KB Home (KBH)
Market Price (11/5/2025): $61.03 | Market Cap: $4.1 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding
KB Home (KBH)
Market Price (11/5/2025): $61.03Market Cap: $4.1 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homebuilding
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.1%, FCF Yield is 8.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -19% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.5% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.1%, FCF Yield is 8.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -19% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.5% |
Market Valuation & Key Metrics
KBH Stock
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KBH Return | -1% | 35% | -27% | 99% | 7% | -6% | 99% |
| Peers Return | 30% | 34% | -23% | 66% | -6% | -24% | 57% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 15% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KBH Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 58% | 32% | 48% | 48% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KBH Max Drawdown | -68% | -3% | -42% | 0% | -7% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -4% | -38% | -2% | -12% | -38% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IBP, TMHC, MTH, LGIH, SPHL. See KBH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/4/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KBH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 99.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 368 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -72.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 262.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 188 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -54.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 119.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 434 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -85.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 593.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5494 days | 1480 days |
Compare to IBP, TMHC, MTH, LGIH, SPHL
In The Past
KB Home's stock fell -49.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/10/2021. A -49.9% loss requires a 99.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KBH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -2.5% | -2.5% | -2.5% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.3% | -3.3% | -6.2% |
| 03312020 | KBH | KB Home | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 109.5% | 160.9% | -10.9% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.3% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| 10312025 | DECK | Deckers Outdoor | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.5% | -0.5% | -0.5% |
| 10312025 | ATGE | Adtalem Global Education | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -2.5% | -2.5% | -2.5% |
| 10242025 | GNTX | Gentex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| 10172025 | LNW | Light & Wonder | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -3.3% | -3.3% | -6.2% |
| 03312020 | KBH | KB Home | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 109.5% | 160.9% | -10.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for KB Home
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 60.02 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| Rev LTM | 6,048 |
| Op Inc LTM | 635 |
| FCF LTM | 277 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 278 |
| CFO LTM | 359 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 347 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -7.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 12.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.6 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 6.4 |
| P/E | 7.8 |
| P/CFO | 9.6 |
| Total Yield | 14.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -25.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 126.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -10.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -15.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -19.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -42.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 43.3% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 10092025 | 10-Q 8/31/2025 |
| 5312025 | 7102025 | 10-Q 5/31/2025 |
| 2282025 | 4092025 | 10-Q 2/28/2025 |
| 11302024 | 1242025 | 10-K 11/30/2024 |
| 8312024 | 10102024 | 10-Q 8/31/2024 |
| 5312024 | 7052024 | 10-Q 5/31/2024 |
| 2292024 | 4052024 | 10-Q 2/29/2024 |
| 11302023 | 1192024 | 10-K 11/30/2023 |
| 8312023 | 10062023 | 10-Q 8/31/2023 |
| 5312023 | 7072023 | 10-Q 5/31/2023 |
| 2282023 | 4072023 | 10-Q 2/28/2023 |
| 11302022 | 1202023 | 10-K 11/30/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10072022 | 10-Q 8/31/2022 |
| 5312022 | 7082022 | 10-Q 5/31/2022 |
| 2282022 | 4082022 | 10-Q 2/28/2022 |
| 11302021 | 1212022 | 10-K 11/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |