Floor & Decor (FND)
Market Price (11/6/2026): $51.46 | Market Cap: $5.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Home Improvement Retail
Floor & Decor (FND)
Market Price (11/6/2026): $51.46Market Cap: $5.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Home Improvement Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.3% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Experiential Retail. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Key risksFND key risks include [1] intense competition from large home improvement retailers and [2] supply chain and tariff exposure due to its heavy reliance on products sourced from China. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.3% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Experiential Retail. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Key risksFND key risks include [1] intense competition from large home improvement retailers and [2] supply chain and tariff exposure due to its heavy reliance on products sourced from China. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Updated on 11/4/2026
Floor & Decor (FND) stock has lost about 10% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Floor & Decor (FND) reported a revenue miss for fiscal Q3 2026 and provided a cautious outlook with declining comparable store sales. The company's net sales for fiscal Q3 2026 (which ended September 24, 2026) were $1.21 billion, falling short of analyst consensus estimates of $1.22 billion, despite a 3% year-over-year increase. More significantly, comparable store sales declined by 1.4% in fiscal Q3 2026, and management projected an approximate 3.8% decline for fourth-quarter-to-date comparable store sales, alongside a full-year fiscal 2026 comparable store sales decline ranging from 3.5% to 2.0%.
2. Elevated macroeconomic headwinds, particularly high mortgage rates and weak existing-home sales, continued to pressure demand for big-ticket discretionary home improvement projects. Management explicitly cited ongoing challenges from elevated mortgage rates, which climbed above 7% in late September 2026, and a soft existing-home sales environment. These factors contributed to cautious consumer spending, impacting demand in the home improvement sector, despite overall U.S. consumer spending increasing by an annualized rate of 3.8% in fiscal Q3 2026.
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Floor & Decor (FND) stock has lost about 10% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Floor & Decor (FND) reported a revenue miss for fiscal Q3 2026 and provided a cautious outlook with declining comparable store sales. The company's net sales for fiscal Q3 2026 (which ended September 24, 2026) were $1.21 billion, falling short of analyst consensus estimates of $1.22 billion, despite a 3% year-over-year increase. More significantly, comparable store sales declined by 1.4% in fiscal Q3 2026, and management projected an approximate 3.8% decline for fourth-quarter-to-date comparable store sales, alongside a full-year fiscal 2026 comparable store sales decline ranging from 3.5% to 2.0%.
2. Elevated macroeconomic headwinds, particularly high mortgage rates and weak existing-home sales, continued to pressure demand for big-ticket discretionary home improvement projects. Management explicitly cited ongoing challenges from elevated mortgage rates, which climbed above 7% in late September 2026, and a soft existing-home sales environment. These factors contributed to cautious consumer spending, impacting demand in the home improvement sector, despite overall U.S. consumer spending increasing by an annualized rate of 3.8% in fiscal Q3 2026.
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Updated on 11/4/2026
Floor & Decor (FND) stock has lost about 10% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Floor & Decor (FND) reported a revenue miss for fiscal Q3 2026 and provided a cautious outlook with declining comparable store sales. The company's net sales for fiscal Q3 2026 (which ended September 24, 2026) were $1.21 billion, falling short of analyst consensus estimates of $1.22 billion, despite a 3% year-over-year increase. More significantly, comparable store sales declined by 1.4% in fiscal Q3 2026, and management projected an approximate 3.8% decline for fourth-quarter-to-date comparable store sales, alongside a full-year fiscal 2026 comparable store sales decline ranging from 3.5% to 2.0%.
2. Elevated macroeconomic headwinds, particularly high mortgage rates and weak existing-home sales, continued to pressure demand for big-ticket discretionary home improvement projects. Management explicitly cited ongoing challenges from elevated mortgage rates, which climbed above 7% in late September 2026, and a soft existing-home sales environment. These factors contributed to cautious consumer spending, impacting demand in the home improvement sector, despite overall U.S. consumer spending increasing by an annualized rate of 3.8% in fiscal Q3 2026.
3. The company announced a moderation in its store expansion plans and experienced pressure on gross margins from increased supply chain costs. Due to the challenging macroeconomic environment and weaker productivity from new stores, Floor & Decor plans to reduce new warehouse store openings to 10-15 in fiscal 2027, a decrease from the 20 planned for fiscal 2026. Furthermore, while gross margin improved by 30 basis points to 43.7% in fiscal Q3 2026, it faced a 100-basis-point headwind due to a significant increase in diesel fuel prices, which rose approximately 70% year-over-year.
4. A notable insider stock sale exceeding the $5 million threshold occurred during the period, potentially signaling reduced confidence. On August 7, 2026, insider Thomas V. Taylor sold 218,189 shares of Floor & Decor stock for a total value of $13,593,174.70. This substantial insider selling activity, which exceeded the $5 million threshold, could have contributed to negative investor sentiment regarding the company's near-term prospects.
Show less
Floor & Decor (FND) stock has lost about 10% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Floor & Decor (FND) reported a revenue miss for fiscal Q3 2026 and provided a cautious outlook with declining comparable store sales. The company's net sales for fiscal Q3 2026 (which ended September 24, 2026) were $1.21 billion, falling short of analyst consensus estimates of $1.22 billion, despite a 3% year-over-year increase. More significantly, comparable store sales declined by 1.4% in fiscal Q3 2026, and management projected an approximate 3.8% decline for fourth-quarter-to-date comparable store sales, alongside a full-year fiscal 2026 comparable store sales decline ranging from 3.5% to 2.0%.
2. Elevated macroeconomic headwinds, particularly high mortgage rates and weak existing-home sales, continued to pressure demand for big-ticket discretionary home improvement projects. Management explicitly cited ongoing challenges from elevated mortgage rates, which climbed above 7% in late September 2026, and a soft existing-home sales environment. These factors contributed to cautious consumer spending, impacting demand in the home improvement sector, despite overall U.S. consumer spending increasing by an annualized rate of 3.8% in fiscal Q3 2026.
3. The company announced a moderation in its store expansion plans and experienced pressure on gross margins from increased supply chain costs. Due to the challenging macroeconomic environment and weaker productivity from new stores, Floor & Decor plans to reduce new warehouse store openings to 10-15 in fiscal 2027, a decrease from the 20 planned for fiscal 2026. Furthermore, while gross margin improved by 30 basis points to 43.7% in fiscal Q3 2026, it faced a 100-basis-point headwind due to a significant increase in diesel fuel prices, which rose approximately 70% year-over-year.
4. A notable insider stock sale exceeding the $5 million threshold occurred during the period, potentially signaling reduced confidence. On August 7, 2026, insider Thomas V. Taylor sold 218,189 shares of Floor & Decor stock for a total value of $13,593,174.70. This substantial insider selling activity, which exceeded the $5 million threshold, could have contributed to negative investor sentiment regarding the company's near-term prospects.
Show less
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -10.6% change in FND stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -14.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312026 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 57.57 | 51.47 | -10.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,712 | 4,747 | 0.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.7 | 22.8 | -14.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 106 | 1.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -10.6% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2026 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FND | -10.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -1.9% | 39.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.3% | 59.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.3% change in FND stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 48.40 | 51.47 | 6.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,676 | 4,747 | 1.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.3% | 5.1% | 18.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.2 | 22.8 | -12.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 106 | 1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FND | 6.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.3% | 37.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.4% | 58.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -17.6% change in FND stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -26.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 62.48 | 51.47 | -17.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,662 | 4,747 | 1.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 31.0 | 22.8 | -26.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 108 | 106 | 1.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -17.6% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FND | -17.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.4% | 41.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.4% | 58.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -37.5% change in FND stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312023 | 11052026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 82.40 | 51.47 | -37.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,404 | 4,747 | 7.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.5% | 5.1% | -22.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.3 | 22.8 | -24.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 106 | 106 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -37.5% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2023 to 11/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FND | -37.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.3% | 44.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 58.2% | 52.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FND Return | 40% | -46% | 60% | -11% | -39% | -15% | -45% |
| Peers Return | 66% | -28% | 53% | 23% | -10% | 10% | 122% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 12% | 105% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FND Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 50% | 55% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 43% | 62% | 60% | 43% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 45% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FND Max Drawdown | -18% | -53% | -33% | -33% | -47% | -43% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -40% | -26% | -24% | -30% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HD, LOW, MHK, BLDR, WSM. See FND Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/5/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FND | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -12.6% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -53.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 112.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 644 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -49.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 15 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Floor & Decor's stock fell -0.8% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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| Event | FND | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.3% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 43.4% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -53.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 112.9% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 644 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -49.5% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.9% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 54 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Floor & Decor's stock fell -0.8% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Floor & Decor (FND)
Floor & Decor (FND) operates as a multi-channel specialty retailer and commercial distributor specializing in hard surface flooring and related accessories. The company's primary business model involves operating a large network of warehouse stores and design studios across numerous states, complemented by its e-commerce platform, FloorandDecor.com, to reach a broad customer base.
The company offers a comprehensive range of hard surface flooring products, including tile, wood, laminate, vinyl, and natural stone options. In addition to flooring, Floor & Decor also provides a variety of essential decorative and installation accessories, positioning itself as a one-stop shop for flooring project needs.
Floor & Decor serves a diverse clientele, catering to professional installers who require materials for their projects, commercial businesses undertaking larger-scale installations, and do-it-yourself (DIY) customers looking to complete their home improvement initiatives.
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Here are a few analogies for Floor & Decor (FND):
- Floor & Decor is like a Home Depot or Lowe's, but exclusively focused on hard surface flooring and related accessories.
- Think of it as a specialty superstore for tile, wood, and other hard surface flooring, similar to how Best Buy is for electronics, but catering to both DIYers and professional installers.
- It's akin to a Costco for hard surface flooring, providing a wide selection and competitive pricing for large-scale projects to professionals and homeowners alike.
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- Tile Flooring: Various types of tile products for hard surface flooring.
- Wood Flooring: Hardwood flooring options.
- Laminate Flooring: Laminated flooring products designed for durability and aesthetic appeal.
- Vinyl Flooring: Vinyl flooring solutions, often known for their water resistance and versatility.
- Natural Stone Flooring: Flooring products made from natural stone materials.
- Decorative Accessories: Items used to enhance the aesthetic finish and style of flooring projects.
- Installation Accessories: Products and tools necessary for the proper installation of flooring materials.
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Floor & Decor (FND) primarily serves three categories of customers:
- Professional Installers: These are individuals or small businesses that specialize in flooring installation and purchase products from Floor & Decor for their client projects.
- Commercial Businesses: This category includes businesses such as contractors, builders, property managers, and hospitality providers who purchase flooring in bulk for commercial projects, new constructions, or renovations of commercial spaces.
- Do-It-Yourself (DIY) Customers: These are individual homeowners or consumers who purchase flooring and related accessories for their personal home improvement projects.
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Bradley Paulsen, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Paulsen became Chief Executive Officer of Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. effective December 26, 2025, after joining the company as President in March 2025. Prior to Floor & Decor, he served as CEO, North America for Rentokil Initial plc from December 2023 to February 2025, and as Chief Executive Officer of Rexel USA from April 2021 to December 2023. From 2015 to 2021, he held various leadership roles at HD Supply, including Chief Operating Officer, and also spent nine years in leadership and merchandising roles at Home Depot.
Bryan H. Langley, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Langley was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. effective November 29, 2022. He joined the company in 2014 and has held various positions of increasing responsibility in finance and accounting, including Financial Reporting Manager, Director of Financial Reporting, Senior Director of Financial Planning and Analysis, and Vice President, Financial Planning and Analysis. Before joining Floor & Decor, Mr. Langley held finance and risk management roles at Delta Air Lines, Inc. from 2011 to 2014 and worked in public accounting at KPMG LLP from 2008 to 2011. He is also a Certified Public Accountant.
Thomas V. Taylor, Executive Chair of the Board
Mr. Taylor became Executive Chair of the Board in December 2025, after serving as Chief Executive Officer of Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. from December 2012 to December 2025. He spent 23 years at The Home Depot, where he rose to Executive Vice President of Operations and then Executive Vice President of Merchandising & Marketing. After leaving Home Depot in 2006, he served as a Managing Director at Sun Capital Partners for six years, where he was a board member for over twenty portfolio companies in the United States and Europe, indicating a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.
Trevor Lang, President
Mr. Lang announced his intent to retire as President of Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. in September 2024. He joined the company as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in 2011, was promoted to Executive Vice President of Professional Services and Chief Financial Officer in 2014, and became President in 2022. Prior to Floor & Decor, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Zumiez Inc. and Vice President of Finance for Carter's, Inc. He also held roles as Vice President-Operations Finance at Blockbuster, Inc. and was an Audit Manager at Arthur Andersen LLP.
David Christopherson, Executive Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer and Chief Legal Officer
Mr. Christopherson is the Executive Vice President, Chief Administrative Officer, and Chief Legal Officer of Floor & Decor Holdings, Inc. He joined the company in 2013 as General Counsel and Secretary, was promoted to Senior Vice President in 2015, Executive Vice President in 2018, and to his current role in 2024. Previously, he served as Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary of Teavana Holdings, Inc.
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Floor & Decor (FND) faces several key risks to its business operations and financial performance.
The most significant risk stems from the sensitivity of its business to **general economic conditions and consumer spending trends**. Purchases of hard surface flooring products are directly affected by factors such as consumer disposable income, housing market conditions, interest rates, inflation, and overall consumer confidence. Recent reports indicate a decrease in comparable store sales, primarily due to reduced consumer demand, with high mortgage rates and constrained spending on home improvement projects acting as headwinds.
A second major risk involves **supply chain disruptions and increasing costs**. As a specialty retailer and distributor of hard surface flooring, Floor & Decor is vulnerable to disruptions in its distribution capabilities, difficulties in operating its distribution centers, carrier capacity constraints, higher shipping prices, and potential product shortages. These factors can impact product availability and increase operational expenses.
Finally, the company faces risks related to the **execution and performance of its growth strategy, particularly with new store openings**. Challenges include the inability to secure suitable locations on acceptable terms, effectively executing its business strategy, and managing the significant capital expenditures associated with rapid expansion. Failure to achieve expected comparable store growth or experiencing negative comparable store sales can adversely affect net sales and overall financial results.
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The addressable markets for Floor & Decor's main products and services in the U.S. are substantial, primarily encompassing various segments of the hard surface flooring market.
Here's an breakdown of the market sizes for their main products in the U.S. region:
* Overall Hard Surface Flooring Market: The U.S. demand for hard surface flooring is projected to advance to $19.8 billion annually by 2024. The hard surface flooring market size is expected to reach $56 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1%.
* Vinyl Flooring: The U.S. vinyl floor covering market is projected to be USD 12.57 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 19.01 billion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 6.97% from 2026 to 2031. Separately, the U.S. vinyl flooring market size is estimated at USD 5.06 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 8.89 billion by 2033.
* Wood Flooring: The U.S. wood flooring market was estimated at USD 6.33 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 7.02 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 3.8%. The U.S. hardwood flooring market is projected to reach a valuation of USD 19,182.4 million in 2024 and USD 30,014.3 million by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.1%.
* Laminate Flooring: The U.S. laminate flooring market size is estimated at USD 1.77 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 3.28 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 13.17%. The combined U.S. wood and laminate flooring market generated USD 4,645.1 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 5,583.0 million by 2030.
* Tile Flooring (Ceramic and Natural Stone):
* Ceramic Tiles: The U.S. ceramic tiles market size reached USD 5.03 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 6.76 billion by 2031. Another report calculates the U.S. ceramic tiles market size at USD 5.19 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 9.64 billion by 2034.
* Natural Stone: The U.S. natural stone market was valued at USD 2.20 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 2.76 billion by 2030, rising at a CAGR of 4.10%. The U.S natural stone market size was valued at USD 2.09 billion in 2024, growing at a CAGR of 3.9% from 2025–2034.
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Floor & Decor (FND) is anticipated to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies:
- Aggressive New Store Expansion: Floor & Decor has a stated long-term goal of surpassing 500 locations and is consistently executing its physical footprint expansion plans. The company opened 30 new warehouse stores in fiscal year 2024 and planned to open 20 new warehouse stores in both fiscal year 2025 and fiscal year 2026. This expansion focuses on new store openings strategically within existing markets to maximize market share.
- Increased Focus on Professional Customers: Floor & Decor is strategically growing its revenue contribution from professional customers, a segment considered less cyclical than the do-it-yourself market. In Q1 2025, revenue from professional customers matched that of homeowners, indicating a significant shift from the 45/55 split observed in Q1 2024. The company has also emphasized its Pro momentum and initiatives, including Pro education events.
- Enhancement of Omnichannel and Connected Customer Experience: The company's "connected customer" strategies are resonating and contributing to sales growth. Connected customer sales increased by 9.7% in fiscal 2023, accounting for 18.7% of total sales, up from 17.4% in 2022. This suggests continued investment and growth in its online presence (FloorandDecor.com) and integrated customer experiences.
- Strategic Pricing and Favorable Product Mix Leading to Average Ticket Growth: Floor & Decor is focused on optimizing its pricing strategies and product mix to drive revenue. While some periods have seen strategic price reductions, average ticket growth has been observed, sometimes offsetting declines in transaction volume. Analysts also anticipate that newer products will contribute to better top-line performance.
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Share Repurchases
- Floor & Decor has not engaged in significant share repurchases, with a reported buyback yield of 0.0% for the latest twelve months and an average of -0.1% for fiscal years ending December 2020 to 2024.
- The company's trailing twelve months (TTM) Buyback Yield stands at -0.13%.
- A negative buyback yield indicates net issuance of shares rather than repurchases.
Share Issuance
- The diluted weighted average shares outstanding for Floor & Decor slightly increased from approximately 107.36 million at December 26, 2024, to 107.77 million at December 25, 2025.
- Shares outstanding increased by 0.41% in 2024 from 2023, by 0.41% in 2023 from 2022, and by 0.05% in 2022 from 2021.
- In February 2026, a company director received an equity award of 2,195 restricted stock units (RSUs) at a reference price of $68.34 per share.
Inbound Investments
- Artisan Partners Limited Partnership increased its holdings in Floor & Decor stock by 10.2% in the third quarter of 2025, acquiring 86,916 shares to hold a total of 935,383 shares valued at approximately $68.94 million.
- Other institutional investors, including State of Wyoming, Steph & Co., and Mather Group LLC, also acquired new positions in FND stock during the second and third quarters of 2025.
Outbound Investments
- Floor & Decor made several acquisitions from fiscal 2021 to 2023 to expand its commercial surfaces business.
- On June 4, 2021, the company acquired 100% of Spartan, a commercial surfaces company, for a total purchase consideration of $77.7 million, including cash, contingent consideration, and common stock.
- In fiscal 2022, Floor & Decor acquired three small commercial surfaces sellers for a total consideration of $4.6 million, consisting of cash and contingent earn-out consideration.
Capital Expenditures
- Floor & Decor's capital expenditures were $407.7 million in 2021, $456.6 million in 2022, $547.613 million in 2023, and $446.826 million in 2024.
- For fiscal year 2026, the company projects capital expenditures of approximately $250 million to $300 million.
- The primary focus of these expenditures is on the aggressive expansion of its store footprint, with 20 new warehouse stores opened in fiscal 2025 and another 20 planned for fiscal 2026, bringing the total to 270 warehouse stores by the end of 2025.
Peer Outperformance in Home Improvement Retail
FND has trailed 75% of its 4 Home Improvement Retail peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are HD and LOW. Home Improvement Retail ranks 4th of 22 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return.
Share of Home Improvement Retail constituents that FND has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
25%
of 4 industry peers · -16.2% return
3Y
25%
of 4 industry peers · -33.9% return
5Y
25%
of 4 industry peers · -61.4% return
Home Improvement Retail peers with revenue growth within 4pp of FND's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FND | Floor & Decor | 2.5% | 22.8x | -16.2% | -33.9% | -61.4% | — |
| HD | Home Depot | 3.1% | 24.4x | -3.7% | 28.3% | 7.8% | +69pp |
| LOW | Lowe's Companies | -0.7% | 19.1x | -0.9% | 24.3% | 6.6% | +68pp |
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Home Improvement Retail is FND's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education Services | 14 | -15.2% | 33.1% | 45.5% | CVSA 255% · GHC 110% · LRN 107% |
| Homebuilding | 17 | 4.5% | 38.1% | 35.4% | PHM 181% · TOL 164% · GRBK 154% |
| Automotive Retail | 17 | 1.0% | 20.5% | 13.7% | MUSA 205% · ORLY 115% · PAG 114% |
| Home Improvement Retail ← | 5 | -3.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | HD 8% · LOW 7% · FND -61% |
| Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | 21 | 22.9% | 53.1% | 6.0% | RCL 245% · MAR 160% · HLT 147% |
| Home Furnishings | 3 | 4.0% | 82.5% | 1.6% | SGI 59% · MHK -15% |
| Footwear | 9 | 80.5% | 86.0% | -15.1% | DECK 24% · SHOO -12% · CROX -15% |
| Computer & Electronics Retail | 3 | 29.4% | 71.8% | -22.5% | BBY -3% · GME -55% |
| Specialized Consumer Services | 10 | -10.8% | 34.2% | -23.9% | FTDR 165% · HRB 157% · ADT 24% |
| Restaurants | 36 | -1.1% | -3.5% | -24.2% | EAT 376% · CAKE 167% · TXRH 119% |
| Distributors | 4 | -4.4% | -14.2% | -24.8% | ARMK 88% · GPC 5% · POOL -55% |
| Leisure Products | 14 | -18.9% | -6.0% | -34.7% | GOLF 56% · HAS 51% · BC -12% |
| Household Appliances | 18 | 22.8% | 22.9% | -39.0% | WHR -82% |
| Leisure Facilities | 12 | 0.9% | 6.2% | -41.2% | OSW 156% · LTH 146% · PLNT -37% |
| Broadline Retail | 12 | -9.3% | 16.3% | -44.5% | EBAY 78% · AMZN 48% · OLLI 28% |
| Casinos & Gaming | 21 | -20.4% | -16.7% | -46.1% | RRR 21% · BYD 20% · LVS 3% |
| Apparel Retail | 27 | -1.9% | 4.6% | -47.5% | ANF 241% · TJX 109% · ROST 108% |
| Automotive Parts & Equipment | 37 | -14.6% | -28.4% | -48.6% | GTX 185% · PATK 73% · ALV 41% |
| Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods | 29 | 13.2% | 22.5% | -52.8% | TPR 258% · RL 230% · KTB 63% |
| Other Specialty Retail | 25 | -4.7% | -11.7% | -58.9% | ULTA 66% · ASO 54% · DKS 22% |
| Automobile Manufacturers | 8 | -60.7% | -40.9% | -69.5% | GM 59% · F -12% · TSLA -16% |
| Consumer Electronics | 11 | -37.8% | -36.5% | -81.3% | GRMN 123% |
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 188.57 |
| Mkt Cap | 19.7 |
| Rev LTM | 12,784 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,089 |
| FCF LTM | 1,117 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,108 |
| CFO LTM | 1,483 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,390 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 2.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 19.7 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/Op Inc | 17.2 |
| P/EBIT | 16.8 |
| P/E | 23.6 |
| P/CFO | 13.9 |
| Total Yield | 5.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 17.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 2.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 25.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 23.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -18.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -53.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail | 4,441 | 4,241 | 4,218 | 4,129 | |
| Other | 243 | 215 | 196 | 136 | 41 |
| Adjacent categories | 54 | ||||
| Decorative accessories and wall tile | 643 | ||||
| Installation materials and tools | 559 | ||||
| Laminate and vinyl | 877 | ||||
| Natural stone | 199 | ||||
| Tile | 801 | ||||
| Wood | 260 | ||||
| Total | 4,684 | 4,456 | 4,414 | 4,264 | 3,434 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail | 258 | 242 | 302 | 384 |
| Other | 12 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
| Total | 270 | 256 | 321 | 397 |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $51.47 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 5.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/27/2017 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -32.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $47.48 | $54.15 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | 8.4% | -4.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 48.1% | 49.6% |
| Downside Capture | 186.94 | 182.30 |
| Upside Capture | 98.21 | 138.50 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | 36.0% | 43.7% |
FND Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.28 | 1.14 | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.54 | 1.31 |
| Up Beta | -2.76 | 0.66 | 1.67 | 1.58 | 1.95 | 1.43 |
| Down Beta | 1.14 | 1.42 | 1.08 | 1.61 | 1.45 | 1.04 |
| Up Capture | 47% | 101% | 98% | 125% | 123% | 128% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 18 | 28 | 62 | 130 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 19 | 25 | 54 | 110 | 346 |
| Down Capture | -15% | 129% | 199% | 141% | 140% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 10 | 25 | 36 | 64 | 121 | 325 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 24 | 38 | 71 | 140 | 402 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FND | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FND | -16.6% | 49.6% | -0.21 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | -0.6% | 19.9% | -0.16 | 59.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 9.5% | 13.6% | 0.41 | 42.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 3.6% | 28.7% | 0.11 | 25.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 37.7% | 21.2% | 1.40 | -41.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.0% | 14.2% | 0.55 | 49.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -20.8% | 43.3% | -0.42 | 12.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FND | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FND | -17.5% | 47.4% | -0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 4.1% | 24.2% | 0.13 | 61.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.3% | 17.3% | 0.48 | 55.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.5% | 19.1% | 0.74 | 12.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.0% | 19.6% | 0.29 | -5.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.2% | 18.9% | -0.05 | 55.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.9% | 51.5% | 0.29 | 24.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FND | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FND | 4.9% | 48.8% | 0.29 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.7% | 22.3% | 0.52 | 60.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 18.0% | 0.70 | 55.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.0% | 16.5% | 0.59 | 9.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.6% | 18.1% | 0.33 | 8.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 50.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 61.3% | 66.2% | 1.01 | 14.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 11/6/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/29/2026 | -5.5% | 2.2% | |
| 7/30/2026 | 4.1% | 8.5% | -4.2% |
| 4/30/2026 | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| 2/19/2026 | 4.3% | 6.1% | -24.2% |
| 10/30/2025 | -3.9% | -9.5% | -0.9% |
| 7/31/2025 | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% |
| 5/1/2025 | 2.5% | 4.1% | -3.0% |
| 2/20/2025 | 1.5% | 4.3% | -9.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 14 | 10 |
| # Negative | 8 | 10 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% |
| Median Negative | -5.4% | -8.4% | -6.2% |
| Max Positive | 13.5% | 17.2% | 19.4% |
| Max Negative | -7.7% | -11.0% | -24.2% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/29/2026 | -5.5% | 2.2% | |
| 7/30/2026 | 4.1% | 8.5% | -4.2% |
| 4/30/2026 | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% |
| 2/19/2026 | 4.3% | 6.1% | -24.2% |
| 10/30/2025 | -3.9% | -9.5% | -0.9% |
| 7/31/2025 | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% |
| 5/1/2025 | 2.5% | 4.1% | -3.0% |
| 2/20/2025 | 1.5% | 4.3% | -9.3% |
| 10/30/2024 | 2.2% | 0.2% | 11.2% |
| 8/1/2024 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 19.4% |
| 5/2/2024 | 0.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| 2/22/2024 | 3.2% | 6.7% | 14.7% |
| 11/2/2023 | -4.9% | -8.5% | 16.5% |
| 8/3/2023 | -7.7% | -5.0% | -10.0% |
| 5/4/2023 | -5.0% | -4.3% | -6.4% |
| 2/23/2023 | 0.2% | -2.7% | 2.5% |
| 11/3/2022 | 2.7% | 17.2% | 9.9% |
| 8/4/2022 | 13.5% | 8.9% | -2.2% |
| 5/5/2022 | -5.4% | -10.8% | -3.1% |
| 2/24/2022 | 5.3% | 1.5% | -6.2% |
| 11/4/2021 | -7.0% | -9.8% | -11.1% |
| 8/5/2021 | -5.7% | -7.7% | -0.8% |
| 5/6/2021 | 0.2% | -11.0% | -14.9% |
| 2/25/2021 | 1.4% | -8.2% | 4.1% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 14 | 10 |
| # Negative | 8 | 10 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 2.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% |
| Median Negative | -5.4% | -8.4% | -6.2% |
| Max Positive | 13.5% | 17.2% | 19.4% |
| Max Negative | -7.7% | -11.0% | -24.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2026 | 10/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2026 | 07/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 09/30/2026 | 10/29/2026 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2026 | 07/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 04/30/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/19/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/01/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/22/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/24/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/25/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 10/29/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/31/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 04/30/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/20/2020 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 11/2/2026Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 10/29/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Comparable Store Sales | Reported | -0.04 | -0.03 | -0.02 | -0.8% | Lowered | Guidance: -0.02 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Depreciation and Amortization Expense | Reported | 250.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 New Warehouse Store Openings | Reported | 20 | ||||||
| 2026 Net Sales | Reported | 4.76 Bil | 4.80 Bil | 4.83 Bil | -1.6% | Lowered | Guidance: 4.88 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 53rd Week Net Sales Contribution | Reported | 65.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 535.00 Mil | 542.50 Mil | 550.00 Mil | -4.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 567.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 53rd Week Adjusted EBITDA Contribution | Reported | 11.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Interest (Income) Expense, Net | Reported | 0 | ||||||
| 2026 Tax Rate | Reported | 21.5% | 21.75% | 22.0% | ||||
| 2026 Diluted EPS | Reported | 2.19 | 2.24 | 2.29 | -3.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 2.33 for 2026 | |
| 2026 53rd Week Diluted EPS Contribution | Reported | 0.08 | ||||||
| 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS | Reported | 1.88 | 1.93 | 1.98 | -3.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 2.01 for 2026 | |
| 2026 53rd Week Adjusted Diluted EPS Contribution | Reported | 0.08 | ||||||
| 2026 Diluted Weighted Average Shares Outstanding | Reported | 107.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | Reported | 235.00 Mil | 242.50 Mil | 250.00 Mil | -5.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 257.50 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/30/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Comparable store sales | Reported | -0.04 | -0.02 | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: -0.02 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Net sales | Reported | 4.77 Bil | 4.88 Bil | 4.99 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 4.88 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 550.00 Mil | 567.50 Mil | 585.00 Mil | 0.9% | Raised | Guidance: 562.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Diluted EPS | Reported | 2.2 | 2.33 | 2.45 | 18.9% | Raised | Guidance: 1.96 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted diluted EPS | Reported | 1.88 | 2.01 | 2.13 | ||||
| 2026 Capital expenditures | Reported | 240.00 Mil | 257.50 Mil | 275.00 Mil | -6.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 275.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/30/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Comparable Store Sales | Reported | -0.04 | -0.02 | 0 | -1.5% | Lowered | Guidance: -0.01 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Depreciation and amortization expense | Reported | 250.00 Mil | 2.0% | Raised | Guidance: 245.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 New warehouse stores | Reported | 20 | ||||||
| 2026 Net Sales | Reported | 4.77 Bil | 4.88 Bil | 4.99 Bil | -1.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 4.96 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 545.00 Mil | 562.50 Mil | 580.00 Mil | -2.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 575.00 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Interest expense, net | Reported | 4.00 Mil | -20.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 5.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Tax rate | Reported | 22.5% | 22.75% | 23.0% | 1.0% | Raised | Guidance: 21.75% for 2026 | |
| 2026 Diluted EPS | Reported | 1.83 | 1.96 | 2.08 | -6.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 2.08 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Diluted weighted average shares outstanding | Reported | 109.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 109.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
| 2026 Capital expenditures | Reported | 250.00 Mil | 275.00 Mil | 300.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 275.00 Mil for 2026 | |
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Comparable Store Sales | Reported | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0.01 | 1.0% | Higher New | Actual: -0.02 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Depreciation and amortization expense | Reported | 245.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Net Sales | Reported | 4.88 Bil | 4.96 Bil | 5.03 Bil | 5.8% | Higher New | Actual: 4.68 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 560.00 Mil | 575.00 Mil | 590.00 Mil | 7.0% | Higher New | Actual: 537.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Interest expense, net | Reported | 5.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Tax rate | Reported | 21.5% | 21.75% | 22.0% | ||||
| 2026 Diluted EPS | Reported | 1.98 | 2.08 | 2.18 | 8.3% | Higher New | Actual: 1.92 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Diluted weighted average shares outstanding | Reported | 109.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Capital expenditures | Reported | 250.00 Mil | 275.00 Mil | 300.00 Mil | -5.2% | Lower New | Actual: 290.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 8/10/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor, Thomas V | Executive Chair | Direct | Sell | 8102026 | 62.30 | 218,189 | 13,593,175 | 14,317,786 | Form |
| 2 | Langley, Bryan | EVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Buy | 5042026 | 48.69 | 2,500 | 121,725 | 2,045,759 | Form |
| 3 | Sayman, Ersan | EVP - MERCHANDISING | Direct | Sell | 5042026 | 48.28 | 15,200 | 733,856 | 3,460,517 | Form |
| 4 | Paulsen, Bradley | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 5042026 | 50.25 | 5,000 | 251,250 | 4,271,752 | Form |
| 5 | Paulsen, Bradley | President | Direct | Buy | 11032025 | 60.27 | 5,000 | 301,346 | 1,808,074 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taylor, Thomas V | Executive Chair | Direct | Sell | 8102026 | 62.30 | 218,189 | 13,593,175 | 14,317,786 | Form |
| 2 | Langley, Bryan | EVP & CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Direct | Buy | 5042026 | 48.69 | 2,500 | 121,725 | 2,045,759 | Form |
| 3 | Sayman, Ersan | EVP - MERCHANDISING | Direct | Sell | 5042026 | 48.28 | 15,200 | 733,856 | 3,460,517 | Form |
| 4 | Paulsen, Bradley | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 5042026 | 50.25 | 5,000 | 251,250 | 4,271,752 | Form |
| 5 | Paulsen, Bradley | President | Direct | Buy | 11032025 | 60.27 | 5,000 | 301,346 | 1,808,074 | Form |
| 6 | Adamson, John J | EVP & CIO | Direct | Sell | 8082025 | 79.22 | 4,240 | 335,889 | 1,374,212 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Nov 6, 202613F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)
Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Two Creeks Capital Management, LP | $58.9 Mil | 6.2% | 21 | TRIM -15.5% | 13F |
| Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP | $61.1 Mil | 5.4% | 39 | ADD +18.0% | 13F |
| Turtle Creek Asset Management Inc. | $140.1 Mil | 5.2% | 39 | ADD +41.7% | 13F |
| Timucuan Asset Management Inc/Fl | $131.3 Mil | 4.8% | 28 | Hold | 13F |
| Rivermont Capital Management LP | $22.9 Mil | 4.8% | 20 | ADD +106.3% | 13F |
| Pacifica Capital Investments, LLC | $11.4 Mil | 3.9% | 15 | ADD +3471.0% | 13F |
| Atlas FRM LLC | $45.4 Mil | 3.0% | 41 | ADD +207.2% | 13F |
| RDST Capital LLC | $27.0 Mil | 2.6% | 20 | TRIM -42.6% | 13F |
| Alua Capital Management LP | $22.4 Mil | 2.4% | 14 | New | 13F |
| Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP | $13.6 Mil | 1.9% | 20 | TRIM -51.2% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alua Capital Management LP | $22.4 Mil | 2.4% | 14 | New | 13F |
| Pacifica Capital Investments, LLC | $11.4 Mil | 3.9% | 15 | ADD +3471.0% | 13F |
| Atlas FRM LLC | $45.4 Mil | 3.0% | 41 | ADD +207.2% | 13F |
| Rivermont Capital Management LP | $22.9 Mil | 4.8% | 20 | ADD +106.3% | 13F |
| Turtle Creek Asset Management Inc. | $140.1 Mil | 5.2% | 39 | ADD +41.7% | 13F |
| Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP | $61.1 Mil | 5.4% | 39 | ADD +18.0% | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | As Of | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Park Presidio Capital LLC | $7.7 Mil | 0.6% | 15 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Arvin Capital Management LP | $7.5 Mil | 1.6% | 28 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Nishkama Capital, LLC | $6.1 Mil | 0.8% | 49 | Exited | Dec 31, 2025 | 13F |
| Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP | $13.6 Mil | 1.9% | 20 | TRIM -51.2% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| RDST Capital LLC | $27.0 Mil | 2.6% | 20 | TRIM -42.6% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Two Creeks Capital Management, LP | $58.9 Mil | 6.2% | 21 | TRIM -15.5% | Mar 31, 2026 | 13F |
| Active Manager | Value | % of Portfolio | Total Positions | QoQ | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turtle Creek Asset Management Inc. | $140.1 Mil | 5.2% | 39 | ADD +41.7% | 13F |
| Timucuan Asset Management Inc/Fl | $131.3 Mil | 4.8% | 28 | Hold | 13F |
| Hook Mill Capital Partners, LP | $61.1 Mil | 5.4% | 39 | ADD +18.0% | 13F |
| Two Creeks Capital Management, LP | $58.9 Mil | 6.2% | 21 | TRIM -15.5% | 13F |
| Atlas FRM LLC | $45.4 Mil | 3.0% | 41 | ADD +207.2% | 13F |
| RDST Capital LLC | $27.0 Mil | 2.6% | 20 | TRIM -42.6% | 13F |
| Rivermont Capital Management LP | $22.9 Mil | 4.8% | 20 | ADD +106.3% | 13F |
| Alua Capital Management LP | $22.4 Mil | 2.4% | 14 | New | 13F |
| Wolf Hill Capital Management, LP | $13.6 Mil | 1.9% | 20 | TRIM -51.2% | 13F |
| Pacifica Capital Investments, LLC | $11.4 Mil | 3.9% | 15 | ADD +3471.0% | 13F |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Home Improvement Retail Resources |
| HBS Dealer |
| Hardware Retailing |
| ProSales |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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Core Cache Last Updated: 11/5/2026