Tearsheet

Johnson Controls International (JCI)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $120.2 | Market Cap: $78.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Building Products

Johnson Controls International (JCI)


Market Price (11/14/2025): $120.2
Market Cap: $78.8 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Building Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.0%, Dist 3Y High is -2.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.9 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Electrification of Everything, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 3.4 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.9 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, Electrification of Everything, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.0%, Dist 3Y High is -2.0%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.9%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

JCI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the 14.9% stock movement for Johnson Controls International (JCI) between July 31, 2025, and November 14, 2025:

1. Strong Q4 FY25 Earnings Beat and Optimistic FY26 Guidance. Johnson Controls reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.26 for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2025, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $1.20. Revenue for the quarter also exceeded expectations, reaching $6.44 billion against an anticipated $6.31 billion. The company further bolstered investor confidence by initiating robust fiscal year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of approximately $4.55, which was higher than the consensus estimate of $4.43, implying over 20% year-over-year growth. The Q4 results also highlighted a 4% organic sales increase and a record $14.9 billion backlog, up 13% organically, indicating strong future revenue visibility.

2. Strategic Divestiture and Share Repurchase Program. On August 1, 2025, Johnson Controls completed the sale of its Residential and Light Commercial HVAC business to the Bosch Group. This transaction was valued at an enterprise value of $8.1 billion, yielding approximately $5.0 billion in net cash proceeds for JCI after tax and transaction-related expenses. The company stated that this move positions it as a "pure-play provider of innovative building solutions" aiming for faster growth and increased profitability. Consistent with its capital allocation strategy, Johnson Controls announced a $5.0 billion accelerated share repurchase program, with an initial delivery of 43.1 million shares in August, signaling a commitment to returning value to shareholders.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JCI Return18%77%-19%-8%40%54%235%
Peers Return24%15%-3%28%36%4%153%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%15%109%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JCI Win Rate75%92%42%42%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate58%68%42%50%62%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JCI Max Drawdown-42%-1%-42%-23%-9%-9% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-5%-27%-11%-6%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HON, TT, EMR, CMI, LII. See JCI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/13/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJCIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven846 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-44.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven80.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven175 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven55.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven262 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-70.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven241.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1212 days1480 days

Compare to HON, TT, EMR, CMI, LII


In The Past

Johnson Controls International's stock fell -43.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -43.1% loss requires a 75.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Johnson Controls International (JCI)

Better Bets than Johnson Controls International (JCI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JCI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.1%-14.1%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-9.1%-9.1%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-4.8%-4.8%-4.8%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.3%-6.3%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.3%-2.3%-2.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
GEO_10312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312025GEOGEODip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-14.1%-14.1%-14.1%
RUN_10312025_Short_Squeeze10312025RUNSunrunSpecialShort Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze Potential
Has potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt.
-9.1%-9.1%-17.5%
PLPC_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025PLPCPreformed Line ProductsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-4.8%-4.8%-4.8%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-6.3%-6.3%-10.5%
CARR_10102025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10102025CARRCarrier GlobalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.3%-2.3%-2.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Johnson Controls International

Financials

JCIHONTTEMRCMILIIMedian
NameJohnson .Honeywel.Trane Te.Emerson .Cummins Lennox I. 
Mkt Price120.20198.68414.85127.91467.49476.66306.76
Mkt Cap78.8126.292.371.964.516.775.3
Rev LTM23,40240,67021,05117,77933,5815,34522,227
Op Inc LTM2,8987,6923,9563,3393,7541,0623,546
FCF LTM2,8686,1642,5332,7412,2785342,637
FCF 3Y Avg2,0145,2122,4312,0431,5945432,028
CFO LTM3,3677,4852,9363,1723,5096843,270
CFO 3Y Avg2,4486,3362,7772,4252,7867222,612

Growth & Margins

JCIHONTTEMRCMILIIMedian
NameJohnson .Honeywel.Trane Te.Emerson .Cummins Lennox I. 
Rev Chg LTM22.2%7.5%8.6%4.8%-1.8%3.8%6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.9%5.2%10.8%24.9%9.4%5.2%7.3%
Rev Chg Q2.6%7.0%5.5%3.9%-1.6%-4.8%3.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%1.7%1.5%1.0%-0.4%-1.3%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM12.4%18.9%18.8%18.8%11.2%19.9%18.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.1%19.5%17.4%17.5%10.4%18.3%17.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.7%-0.9%0.4%0.5%0.0%0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM14.4%18.4%13.9%17.8%10.4%12.8%14.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.3%16.4%14.4%14.7%8.3%14.0%14.2%
FCF/Rev LTM12.3%15.2%12.0%15.4%6.8%10.0%12.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.3%13.5%12.6%12.4%4.8%10.5%11.5%

Valuation

JCIHONTTEMRCMILIIMedian
NameJohnson .Honeywel.Trane Te.Emerson .Cummins Lennox I. 
Mkt Cap78.8126.292.371.964.516.775.3
P/S3.43.14.44.01.93.13.2
P/EBIT30.814.423.622.415.515.719.0
P/E35.320.631.527.124.219.925.6
P/CFO23.416.931.522.718.424.523.0
Total Yield4.1%7.2%4.1%4.1%5.7%5.5%4.8%
Dividend Yield1.2%2.3%0.9%0.4%1.6%0.5%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.7%4.0%3.4%3.3%3.8%3.0%3.5%
D/E0.10.30.00.20.10.10.1
Net D/E0.10.20.00.20.10.10.1

Returns

JCIHONTTEMRCMILIIMedian
NameJohnson .Honeywel.Trane Te.Emerson .Cummins Lennox I. 
1M Rtn11.5%-4.8%-2.2%-1.4%12.2%-10.2%-1.8%
3M Rtn14.9%-8.9%-3.0%-4.4%16.1%-20.2%-3.7%
6M Rtn25.1%-9.7%-1.3%7.3%42.3%-19.4%3.0%
12M Rtn42.6%-13.0%0.9%-0.1%30.2%-22.4%0.4%
3Y Rtn95.2%-1.1%147.4%42.6%102.0%86.0%90.6%
1M Excs Rtn7.5%-2.9%-2.8%-2.8%9.4%-10.5%-2.8%
3M Excs Rtn12.1%-12.8%-6.3%-7.4%13.2%-23.7%-6.8%
6M Excs Rtn11.2%-23.6%-15.2%-6.6%28.4%-33.3%-10.9%
12M Excs Rtn28.8%-22.2%-11.4%-11.6%20.9%-36.0%-11.5%
3Y Excs Rtn21.4%-75.3%77.3%-26.2%34.3%24.6%23.0%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity20,230,789
Short Interest: % Change Since 10152025-3.7%
Average Daily Volume3,651,118
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.54
Basic Shares Quantity655,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20258.8%9.8% 
7/29/2025-7.4%-4.5%-2.7%
5/7/20251.1%8.2%15.2%
2/5/202511.3%15.4%4.9%
11/6/20248.8%13.8%11.0%
7/23/2024-1.5%-1.3%0.1%
5/1/2024-7.1%-0.9%10.0%
12/12/2023-6.0%-4.7%2.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121316
# Negative11107
Median Positive2.2%3.8%5.8%
Median Negative-4.6%-4.6%-9.3%
Max Positive11.3%15.4%19.3%
Max Negative-9.3%-17.3%-15.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024205202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241119202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023130202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231214202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022201202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221115202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211115202110-K 9/30/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0MANNING NATHAN DVP and President, Americas9042025Sell105.061,422149,39514,651,552Form
1MANNING NATHAN DVP and President, Americas8042025Sell103.691,422147,44714,607,941Form
2MANNING NATHAN DVP and President, Americas7022025Sell104.561,022106,86014,874,754Form
3RATHNINDE ANURUDDHAVP and President, APAC6062025Sell103.1315,0001,546,9504,390,687Form
4MANNING NATHAN DVP and President, Americas6022025Sell100.901,422143,48014,457,200Form