Tearsheet

Intel (INTC)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $36.45 | Market Cap: $164.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology | Industry: Semiconductors

Intel (INTC)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $36.45
Market Cap: $164.5 Bil
Sector: Information Technology
Industry: Semiconductors

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -104 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
  Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 829x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.6%
3   Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
4   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 67%
5   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%
6   Key risks
INTC key risks include [1] significant manufacturing execution challenges, Show more.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 8.6 Bil
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Cloud Computing, Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and 5G & Advanced Connectivity. Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -64%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -38%
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -104 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -0.2%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 829x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.5%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -7.6%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 67%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.1%
9 Key risks
INTC key risks include [1] significant manufacturing execution challenges, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

INTC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

The search results provide information about Intel's stock performance and news in late 2025, specifically around December 2025. Several sources mention Intel's stock performance *in 2025*, including an "82% year-to-date gain" or "almost 90% over the past year". However, none of the results indicate a 49.4% specific movement for the period between August 31, 2025, and December 23, 2025. Some sources even provide current prices for December 2025, which would allow for calculating a movement within the period, but the requested 49.4% movement is not explicitly confirmed or explained for that specific, precise timeframe. Given the information, I can infer general reasons for Intel's positive stock performance in 2025 as mentioned in the search results, even if the exact 49.4% increase for the specified future period isn't directly observed. I will focus on the reasons for the general positive trend in 2025, as suggested by the search results. Here are the key points for Intel's stock movement in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to today, reflecting the general positive sentiment and performance observed in late 2025: 1. Continued Policy and Financial Support from the U.S. Government. The U.S. government finalized an $8.9 billion investment in Intel in August 2025, taking an approximate 10% equity stake. This demonstrates Washington's long-term commitment to Intel, driven by a focus on reshoring advanced manufacturing and reducing reliance on foreign foundries, suggesting ongoing policy and financial backing for Intel to regain competitiveness.

2. Strengthening Rumors of a Major Customer Win with Apple. Intel is rumored to be nearing a deal with Apple to produce chips for MacBooks and potentially certain iPhone models starting in 2028. This potential multi-billion-dollar revenue opportunity is seen as a de facto seal of approval from Apple and, coupled with technological progress, strengthens the case for a valuation re-rating of Intel's stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.5% change in INTC stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 29.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
922202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)28.7636.3726.46%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)53070.0053439.000.70%
P/S Multiple2.373.0729.76%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4369.004514.00-3.32%
Cumulative Contribution26.32%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
INTC26.5% 
Market (SPY)2.7%48.6%
Sector (XLK)2.7%54.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 71.6% change in INTC stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 77.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
623202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)21.1936.3771.64%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)53044.0053439.000.74%
P/S Multiple1.733.0777.08%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4343.004514.00-3.94%
Cumulative Contribution71.37%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
INTC71.6% 
Market (SPY)14.4%35.2%
Sector (XLK)19.7%38.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 86.3% change in INTC stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 98.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1222202412222025Change
Stock Price ($)19.5236.3786.32%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)54247.0053439.00-1.49%
P/S Multiple1.543.0798.92%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4292.004514.00-5.17%
Cumulative Contribution85.82%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
INTC86.3% 
Market (SPY)16.9%46.7%
Sector (XLK)23.8%46.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 44.6% change in INTC stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 10545.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1223202212222025Change
Stock Price ($)25.1636.3744.57%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)69540.0053439.00-23.15%
Net Income Margin (%)19.13%0.37%-98.06%
P/E Multiple7.79829.1610545.39%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4118.004514.00-9.62%
Cumulative Contribution43.23%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
INTC-23.2% 
Market (SPY)47.7%48.4%
Sector (XLK)52.9%49.6%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
INTC Return-15%6%-47%95%-60%84%-30%
Peers Return77%57%-41%116%54%79%879%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%113%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
INTC Win Rate58%50%33%75%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%57%42%65%55%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
INTC Max Drawdown-25%-2%-50%-5%-62%-10% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-13%-49%-3%-8%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMD, NVDA, QCOM, AVGO, MU.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventINTCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-63.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven176 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,127 days1,480 days

Compare to NVDA, AMD, MU, AMAT, GLSA

In The Past

Intel's stock fell -63.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/9/2021. A -63.3% loss requires a 172.6% gain to breakeven.

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About Intel (INTC)

Intel Corporation engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of computer products and technologies worldwide. The company operates through CCG, DCG, IOTG, Mobileye, NSG, PSG, and All Other segments. It offers platform products, such as central processing units and chipsets, and system-on-chip and multichip packages; and non-platform or adjacent products, including accelerators, boards and systems, connectivity products, graphics, and memory and storage products. The company also provides high-performance compute solutions for targeted verticals and embedded applications for retail, industrial, and healthcare markets; and solutions for assisted and autonomous driving comprising compute platforms, computer vision and machine learning-based sensing, mapping and localization, driving policy, and active sensors. In addition, it offers workload-optimized platforms and related products for cloud service providers, enterprise and government, and communications service providers. The company serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, and cloud service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic partnership with MILA to develop and apply advances in artificial intelligence methods for enhancing the search in the space of drugs. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. Intel is like the Ford Motor Company for computers; they make the 'engines' (CPUs) that power PCs and servers.

2. Intel is like Microsoft for computer hardware; they've long been the primary maker of the 'brains' (CPUs) for PCs and data centers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Processors (CPUs): Intel designs and manufactures a wide range of central processing units for personal computers, servers, and embedded devices.
  • Graphics Processing Units (GPUs): Intel offers integrated graphics within its CPUs and a growing line of discrete GPUs (Intel Arc) for gaming, content creation, and professional applications.
  • Chipsets: These silicon components complement Intel's CPUs by providing essential connectivity, I/O, and platform control functions for various computing platforms.
  • Field-Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs): Through its Altera acquisition, Intel provides customizable integrated circuits used in data centers, networking, and industrial applications.
  • AI Accelerators: Intel's Habana Labs division develops specialized AI processors (e.g., Gaudi) designed for deep learning training and inference workloads in data centers.
  • Networking & Connectivity Solutions: Intel produces Ethernet controllers, Wi-Fi modules, and other components for a broad range of computing and communication platforms.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Intel (symbol: INTC) primarily sells its products and technologies to other companies rather than directly to individual consumers. Its major customers are Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs), Original Design Manufacturers (ODMs), and Cloud Service Providers (CSPs) who integrate Intel's components into their own products or services.

Here are some of Intel's major customer companies:

  • Dell Technologies (DELL)
  • HP Inc. (HPQ)
  • Lenovo Group Limited (HKG: 0992)
  • Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) - primarily for its Amazon Web Services (AWS) cloud computing platform.
  • Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) - primarily for its Azure cloud computing platform and Surface devices.
  • Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) - primarily for its Google Cloud Platform.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • ASML Holding N.V. (ASML)
  • Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT)
  • Lam Research Corporation (LRCX)
  • KLA Corporation (KLAC)
  • Teradyne, Inc. (TER)
  • Tokyo Electron Limited

AI Analysis | Feedback

Intel Management Team

Lip-Bu Tan, Chief Executive Officer

Lip-Bu Tan was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Intel Corporation in March 2025. He previously served as CEO of Cadence Design Systems from 2009 to 2021, where the company's stock price increased 44-fold under his leadership. Mr. Tan is also the Chairman of Walden International, a venture capital firm, and a Founding Managing Partner of Walden Catalyst Ventures and Celesta Capital, known for investing early in semiconductor startups. He received the 2022 Robert N. Noyce Award and was named one of Forbes' Top 50 Venture Capitalists.

David Zinsner, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

David Zinsner has served as Intel's Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since January 2022. Prior to Intel, he was the Executive Vice President and CFO at Micron Technology Inc. His experience also includes serving as President and Chief Operating Officer at Affirmed Networks, and as Senior Vice President of Finance and CFO at Analog Devices and Intersil Corp. At Intersil, he was part of a management team that, in partnership with a private equity firm, acquired assets from Harris Corporation and subsequently took the company public in 2000. During his tenure at Analog Devices, Mr. Zinsner managed the company's financial operations, including its acquisition strategy, notably overseeing the $15 billion purchase of Linear Technology.

Michelle Johnston Holthaus, Chief Executive Officer, Intel Products

Michelle Johnston Holthaus is the CEO of Intel Products. She also served as an interim co-CEO with David Zinsner after Pat Gelsinger's retirement in December 2024. Ms. Holthaus has over 30 years of experience at Intel, with previous roles including Chief Revenue Officer, General Manager of the Sales and Marketing Group, and lead of global Client Computing Group sales.

Naga Chandrasekaran, Executive Vice President, Chief Technology and Operations Officer, and GM of Intel Foundry

Dr. Naga Chandrasekaran was appointed Chief Global Operations Officer, Executive Vice President, and General Manager of the Intel Foundry Manufacturing and Supply Chain organization in August 2024. He joined Intel from Micron Technology, where he spent over 20 years in various senior leadership roles, including overseeing global technology development and engineering efforts. At Intel, he is responsible for worldwide manufacturing operations, strategic planning for Intel Foundry, corporate quality assurance, and supply chain.

April Miller Boise, Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary

April Miller Boise was recruited as Intel's Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer in July 2022, overseeing the company's global legal, trade, and government affairs team. Before joining Intel, she served as Executive Vice President and CLO at power company Eaton since 2020, and prior to that, she was Senior Vice President, CLO, and Corporate Secretary for Meritor. Ms. Miller Boise has over 25 years of experience across global markets and various industries and is a board member of Trane Technologies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Intel's business:
  1. Manufacturing and Technological Challenges, including Competition in Advanced Process Nodes and AI Accelerators: Intel faces significant hurdles in its manufacturing capabilities, including delays in its process technology roadmap (e.g., 18A node) and lower-than-anticipated manufacturing yields. The company is struggling to compete with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) in advanced manufacturing, which is considered a generation or two ahead. Intel's Foundry Services business has incurred substantial operating losses, raising concerns about its viability and ability to compete with established foundries. Furthermore, Intel has fallen behind in the rapidly growing artificial intelligence (AI) accelerator market, with rivals like Nvidia and AMD holding a significant lead and Intel's own Gaudi line facing challenges with immature software and missed sales targets.
  2. Intense Competition and Market Share Erosion: Intel has experienced a decline in market share in its core CPU market, notably losing ground to AMD. The company has also struggled to capitalize on new technologies and platform shifts, having missed opportunities in the mobile market and losing Apple's Macs as a key customer. The competitive landscape in the semiconductor industry remains fierce across various segments, impacting Intel's product mix and margins.
  3. Macroeconomic Headwinds and Geopolitical Risks: Intel is exposed to ongoing macroeconomic uncertainty, including persistent inflation and potential economic slowdowns, which could negatively impact demand for its products. Geopolitical tensions, particularly concerning US-China trade relations and supply chain dependencies, present additional risks to Intel's revenue streams and strategic operations, despite the company's efforts to diversify its supply chain and invest in domestic and regional manufacturing.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • The increasing adoption and performance of ARM-based CPUs in the personal computing market. Apple's successful transition to its M-series ARM chips for Macs has demonstrated competitive performance and power efficiency against Intel's x86 processors. This has led to Microsoft's significant investment and promotion of Windows on ARM, with new Snapdragon X Elite-powered Copilot+ PCs from major vendors now entering the market, directly threatening Intel's historical dominance in the PC CPU segment.

  • The growing development and deployment of ARM-based CPUs and custom silicon by large cloud providers and enterprises in the data center market. Hyperscalers such as Amazon Web Services (Graviton processors), Google Cloud (Tensor Processing Units - TPUs), and Microsoft Azure (Maia AI accelerators) are increasingly designing and deploying their own specialized silicon or utilizing ARM-based alternatives for specific workloads. This challenges Intel's long-standing market leadership in the lucrative data center CPU segment by offering alternative, often more power-efficient or workload-optimized, solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Intel (symbol: INTC) operates in several significant addressable markets for its main products and services. The market sizes for these key areas are outlined below:

  • Overall Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM): Intel's total serviceable addressable market (SAM) is predicted by IDC to grow at a 7.2% compound annual rate, reaching an estimated $500 billion globally by 2027.
  • Central Processing Units (CPUs): The global PC processor market was valued at approximately $120.17 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to nearly $170.90 billion by 2032. Another estimate indicates the global computer CPU market size was approximately $70 billion in 2023 and is forecasted to reach around $120 billion by 2032.
  • Data Center Products: The global data center market was valued at $242.72 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $584.86 billion by 2032. Separately, data center semiconductor revenue totaled $112 billion globally in 2024, up from $64.8 billion in 2023.
  • AI Accelerators: The global AI accelerator market size was estimated at $25.56 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $256.84 billion by 2033. Another report valued the global AI accelerator market at $26.03 billion in 2024, with projections to grow to $219.63 billion by 2032.
  • Automotive Semiconductors: The global automotive semiconductor market is expected to reach $78 billion in 2025. Other estimates state the market was valued at $71.97 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $123.04 billion by 2032.
  • Foundry Services: The global semiconductor foundry market was valued at $148.49 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $259.72 billion by 2034. Another source reported the global foundry services market revenues totaled $116.9 billion in 2024 and are expected to expand to $181.8 billion by 2032.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Intel (INTC) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives, primarily centered on artificial intelligence (AI), its foundry business, and a robust product roadmap across its core computing segments.

  1. Growth in AI-Driven Demand Across Client Computing and Data Center Segments: Intel is heavily investing in and seeing significant traction from AI integration across its product lines. The company anticipates shipping approximately 40 million AI PCs in 2024 alone, with over 230 designs featuring its Core Ultra processors and upcoming Lunar Lake and Panther Lake processors. In the data center, new products like Xeon 6 (Granite Rapids) and Xeon 6+ (Clearwater Forest) are positioned as the CPU choice for AI head nodes, boosting momentum in enterprises upgrading infrastructure for AI workloads. Intel's broader AI strategy involves adapting its product portfolio for new and emerging AI workloads, including its Gaudi 3 AI accelerator chips, which are expected to enhance its competitive position.

  2. Expansion and Success of Intel Foundry Services (IFS): Intel Foundry Services is a critical long-term growth driver, with analysts projecting its revenue to reach $25-30 billion by 2028. IFS aims to achieve break-even operating margins by 2027 and become the world's second-largest foundry by 2030. The company expects to generate "meaningful" revenue from external contract chip manufacturing starting in 2027, with ongoing talks with potential customers to generate revenue in 2026. This growth is underpinned by the ramp-up of advanced process technologies like Intel 18A and Intel 14A, with 18A expected to reach competitive yields by Q4 2027.

  3. New Product Roadmap Execution and Market Share Gains in Core CPU Businesses: Intel is focused on reclaiming market share in both its Client Computing Group (CCG) and Data Center and AI (DCAI) segments through new product launches. In CCG, robust PC demand, Windows 11 refresh cycles, and the adoption of AI PC processors like Lunar Lake, Arrow Lake, Panther Lake (expected late 2025/early 2026), and Nova Lake (2026) are expected to drive growth. For the data center, the successful launch and adoption of Xeon 6 processors (Granite Rapids) and Xeon 6+ (Clearwater Forest) are crucial for improving performance and efficiency against competitors. Intel is also reintroducing simultaneous multithreading (SMT) in future chip designs to close performance gaps.

  4. Improved Profitability and Gross Margins Driven by New Product Strategy: Intel has shifted its product strategy to prioritize higher gross margins. The company's Products CEO revealed a focus on eliminating R&D on any product that doesn't bring in more than 50% gross margins, indicating that next-gen CPUs like Panther Lake and Nova Lake will feature better gross margins. This strategic emphasis on financially viable products, coupled with cost controls and stronger pricing, is expected to lead to a significant gross margin recovery, which will support sustainable revenue growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Intel had share repurchases of $2.415 billion in 2021.
  • As of September 27, 2025, Intel was authorized to repurchase up to $110.0 billion, with $7.24 billion remaining available.
  • Intel expects future stock repurchases to be curtailed as the company focuses on significant capital investments and does not anticipate paying dividends or making stock repurchases until cash flows improve.

Share Issuance

  • Intel's shares outstanding increased by 0.81% in 2022, 2.16% in 2023, and 1.61% in 2024.
  • Intel's net common equity issued/repurchased amounted to $2.883 billion in 2022, $5.512 billion in 2023, and $13.701 billion in 2024.
  • Since 2021, Intel has diluted shareholder positions.

Inbound Investments

  • In 2025, the U.S. government converted $8.9 billion in CHIPS Act funding into a near 10% equity stake in Intel, including $5.7 billion in cash from grants and $3.2 billion from the Secure Enclave program. The company was also awarded an additional $11 billion in favorable loans.
  • Nvidia invested $5 billion in Intel in September 2025, as part of a partnership to jointly develop data-center and personal-computing CPUs and for AI chip production.
  • SoftBank's Vision Fund provided a $2 billion capital injection in 2025, specifically targeting Intel's data center and foundry divisions.

Outbound Investments

  • Intel completed four acquisitions in 2021 and eight acquisitions in 2022.
  • In Q1 2022, Intel agreed to acquire Tower Semiconductor for approximately $5.4 billion to accelerate its global end-to-end systems foundry business.
  • Intel divested its NAND memory business to SK Hynix for $9.0 billion in cash, with the first closing in 2021 and the second expected in March 2025. Intel also sold an equity stake in its AI software start-up, Articul8 AI, to raise capital for manufacturing goals in January 2024.

Capital Expenditures

  • Intel's capital expenditures were $20.329 billion in 2021, $24.844 billion in 2022, $25.75 billion in 2023, and $23.944 billion in 2024.
  • The expected gross capital expenditure for 2025 is $18 billion, with net capital expenditures projected to be between $8 billion and $11 billion. Lower capital expenditures are anticipated for 2026.
  • The primary focus of capital expenditures includes strengthening engineering capabilities, enhancing Intel's AI strategy through integrated solutions, and expanding U.S. manufacturing capacity to achieve process technology leadership by 2025 with Intel 18A and an extended roadmap to Intel 14A.

Better Bets than Intel (INTC)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to INTC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
ENPH_11302025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11302025ENPHEnphase EnergyDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
16.1%16.1%-0.9%
PD_11262025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11262025PDPagerDutyDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.0%12.0%0.0%
CRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CRMSalesforceDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.7%16.7%-0.1%
HUBS_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11212025HUBSHubSpotDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
FIVN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FIVNFive9Dip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.8%7.8%0.0%
INTC_8312024_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE08312024INTCIntelDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
7.7%10.5%-17.7%
INTC_4302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302022INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-32.1%-25.6%-41.5%
INTC_10312020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10312020INTCIntelDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
31.7%13.6%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Intel

Peers to compare with:

Financials

INTCAMDNVDAQCOMAVGOMUMedian
NameIntel Advanced.NVIDIA Qualcomm Broadcom Micron T. 
Mkt Price36.37214.95183.69174.22341.45276.59199.32
Mkt Cap164.2349.54,468.6187.81,616.1311.2330.3
Rev LTM53,43932,027187,14244,28463,88742,31248,862
Op Inc LTM-1042,999110,12212,39426,07513,77113,082
FCF LTM-8,4185,44877,32412,82026,9144,6529,134
FCF 3Y Avg-11,2272,77550,46211,27721,320677,026
CFO LTM8,5746,40883,15914,01227,53722,69218,352
CFO 3Y Avg10,9573,46153,65212,50421,86111,68612,095

Growth & Margins

INTCAMDNVDAQCOMAVGOMUMedian
NameIntel Advanced.NVIDIA Qualcomm Broadcom Micron T. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.5%31.8%65.2%13.7%23.9%45.4%27.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-7.6%12.9%91.6%1.2%25.2%28.3%19.1%
Rev Chg Q2.8%35.6%62.5%10.0%28.2%56.7%31.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%8.2%13.3%2.4%6.6%13.2%7.4%
Op Mgn LTM-0.2%9.4%58.8%28.0%40.8%32.5%30.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-3.7%4.9%55.8%25.9%38.6%3.1%15.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM8.1%1.1%0.8%-0.2%1.8%6.3%1.4%
CFO/Rev LTM16.0%20.0%44.4%31.6%43.1%53.6%37.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg20.5%12.4%46.2%31.5%44.1%33.9%32.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-15.8%17.0%41.3%28.9%42.1%11.0%23.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-20.9%9.8%43.4%28.4%43.0%-6.0%19.1%

Valuation

INTCAMDNVDAQCOMAVGOMUMedian
NameIntel Advanced.NVIDIA Qualcomm Broadcom Micron T. 
Mkt Cap164.2349.54,468.6187.81,616.1311.2330.3
P/S3.110.923.94.225.37.49.1
P/EBIT57.4113.938.414.162.322.247.9
P/E829.2105.745.033.969.926.157.5
P/CFO19.154.553.713.458.713.736.4
Total Yield0.1%0.9%2.2%5.0%1.4%4.0%1.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.1%1.2%1.7%7.0%3.1%-1.2%1.4%
D/E0.30.00.00.10.00.00.0
Net D/E0.1-0.0-0.00.00.00.00.0

Returns

INTCAMDNVDAQCOMAVGOMUMedian
NameIntel Advanced.NVIDIA Qualcomm Broadcom Micron T. 
1M Rtn5.4%5.5%2.7%7.2%0.6%33.4%5.5%
3M Rtn26.5%34.5%0.0%3.2%1.0%68.1%14.8%
6M Rtn71.6%65.9%27.4%15.0%35.0%126.9%50.5%
12M Rtn86.3%80.3%36.4%16.5%56.5%208.2%68.4%
3Y Rtn44.6%233.2%1,109.2%68.3%546.5%460.0%346.6%
1M Excs Rtn3.0%-0.9%-3.5%4.5%-6.6%32.2%1.1%
3M Excs Rtn20.6%30.3%-0.4%-0.0%-2.4%63.0%10.3%
6M Excs Rtn48.4%42.4%11.3%0.2%17.0%103.7%29.7%
12M Excs Rtn71.3%59.9%25.4%-0.8%37.3%150.2%48.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-37.6%146.5%908.1%-16.7%468.8%363.7%255.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Client Computing Group (CCG)29,25831,77341,06740,05737,146
Intel Foundry18,910469786  
Data Center and Artificial Intelligence (DCAI)12,63519,44522,691  
Network and Edge (NEX)5,7748,4097,976  
All Other5,6081,0895,019522289
Corporate unallocated0    
Intersegment eliminations-17,957    
Mobileye 1,8691,386  
Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics  774  
Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics intersegment revenue  -675  
Data Center Group   26,10323,481
Internet of Things Group   3,9744,700
Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group   5,3584,362
Programmable Solutions Group   1,8531,987
Total54,22863,05479,02477,86771,965


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Client Computing Group (CCG)9,5135,56915,70415,12915,202
Data Center and Artificial Intelligence (DCAI)1,6201,3008,439  
All Other1,079-5,977-5,722-3,381-3,878
Network and Edge (NEX)2041,0331,711  
Intersegment eliminations-203    
Corporate unallocated-5,165    
Intel Foundry-6,955-281-23  
Mobileye 690554  
Accelerated Computing Systems and Graphics  -1,207  
Data Center Group   10,57110,227
Internet of Things Group   7381,342
Non-Volatile Memory Solutions Group   361-1,176
Programmable Solutions Group   260318
Total932,33419,45623,67822,035


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$36.37 
Market Cap ($ Bil)164.2 
First Trading Date03/17/1980 
Distance from 52W High-16.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$38.03$27.02
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-4.4%34.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility56.6%64.1%
Downside Capture186.80143.31
Upside Capture278.63183.46
Correlation (SPY)48.3%47.0%
INTC Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.522.292.101.911.511.62
Up Beta1.270.641.131.741.631.62
Down Beta2.811.752.362.141.281.46
Up Capture215%365%390%325%254%500%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days9233266115378
Down Capture300%254%144%124%123%110%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days10183058130368

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of INTC With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 INTCSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return77.9%21.7%14.7%67.3%6.8%-0.5%-16.6%
Annualized Volatility64.0%27.8%19.7%19.3%15.2%17.6%35.4%
Sharpe Ratio1.140.690.572.540.23-0.18-0.25
Correlation With Other Assets 47.6%47.5%3.9%17.5%31.3%24.1%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of INTC With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 INTCSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-4.4%19.4%15.0%18.9%11.8%5.1%35.8%
Annualized Volatility46.3%24.7%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.060.710.710.980.510.180.63
Correlation With Other Assets 54.7%52.7%10.5%14.0%32.5%21.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of INTC With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 INTCSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return2.9%22.4%14.9%14.9%6.7%5.5%69.9%
Annualized Volatility40.2%24.2%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.210.850.710.840.300.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 62.1%59.2%5.9%20.3%37.9%17.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLK, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity132,752,358
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.6%
Average Daily Volume79,151,015
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.68
Basic Shares Quantity4,514,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20250.3%5.2%-9.6%
7/24/2025-8.5%-12.5%9.6%
4/24/2025-6.7%-7.0%-6.7%
1/30/2025-2.9%-3.1%13.6%
10/31/20247.8%21.9%11.2%
8/1/2024-26.1%-29.0%-23.6%
4/25/2024-9.2%-13.1%-12.1%
1/25/2024-11.9%-12.5%-13.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive897
# Negative161517
Median Positive7.2%5.0%10.8%
Median Negative-7.8%-9.3%-9.8%
Max Positive10.7%21.9%36.0%
Max Negative-26.1%-29.0%-23.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025425202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024131202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023126202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023428202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022127202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022729202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021127202210-K 12/25/2021