Rev LTM | 14,729 | 
| Op Inc LTM | 2,630 | 
| FCF LTM | 1,064 | 
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,680 | 
| CFO LTM | 1,117 | 
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,748 | 
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.5% | 
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.1% | 
| Rev Chg Q | -1.1% | 
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.3% | 
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.2% | 
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.9% | 
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% | 
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.8% | 
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.5% | 
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.2% | 
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.6% | 
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 22.3 | 
| P/S | 1.3 | 
| P/EBIT | 9.2 | 
| P/E | 11.6 | 
| P/CFO | 14.9 | 
| Total Yield | 10.0% | 
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% | 
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.0% | 
| D/E | 0.2 | 
| Net D/E | 0.1 | 
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | - | 
| 3M Rtn | - | 
| 6M Rtn | - | 
| 12M Rtn | - | 
| 3Y Rtn | - | 
| 1M Excs Rtn | - | 
| 3M Excs Rtn | - | 
| 6M Excs Rtn | - | 
| 12M Excs Rtn | - | 
| 3Y Excs Rtn | - | 
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing | 
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 10032025 | 10-Q 8/31/2025 | 
| 5312025 | 7012025 | 10-Q 5/31/2025 | 
| 2282025 | 4042025 | 10-Q 2/28/2025 | 
| 11302024 | 1232025 | 10-K 11/30/2024 | 
| 8312024 | 10022024 | 10-Q 8/31/2024 | 
| 5312024 | 6282024 | 10-Q 5/31/2024 | 
| 2292024 | 3292024 | 10-Q 2/29/2024 | 
| 11302023 | 1262024 | 10-K 11/30/2023 | 
| 8312023 | 9292023 | 10-Q 8/31/2023 | 
| 5312023 | 6302023 | 10-Q 5/31/2023 | 
| 2282023 | 4042023 | 10-Q 2/28/2023 | 
| 11302022 | 1262023 | 10-K 11/30/2022 | 
| 8312022 | 10042022 | 10-Q 8/31/2022 | 
| 5312022 | 7012022 | 10-Q 5/31/2022 | 
| 2282022 | 4012022 | 10-Q 2/28/2022 | 
| 11302021 | 1282022 | 10-K 11/30/2021 | 
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