Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP)
Market Price (3/20/2026): $27.3 | Market Cap: $37.1 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP)
Market Price (3/20/2026): $27.3Market Cap: $37.1 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83% | Key risksKDP key risks include [1] significant financial leverage and potential distress following its JDE Peet's acquisition and planned business split, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22% | ||
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.3% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 22% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -29%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -83% |
| Key risksKDP key risks include [1] significant financial leverage and potential distress following its JDE Peet's acquisition and planned business split, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strategic Initiatives and Increased Leverage from JDE Peet's Acquisition and Planned Separation.
Keurig Dr Pepper announced an offer for JDE Peet's shares on January 15, 2026, and updated its financing plans on February 23, 2026, for this acquisition and subsequent split into two independent companies ("Beverage Co." and "Global Coffee Co."). The acquisition, targeted to close in early April 2026, is expected to result in a combined net leverage of approximately 4.5x, which may have introduced investor uncertainty despite expectations for the transaction to be about 10% EPS accretive in its first full year.
2. Persistent High Coffee Commodity Prices Impacting Coffee Segment Growth.
The company's coffee division experienced limited growth, with sales only edging up 0.6% in fiscal year 2025, primarily due to elevated coffee prices and tariff impacts. This macroeconomic factor directly affects a significant portion of Keurig Dr Pepper's business, including its new acquisition, leading to potential margin pressures.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -1.9% change in KDP stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -25.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 27.67 | 27.15 | -1.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16,174 | 16,603 | 2.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.8% | 12.5% | 28.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.8 | 17.7 | -25.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,358 | 1,358 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -1.9% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KDP | -1.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | -3.5% | 7.0% |
| Sector (XLP) | 3.3% | 60.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.0% change in KDP stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 3192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 28.59 | 27.15 | -5.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15,759 | 16,603 | 5.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.7% | 12.5% | 28.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.3 | 17.7 | -29.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,358 | 1,358 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.0% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KDP | -5.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.6% | 5.7% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.2% | 52.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.5% change in KDP stock from 2/28/2025 to 3/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -42.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282025 | 3192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 32.50 | 27.15 | -16.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 15,351 | 16,603 | 8.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.4% | 12.5% | 33.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.6 | 17.7 | -42.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,356 | 1,358 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.5% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KDP | -16.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.0% | 15.9% |
| Sector (XLP) | 0.6% | 55.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -14.6% change in KDP stock from 2/28/2023 to 3/19/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282023 | 3192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 31.79 | 27.15 | -14.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 14,057 | 16,603 | 18.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.2% | 12.5% | 22.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 31.3 | 17.7 | -43.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 1,415 | 1,358 | 4.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -14.6% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| KDP | -14.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 72.7% | 12.6% |
| Sector (XLP) | 22.4% | 53.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KDP Return | 17% | -1% | -4% | -1% | -10% | -3% | -4% |
| Peers Return | 14% | 6% | -3% | -4% | 9% | 6% | 31% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -3% | 76% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KDP Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 58% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 55% | 53% | 48% | 52% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KDP Max Drawdown | -4% | -6% | -20% | -13% | -19% | -4% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -18% | -14% | -14% | -11% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -3% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: KO, PEP, SBUX, MNST, SJM. See KDP Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/19/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KDP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -33.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 122 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -13.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 129 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -55.1% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 164 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to KO, PEP, SBUX, MNST, SJM
In The Past
Keurig Dr Pepper's stock fell -30.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/16/2022. A -30.4% loss requires a 43.7% gain to breakeven.
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About Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies for Keurig Dr Pepper:
- It's like a PepsiCo that also owns the Keurig at-home coffee system.
- A major non-alcoholic beverage company akin to Coca-Cola, but with a dominant coffee pod and brewer business via Keurig.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Coffee Systems & Products: Manufactures and distributes K-Cup pods, coffee brewers, and specialty coffee.
- Packaged Beverages: Produces and distributes its own branded packaged beverages, performs contract manufacturing for private labels, and distributes for partner brands.
- Beverage Concentrates: Manufactures and sells concentrates for a wide range of popular beverage brands and also produces syrups.
- Latin American Beverages: Produces and distributes various beverages in Latin America, including carbonated mineral water, soft drinks, bottled water, and vegetable juices.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) primarily sells its products to other businesses, which then distribute or sell them to end-use consumers. While the provided background describes the types of customers served, it does not list specific customer company names. Based on the description, KDP's major categories of business customers include:
- Retailers: This broad category includes a variety of retail partners such as supermarkets, hypermarkets, convenience stores, mass merchandisers, and drugstores. These retailers sell KDP's packaged beverages and K-Cup pods directly to consumers.
- Bottlers and Distributors: KDP manufactures and sells beverage concentrates to various independent and company-owned bottlers and distributors. These entities then produce and distribute the finished beverages under KDP's numerous brands. They also play a crucial role in distributing KDP's packaged beverages to various sales channels.
- Foodservice and Hospitality Establishments: This category encompasses customers such as restaurants, hotel chains, and office coffee distributors. These businesses purchase KDP products to serve to their patrons, guests, and employees, particularly through the Coffee Systems segment and for other beverage offerings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Tim Cofer, Chief Executive Officer
Tim Cofer assumed the role of Chief Executive Officer at Keurig Dr Pepper in April 2024. He leads the $15 billion revenue beverage company, overseeing a portfolio of over 125 brands and 28,000 employees. Cofer is recognized for driving sustainable, profitable growth. With over 30 years of experience in the Consumer-Packaged Goods industry, his prior leadership roles include serving as CEO of Central Garden & Pet, where he achieved double-digit growth through strategic acquisitions. He also held top positions at Mondelēz International, including Chief Growth Officer, and was President of Asia Pacific, Middle East & Africa, and President of Kraft Foods Europe. He led the global integration of Kraft and Cadbury. Cofer holds an MBA from UMN Carlson School of Management and a BA in Economics & Political Science from St. Olaf College.
Sudhanshu Priyadarshi, CFO & President, International
Sudhanshu Priyadarshi has served as CFO & President, International at Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. since November 2023. In this role, he guides company-wide finance, strategy, and operations. Priyadarshi is known for his track record of strong P&L performance, efficiency improvements, and transformative finance leadership. His career includes CFO roles at Vista Outdoor, Flexport, and PepsiCo, providing him with deep experience in technology, retail, logistics, consumer goods, and pharmaceuticals. He holds an MBA in Finance from the University of Technology Sydney.
Bob Gamgort, Chairman of the Board
Robert "Bob" Gamgort is the Chairman of the Board of Directors for Keurig Dr Pepper. He previously served as the company's Executive Chairman from April 2024 to April 2025 and as its Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board from the company's formation in 2018 until April 2024. Gamgort was the principal architect behind the successful transformation of Keurig Green Mountain and its subsequent merger with Dr Pepper Snapple Group, which created Keurig Dr Pepper. Under his leadership as CEO, KDP grew to become the third-largest beverage company in North America, with annual sales exceeding $15 billion as of 2024, and was included in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. With over 35 years of experience in the consumer products industry, his career includes positions as CEO of Pinnacle Foods (2009-2016), North American President of Mars Inc., and President of Major League Baseball Properties. He began his career at Kraft Foods in 1986. Gamgort currently serves on the board of The Sherwin-Williams Company and is a director of National Veterinary Associates (NVA), which was acquired by JAB Holding Company in 2020. He previously served as an independent Director for Wayfair, Inc. He holds an MBA from Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management, a BA in Economics from Bucknell University, and studied at the London School of Economics.
Mary Beth DeNooyer, Chief HR Officer
Mary Beth DeNooyer has been the Chief HR Officer at Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. since July 2019. She is responsible for managing global HR operations, talent management, acquisition, rewards, and fostering a culture of diversity and inclusion. With over two decades of leadership experience in consumer goods HR, she previously held executive HR roles at Pinnacle Foods and Sara Lee. DeNooyer holds a Masters in Industrial and Labor Relations from Cornell University.
Drew Panayiotou, Chief Marketing Officer
Drew Panayiotou drives innovation as Chief Marketing Officer at Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. since November 2024. In this role, he leads high-impact marketing programs and campaigns. Panayiotou is recognized among Forbes Most Influential CMOs for 2024. His extensive portfolio spans marketing leadership for top brands such as Pfizer, Google Life Sciences, Swire Coca-Cola, Disney, The Coca-Cola Company, and Hershey. With nearly three decades of sales, marketing, and general management experience, he is accelerating a digital-first marketing approach at KDP. Panayiotou serves as a board member for The Ad Council and ANA.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) include:
- Shifting Consumer Preferences and Health Trends: A significant portion of Keurig Dr Pepper's portfolio includes sugary beverages (e.g., Dr Pepper, 7UP, Sunkist) which face ongoing headwinds due to increasing consumer focus on health and wellness and a potential shift towards lower-sugar or healthier beverage alternatives. The company also operates in the coffee market, where consumer preferences regarding brewing methods, sustainable sourcing, and ready-to-drink options are constantly evolving.
- Intense Competition: Keurig Dr Pepper operates in a highly competitive global beverage market, competing with major players like Coca-Cola, PepsiCo, Nestlé, and numerous other national and regional brands across its various segments (coffee systems, packaged beverages, and beverage concentrates). This intense competition can impact pricing, market share, and the ability to introduce new products successfully.
- Commodity Price Volatility and Supply Chain Disruptions: As a large-scale producer, Keurig Dr Pepper is exposed to fluctuations in the cost of key raw materials, including coffee beans, sugar, aluminum for cans, and plastics for bottles and K-Cup pods. Global events, weather patterns, and economic conditions can lead to significant volatility in these commodity prices, impacting the company's cost of goods sold and profitability. Additionally, any disruptions to its complex supply chain could hinder production and distribution.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The primary emerging threat for Keurig Dr Pepper is the increasing environmental and sustainability backlash against single-use K-Cup pods. Growing consumer awareness, regulatory pressures, and the development of more sustainable (e.g., compostable, truly reusable, or system-agnostic refillable) coffee brewing alternatives pose a significant risk to KDP's core Coffee Systems segment, which relies heavily on the sale of K-Cup pods.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Keurig Dr Pepper operates within several addressable markets for its main products and services, spanning both the U.S. and international regions. The market sizes for these key product categories are as follows:
-
Coffee Systems (K-Cup pods, brewers, specialty coffee):
- The global coffee pods and capsules market size reached USD 31.5 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 54.8 billion by 2034.
- In the U.S., the coffee pods and capsules market was valued at USD 9.58 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 13.55 billion by 2031.
- The global single-serve coffee maker market is projected to reach an estimated market size of USD 12.50 billion by 2025. Another estimate indicates the global single-serve coffee maker market size is likely to be valued at US$ 867.5 million in 2026 and projected to reach US$ 1,477.1 million by 2033.
- The broader global coffee makers market was valued at USD 28.23 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 42.11 billion by 2033.
-
Packaged Beverages and Beverage Concentrates:
- The global non-alcoholic beverages market size was estimated at USD 1.41 trillion in 2025 and is predicted to increase to approximately USD 2.85 trillion by 2035.
- The U.S. non-alcoholic beverages market size was valued at USD 169.55 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 246.90 billion by 2032. Another source estimates the U.S. non-alcoholic beverages market size at USD 280.2 billion in 2023, expected to grow to USD 457.0 billion by 2030.
- The global soft drinks concentrates market is valued at USD 40.04 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach USD 69.91 billion by 2036.
- The global beverage concentrates market size reached USD 42.30 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 65.06 billion by 2035.
- The global juice concentrate market size is projected to rise from US$ 15.2 billion in 2025 to US$ 25.2 billion by 2032, with North America expected to lead with a 29% market share in 2025.
-
Latin America Beverages:
- Sales of soft drinks in Latin America totaled 115 billion liters in 2024 and are expected to increase to 128 billion liters by 2028. The revenue of the soft drink market in Latin America and the Caribbean expanded to $63.9 billion in 2024, and is forecast to grow to $71.7 billion in value by 2035.
- The South & Central America carbonated soft drinks market was valued at US$ 27,759.33 million in 2023 and is projected to reach US$ 33,977.13 million by 2031.
- The Latin America sports drink market is estimated to register USD 2.6 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 4.9 billion in 2035.
-
Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Tea:
- The global ready-to-drink (RTD) tea market size is likely to be valued at US$ 42.4 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach US$ 62.6 billion by 2033.
- The U.S. ready-to-drink tea market size is projected to be USD 13.05 billion in 2025, reaching USD 17.61 billion by 2031.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) anticipates several key drivers for its future revenue growth over the next two to three years:
- Strategic Acquisitions and Partnerships: A significant driver of future revenue growth is KDP's strategy of acquiring and partnering with companies in high-growth beverage categories. The acquisition of a 60% stake in GHOST, a manufacturer of energy and hydration beverages, in October 2024 for $990 million, is a key move to expand its presence in the rapidly growing energy drinks sector. This acquisition is expected to increase KDP's share in the U.S. energy drink market from 7% to over 10%. Additionally, the anticipated acquisition of JDE Peet's in 2026 is a transformational transaction projected to drive double-digit earnings per share growth and facilitate the separation into two independent businesses, further enhancing competitive positioning. The company's partnership with Nutrabolt for C4 Energy has also contributed to growth.
- Continued Pricing Power and Favorable Net Price Realization: KDP has consistently demonstrated its ability to implement price increases, with net price realization being a significant contributor to its net sales growth. The company expects to continue leveraging this strategy to drive revenue and operating income.
- Volume/Mix Growth, especially in U.S. Refreshment Beverages: KDP is focused on driving volume and mix improvement across its portfolio. The U.S. Refreshment Beverages segment has been a strong performer, consistently delivering healthy revenue momentum and market share gains in carbonated soft drinks (CSDs), energy, and sports hydration categories. The company also expects to see a gradual recovery in coffee pod volumes and consumption, underpinned by strategic initiatives and market share momentum across its owned and licensed portfolios.
- Product Innovation and Portfolio Expansion: Consumer-led innovation is a crucial element for KDP, contributing to improved volume/mix. The company is committed to introducing new products and flavors, such as Dr Pepper Blackberry, to keep its portfolio fresh and relevant to evolving consumer preferences. KDP emphasizes "winning innovation and robust commercial activation of our brands" as a consistent strategy for growth.
- International Segment Expansion: The International segment has shown strong net sales growth and solid volume/mix growth. KDP expects to continue this momentum, with healthy trends across regions and categories contributing to overall company revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Keurig Dr Pepper authorized a share repurchase program of up to $4 billion, effective from January 1, 2022, to December 31, 2025.
- The company executed annual share buybacks of $1.11 billion in 2024.
- Share buybacks totaled $706 million in 2023.
Share Issuance
- Keurig Dr Pepper secured a $3 billion convertible preferred stock investment from KKR and Apollo in October 2025.
- An additional $1.5 billion in preferred equity was secured in Q4 2025, increasing total preferred equity to $4.5 billion.
Inbound Investments
- In October 2025, Keurig Dr Pepper announced $7 billion in strategic investments co-led by Apollo Global Management and KKR.
- Of this amount, $4 billion is an investment in a new K-Cup pod and single-serve manufacturing joint venture, with KDP retaining controlling interest.
- The remaining $3 billion constitutes a convertible preferred stock investment in KDP and the eventual Beverage Co.
Outbound Investments
- KDP reported net acquisitions of approximately $1.0 billion in 2024.
- The company announced plans to acquire JDE Peet's in August 2025.
- KDP strategically invested in the acquisition of GHOST Energy, which significantly contributed to volume/mix growth in Q3 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $563 million in 2024.
- Capital expenditures were $425 million in 2023.
- The company targets capital expenditures to be 3-4% of net sales.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | BRBR | BellRing Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | STZ | Constellation Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -1.7% |
| 02062026 | AVO | Mission Produce | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.1% | 1.1% | -2.7% |
| 01022026 | CALM | Cal-Maine Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 12.0% | -7.7% |
| 02282025 | KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -12.0% | -6.8% | -22.8% |
| 11302023 | KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 8.9% | 6.2% | -7.9% |
| 05312022 | KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.9% | -8.4% | -8.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 85.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 90.6 |
| Rev LTM | 27,152 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,538 |
| FCF LTM | 2,139 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 2,446 |
| CFO LTM | 3,186 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 3,767 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 13.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 90.6 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 18.4 |
| P/E | 25.1 |
| P/CFO | 22.0 |
| Total Yield | 5.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -0.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -14.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -68.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liquid refreshment beverages (LRB) | 10,566 | ||||
| K-Cup pods | 3,614 | ||||
| Appliances | 772 | ||||
| Other | 399 | ||||
| International | 1,922 | ||||
| U.S. Coffee | 4,071 | ||||
| U.S. Refreshment Beverages | 8,821 | ||||
| Beverage Concentrates | 1,486 | 1,325 | |||
| Coffee Systems | 4,716 | 4,433 | |||
| Latin America Beverages | 599 | 497 | |||
| Packaged Beverages | 5,882 | 5,363 | |||
| Total | 15,351 | 14,814 | 12,683 | 11,618 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $27.15 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 36.9 | |
| First Trading Date | 05/07/2008 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -22.1% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $28.33 | $29.14 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | -4.2% | -6.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 23.6% | 26.8% |
| Downside Capture | -11.46 | 19.84 |
| Upside Capture | -29.47 | -2.27 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 2.3% | 16.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.20 | -0.21 | -0.05 | 0.05 | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| Up Beta | 1.28 | 0.77 | 0.60 | 1.47 | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| Down Beta | 1.60 | -0.32 | -0.14 | -0.11 | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| Up Capture | 34% | -11% | 10% | -12% | -0% | 1% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 9 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 142 | 431 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 128 | 381 |
| Down Capture | -158% | -84% | -54% | -46% | 12% | 17% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 30 | 54 | 109 | 320 |
| Stock -ve Days | 6 | 19 | 26 | 57 | 121 | 361 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | -16.7% | 26.7% | -0.70 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 4.8% | 14.1% | 0.10 | 57.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 18.7% | 18.8% | 0.78 | 16.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.5% | 26.8% | 1.59 | 3.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 18.5% | 17.4% | 0.86 | 2.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.4% | 16.1% | 0.08 | 32.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -14.3% | 44.4% | -0.22 | 7.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | -1.6% | 20.6% | -0.14 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.0% | 13.2% | 0.32 | 59.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.3% | 17.0% | 0.57 | 28.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.6% | 17.4% | 1.01 | 3.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.8% | 19.0% | 0.46 | 2.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.8% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 35.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 4.4% | 56.7% | 0.30 | 9.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with KDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KDP | 8.7% | 23.7% | 0.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.3% | 14.7% | 0.37 | 46.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.6% | 17.9% | 0.70 | 33.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.5% | 15.7% | 0.71 | 1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 9.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 36.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.2% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 10.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/24/2026 | 4.2% | 0.7% | |
| 10/27/2025 | 7.6% | 0.0% | 0.7% |
| 7/24/2025 | 0.2% | 1.0% | 5.1% |
| 2/25/2025 | 2.4% | 0.0% | -0.8% |
| 10/24/2024 | -4.8% | -10.1% | -12.2% |
| 7/25/2024 | 1.3% | 4.6% | 8.8% |
| 2/22/2024 | -3.9% | -5.0% | -6.4% |
| 10/26/2023 | 1.4% | 4.7% | 12.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 11 | 9 |
| # Negative | 8 | 7 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 3.1% | 1.8% | 7.0% |
| Median Negative | -1.9% | -4.4% | -3.2% |
| Max Positive | 7.6% | 5.9% | 12.1% |
| Max Negative | -4.8% | -10.1% | -12.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/24/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/24/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/24/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/28/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stephens, Angela A | Senior VP & Controller | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 29.52 | 10,000 | 295,200 | 1,599,984 | Form |
| 2 | Gorli, Eric | President, US Refreshment Bev. | Direct | Buy | 9122025 | 27.69 | 9,175 | 254,056 | 2,227,162 | Form |
| 3 | Gamgort, Robert James | Direct | Sell | 8222025 | 35.91 | 7,601 | 272,952 | 82,038,837 | Form | |
| 4 | Gamgort, Robert James | Direct | Sell | 8052025 | 32.90 | 208,000 | 6,843,200 | 75,412,360 | Form | |
| 5 | Gamgort, Robert James | Direct | Sell | 7312025 | 33.18 | 208,000 | 6,901,856 | 82,960,608 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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